Publications

Peer Reviewed Articles

  1. Bell, Arvid, and Dana Wolf (2023). “Decoding Negotiation Systems in the Middle East and North Africa: A Framework for AnalysisNegotiation Journal, 39 (1), pp. 71-101.
  2. Bell, Arvid, and Alexander Nehrbass (2023). “Mapping Pre-Westphalia Europe: Military Alliances, Political Settlements, and Alignments During Armed Conflicts, 1528 to 1648,” Research Data Journal for the Humanities and Social Sciences, 7 (1), pp. 1-12.
  3. Bell, Arvid, Alexander Bollfrass, Monica Giannone, Alexander Nehrbass, Taylor Valley, and Dana Wolf (2022). “The Scholar-Entrepreneurial Organization: Lessons in Building an Academic Startup,” Negotiation Journal, 38 (1), pp. 69-92
  4. Bell, Arvid and Alexander Bollfrass (2021). “To Hell with the Cell: The Case for Immersive Statecraft Education,” International Studies Perspectives, 23 (2), pp. 129-150.
  5. Bell, Arvid and Taylor Valley (2020). “The Art of Negotiation Exercise Design: Five Basic Principles to Produce Powerful Learning Experiences,” Negotiation Journal, 36 (1), pp. 57-72. (Recognition by journal: Top cited article, 2020-2021.)
  6. Bell, Arvid and Brian Mandell (2018). “Cognitive Maelstroms, Nested Negotiation Networks, and Cascading Decision Effects: Modeling and Teaching Negotiation Complexity with Systemic Multi-Constituency Exercises,” Negotiation Journal, 34 (1), pp. 37-67. (Recognition by journal: Top downloaded article, 2017-2018; Top cited article, 2018-2019.)
  7. Bell, Arvid (2014). “The Roadblock of Contested Recognition: Identity-based Justice Claims as an Obstacle to Peace Negotiations in Afghanistan,” International Negotiation, 19 (3), pp. 518-542.
Data Set
  1. Bell, Arvid, Emily Malpass, Alexander Nehrbass, Helen Simpson (2021). “European Alliances & Alignments (1528-1648) V1.0,” Harvard Dataverse, V1.

Chapters

  1. Bell, Arvid (2019). “The Roadblock of Contested Recognition: Identity-Based Justice Claims as an Obstacle to Peace Negotiations in Afghanistan,” in Caroline Fehl et al. (Eds.), Justice and Peace. The Role of Justice Claims in International Cooperation and Conflict, Springer, Germany, pp. 253-276.
  2. Bell, Arvid (2017). “Afghanistan und Irak: Internationalisierte Bürgerkriege und regionale Allianzen,” ("Afghanistan and Iraq: Internationalized Civil Wars and Regional Alliances," in Marco Fey and Caroline Fehl: “‘America first’: Die Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik der USA unter Präsident Trump,” ("America first’: The foreign and security policy of the USA under President Trump,") HSFK Reports, No. 1 (2017), Frankfurt, Germany, pp. 39-40. (German language)
  3. Bell, Arvid (2010). “Acht Jahre nach der Invasion. Eine Zwischenbilanz,” ("Eight years after the invasion. An interim balance,") Friedensgutachten, 24 (2010), LIT Publications: Münster, Germany, pp. 104-117. (German language).

Reports

  1. Bell, Arvid, Ed. (2017). Perspectives in Post-Soviet Conflict: The 2017 Davis Center Negotiation Task Force Research Report, Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies, Cambridge, MA.
  2. Babbitt, Eileen, Arvid Bell, Alain Lempereur, Brian Mandell, and Dana Wolf (2017). The MENA Negotiation Report: Negotiating Conflict in the Middle East and North Africa. A System Analysis after the Arab Spring, the Iran Nuclear Deal, and the Rise of ISIS, Harvard Kennedy School Negotiation Project, Cambridge, MA.
  3. Bell, Arvid (2015). Afghanistan and Central Asia in 2015. An Overview of Actors, Interests, and Relationships, PRIF Reports, No. 132 (2015), Frankfurt, ISBN 978-3-942532-87-7.
  4. Bell, Arvid (2013). Verhandeln statt Bürgerkrieg: Ein Plädoyer für Waffenstillstand und offizielle Friedensgespräche in Afghanistan ("Negotiations, Not Civil War: The Case for a Ceasefire and Official Peace Talks in Afghanistan",) HSFK Reports, No. 4 (2013), Frankfurt (German language), ISBN 978-3-942532-56-3.

Case Studies and Exercises

  1. Bell, Arvid and Tom O’Bryan (2019). “A Puzzle Too Complex? James Baker’s Mediation Mission in Western Sahara, 1997-2004,” HKS Case 2158.0, Harvard Kennedy School Case Program.
  2. Bell, Arvid, and Alexander Nehrbass (2019). “The Eurasia Deal. Dealmaking in Complex Environments,” Negotiation Task Force, Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies at Harvard University.
  3. Bell, Arvid (2016). “The Transition Exercise. A Dynamic Negotiation Training on Conflict, Crisis, and Complexity,” Program on Negotiation at Harvard Law School.
  4. Bell, Arvid (2015). “JetFair: A Case on Pareto Optimality in Scoreable Multi-Party Negotiations,” Harvard Kennedy School Negotiation Project.
  5. Bell, Arvid (2015). “The Famous Guest: A Case on Parasitic Integration and Value Creation," Harvard Kennedy School Negotiation Project.
  6. Bell, Arvid (2013). “Connoro Pretorian: Negotiating joint-ventures and building trust in emerging markets,” Harvard Kennedy School Negotiation Project.

Working Papers

  1. Bell, Arvid, Gabriel Meyer-Haft, and Dana Wolf (2021): “Regional Clusters, Trends, and Influence: A Network Analysis of Alliance Shifts in the Middle East and North Africa Since 2008,” presented at the ISA Annual Convention.
  2. Bell, Arvid and Malik Dahlan (2019): “Resequencing Peace: The Case for Negotiating Jerusalem First,” Negotiation Task Force, Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies.
  3. Bell, Arvid (2019): “Network Effects as Early Warning Signs? Alliance Shifts and Armed Conflicts in Europe, 1816-1945,” Negotiation Task Force, Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies.
  4. Bell, Arvid (2019): “Harbingers of Peace? European Negotiation Networks and the Peace of Westphalia,” Negotiation Task Force, Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies.
  5. Bell, Arvid (2016). “The Power of Leverage: Cooperative Relationships, Indirect Influence, and Regional Security,” presented at the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies, April.
  6. Bell, Arvid (2016). “Dimensions and Perceptions of Justice Claims in International Conflict,” presented at the ISA Annual Convention.
  7. Bell, Arvid (2014). “A Network in Transition: Actors, Interests, and Alliances in the Afghanistan Conflict as of Early 2014,” PRIF Working Papers, No. 20/2014, Frankfurt.

Commentaries

  1. Bell, Arvid and Dana Wolf (2022): “Is a Ceasefire Agreement Possible? A Negotiation Analysis of the Russia-Ukraine War,” Russia Matters, Belfer Center, Mar. 12.
  2. Bell, Arvid (2021): “Nord Stream 2: A Lesson in 3-D Negotiation,” Davis Center, August 11.
  3. Bell, Arvid (2021): “Farewell, Open Skies? When Win-Lose Becomes Lose-Lose,” Davis Center, July 8.
  4. Bell, Arvid (2021): “The Limits of Personal Relationships,” Davis Center, March 23.
  5. Bell, Arvid (2020): “Dealing with Lies in Negotiations,” Davis Center, December 16.
  6. Bell, Arvid (2020): “Building Resilient Negotiations with Democracies,” Davis Center, October 28.
  7. Bell, Arvid (2020): “Why Europe Matters: The Case for an Arms Control Negotiation Campaign,” Center for Strategic and International Studies (CGIS), September 25.
  8. Bell, Arvid (2020): “Renegotiate Commitments Without Letting People Down,” Davis Center, September 3.
  9. Bell, Arvid (2020): “Make Your Agreements Crisis-Proof,” Davis Center, May 15.
  10. Bell, Arvid (2020): “What Negotiation Science Can Tell Us about the Coronavirus Pandemic,” Davis Center, April 17.
  11. Bell, Arvid (2020): “Master Interconnected Conflicts,” Davis Center, March 19.

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