"Patterns in Exchange Rate Expectations for 25 Currencies," with Menzie Chinn, 1994, Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 26, no.4, November, 754-770.  NBER WP No. 3807.

"Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests for a Cross-Section of 17 Currencies," with Menzie Chinn, Review of International Economics 1, no.2 (June 1993), 136-144.  NBER WP 3806.

"Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market," with Ken Froot, American Economic Review, Vol. 80, no. 2, 1990: 181-185. NBER  WP 3470.

"Forward Discount Bias: Is it an Exchange Risk Premium?" with Ken Froot,1989, Quarterly Journal of Economics 104, no.1, February, 139-161.  no.1 (February 1989), 139-161. Reprinted in Advances in Behavioral Finance, R.Thaler, ed. (Russell Sage Foundation, New York), 1993, 359-381.  UCB  WP  8874, 1988;  NBER WP 1963, 1986. 

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"Short-term and long-term expectations of the yen/dollar exchange rate: evidence from survey data," with Kenneth Froot, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 1.3 (1987): 249-274.

“Using survey data to test standard propositions regarding exchange rate expectations,” with Ken Froot,  American Economic Review, 1987.  NBER WP 1672.

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