Brutger, R., Kertzer, J., Renshon, J., Tingley, D., & Weiss, C. (Forthcoming). Abstraction and Detail in Experimental Design. American Journal of Political Science (conditional accept).
Romney, D., Jamal, A., Keohane, R., & Tingley, D. (Forthcoming). The Enemy of my Enemy is not my Friend: Arabic Twitter Sentiment Toward ISIS and the United States. International Studies Quarterly. enemyfriends.pdf
Tingley, D., & Tomz, M. (Forthcoming). The Effects of Naming and Shaming on Public Support for Compliance with International Agreements: An Experimental Analysis of the Paris Agreement. International Organization. Publisher's VersionAbstract

How does naming and shaming affect public support for compliance with international agreements? We investigated this question by conducting survey experiments about the Paris Agreement, which relies on social pressure for enforcement. Our experiments, administered to national samples in the United States, produced three sets of findings. First, shaming by foreign countries shifted domestic public opinion in favor of compliance, increasing the political incentive to honor the Paris Agreement. Second, the effects of shaming varied with the behavior of the target. Shaming was more effective against partial compliers than against targets that took no action or honored their obligations completely. Moreover, even partial compliers managed to reduce the effects of shaming through the strategic use of counter-rhetoric. Third, identity moderated responses to shaming. Shaming by allies was not significantly more effective than shaming by non-allies, but Democrats were more receptive to shaming than Republicans. Overall, our experiments expose both the power and the limits of shaming as a strategy for enforcing the Paris Agreement. At the same time, they advance our understanding of the most significant environmental problem facing the planet.

Kline, R., Mahajan, A., & Tingley, D. (Forthcoming). Collective Risk and Distributional Equity in Climate Change Bargaining. Journal of Conflict Resolution. distributionequity.pdf
Irvine, P., Burns, E., Caldeira, K., Keutch, F., Tingley, D., & Keith, D. (2021). Expert judgements on solar geoengineering research priorities and challenges. Earth Arxiv.
Tingley, D. (2021). Building on the Shoulders of Bears: Next Steps in Data Science Education. Harvard Data Science Review , 3 (2). Publisher's Version interleaving_computational_and_inferential_thinking-tingleyfollowup.pdf
Chaudoin, S., Milner, H. V., & Tingley, D. (2021). America First Meets Liberal Internationalism. In The H-Diplo/ISSF Policy Series: America and the World: The Effects of the Trump Presidency. americafirstliberalinternationalism.pdf
Dai, Z., Burns, E., Irvine, P., Xu, J., & Keith, D. (2021). US and Chinese climate experts share judgements on solar geoengineering. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications , 8 (18). Publisher's Version
Kizilcec, R. F., Reich, J., Yeomans, M., Dann, C., Brunskill, E., Lopez, G., Turkay, S., et al. (2020). Scaling Up Behavioral Science Interventions in Online Education. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , 117 (26), 14900-14905. Publisher's Version
Tingley, D., & Tomz, M. (2020). International Commitments and Domestic Opinion: The Effect of the Paris Agreement on Public Support for Policies to Address Climate Change. Environmental Politics , 29 (7), 1135-1156. Publisher's Version parispledge.pdf
Guan, Y., Tingley, D., Romney, D., Jamal, A., & Keohane, R. (2020). Chinese views of the United States: evidence from Weibo. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific , 20 (1), 1-30. Publisher's Version
Chilton, A., Milner, H., & Tingley, D. (2020). Reciprocity and Public Opposition to Foreign Direct Investment. British Journal of Political Science , 50 (1), 129-153. Publisher's Version cmt-mergers.pdf
Tingley, D. (2019). Public Perceptions of Solar Geoengineering with Implications for Governance. In Governance of the deployment of solar geoengineering . Harvard Project on Climate Agreements. Publisher's Version
Mahajan, A., Tingley, D., & Wagner, G. (2019). Fast, cheap, and imperfect? U.S. public opinion about solar geoengineering. Environmental Politics , 28 (3), 523-543. fastcheapimperfect.pdf
Rushkin, I., Chuang, I., & Tingley, D. (2019). Modelling and using response times in online courses. Journal of Learning Analytics , 6 (3), 76-89. timestat.pdf
Markovitz, D., Strange, A., & Tingley, D. (2019). Foreign Aid and the Status Quo: Evidence from Pre-Marshall Plan Aid. Chinese Journal of International Relations , 12 (4), 557-584. foreignaidhistory.pdf
Mildenberger, M., & Tingley, D. (2019). Beliefs about Beliefs: The Importance of Second-Order Opinions for Climate Politics. British Journal of Political Science , 49 (4), 1279-1307. mildenbergertingley_bjps.pdf
Kim, I. S., Milner, H., Bernauer, T., Spilker, G., Osgood, I., & Tingley, D. (2019). Firms’ Preferences over Multidimensional Trade Policies: Global Production Chains, Investment Protection and Dispute Settlement Mechanisms. International Studies Quarterly , 63` (1), 153-167. Publisher's Version
Horowitz, M., Stewart, B., Tingley, D., Bishop, M., Resnick, L., Roberts, M., Chang, W., et al. (2019). What Makes Foreign Policy Teams Tick: Explaining Variation in Group Performance At Geopolitical Forecasting. Journal of Politics , 81 (4), 1388-1404. teamwork.pdf
Roberts, M., Stewart, B., & Tingley, D. (2019). stm: R Package for Structural Topic Models. Journal of Statistical Software , 91 (2), 1-40. Publisher's Version jss-stm.pdf