. Bond and Stock Returns in a Simple Exchange Model. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 1986;101(4):785-804.
Papers published in the Quarterly Journal of Economics
. Are Output Fluctuations Transitory?. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 1987;102(4):857-880.
. Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 1993;108(4):905-939.
. Consumption and Portfolio Decisions When Expected Returns Are Time Varying. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 1999;114(2):433-495.
. Household Risk Management and Optimal Mortgage Choice. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2003;118(4):1449-1494.
. Fight or Flight? Portfolio Rebalancing By Individual Investors. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2009:301-348.
This paper investigates the dynamics of individual portfolios in a unique data
set containing the disaggregated wealth of all households in Sweden. Between
1999 and 2002, we observe little aggregate rebalancing in the financial portfolio
of participants. These patterns conceal strong household-level evidence of active
rebalancing, which on average offsets about one-half of idiosyncratic passive variations
in the risky asset share. Wealthy, educated investors with better diversified
portfolios tend to rebalance more actively. We find some evidence that households
rebalance toward a greater risky share as they become richer. We also study the
decisions to trade individual assets. Households are more likely to fully sell directly
held stocks if those stocks have performed well, and more likely to exit
direct stockholding if their stock portfolios have performed well; but these relationships
are much weaker for mutual funds, a pattern that is consistent with
previous research on the disposition effect among direct stockholders and performance
sensitivity among mutual fund investors. When households continue to
hold individual assets, however, they rebalance both stocks and mutual funds to
offset about one-sixth of the passive variations in individual asset shares. Households
rebalance primarily by adjusting purchases of risky assets if their risky
portfolios have performed poorly, and by adjusting both fund purchases and full
sales of stocks if their risky portfolios have performed well. Finally, the tendency
for households to fully sell winning stocks is weaker for wealthy investors with
diversified portfolios of individual stocks.