Publications by Year: 2017

Chilton, A., Milner, H., & Tingley, D. (2017). Trump just blocked a Chinese takeover of a sensitive U.S. company. Here's what's going on. Washington Post: Monkey Cage. Publisher's Version
Benjamin, D. J., Berger, J. O., Johannesson, M., Nosek, B. A., Wagenmakers, E., LotsofOtherPeople,, & Tingley, D. (2017). Redefine Statistical Significance. Human Nature Behavior. sig-naturehumanbehaviour.pdf
Chaudoin, S., Milner, H., & Tingley, D. (2017). A Liberal International American Foreign Policy? Maybe Down but Not Out. H-Diplo/ISSF. cmt-hdiplo-2017.pdf
Renshon, J., Lee, J., & Tingley, D. (2017). Emotions and the Micro-Foundations of Commitment Problems. International Organization , 71 (S1), S189-S218.
Tingley, D. (2017). Rising Power on the Mind. International Organization , 71 (S1), S165-S188. risingpowers.pdf
Osgood, I., Tingley, D., Bernauer, T., Kim, I. S., Milner, H., & Spilker, G. (2017). The Charmed Life of Superstar Exporters: Survey Evidence on Firms and Trade Policy. Journal of Politics , 47 (1), 133-152.Abstract

What factors determine firms’ attitudes towards trade policy? Building off the literature on firms in trade, this paper considers producers’ policy preferences and political behavior in light of two key patterns in modern international trade: industries that face import competition often have many exporters; and, foreign sales are concentrated in the hands of a small number of ‘superstar’ exporters.
Using a new survey of Costa Rican firms matched to systematic firm-level data on export behavior, we find that firm features are generally more important predictors of attitudes toward trade liberalization than industry-wide comparative advantage. We also show that export intensity is strongly associated with interest and lobbying activity on trade policy. The largest exporters, who are the
strongest supporters of global integration, dominate trade politics.

Ratkovic, M., & Tingley, D. (2017). Sparse Estimation and Uncertainty with Application to Subgroup Analysis. Political Analysis , 25 (1), 1-40. sparsereg.pdf