This article examines the connection of immigration and diversity to homicide by advancing
a recently developed approach to modeling spatial dynamics—geographically
weighted regression (GWR). In contrast to traditional global averaging, we argue on
substantive grounds that neighborhood characteristics vary in their effects across
neighborhood space, a process of “spatial heterogeneity.” Much like treatment-effect
heterogeneity and distinct from spatial spillover, our analysis finds considerable evidence
that neighborhood characteristics in Chicago vary significantly in predicting
homicide, in some cases showing countervailing effects depending on spatial location.
In general, however, immigrant concentration is either unrelated or inversely related to
homicide, whereas language diversity is consistently linked to lower homicide. The
results shed new light on the immigration-homicide nexus and suggest the pitfalls of
global averaging models that hide the reality of a highly diversified and spatially
stratified metropolis.