Publications

2015
Keele, L., Tingley, D., & Yamamoto, T. (2015). Identifying Mechanisms behind Policy Interventions via Causal Mediation Analysis. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management , 34 (4), 937-963. mediationpolicy.pdf
Renshon, J., Lee, J., & Tingley, D. (2015). Physiological Arousal and Political Beliefs. Political Psychology , 36 (5), 569-585. anxietyimmigrationpp.pdf
Lucas, C., Nielsen, R., Roberts, M., Stewart, B., Storer, A., & Tingley, D. (2015). Computer assisted text analysis for comparative politics. Political Analysis , 23 (2), 254-277. comparativepoliticstext.pdf compoltextappendix.pdf
2014
McDermott, R., Tingley, D., & Hatemi, P. (2014). Assortative Mating Could Operate Through Olfactory Cues. American Journal of Political Science , 58 (4), 997-1005. ajpsscents.pdf scents-supmat.pdf
Imai, K., Keele, L., Tingley, D., & Yamamoto, T. (2014). Practical Implications of Theoretical Results for Causal Mediation Analysis. Psychological Methods , 19 (4), 488-492. pearlpm.pdf
Tingley, D. (2014). Survey Research In International Political Economy: Motivations, Designs, Methods. International Interactions , 40 (3), 443-451. surveyexperimentsipe.pdf
Ludwin-Perry, E., & Tingley, D. (2014). Ethical Situations and their Effects on Judgments of Punishment. Ethics and Behavior , 24 (3), 253-262. ethicscorruption.pdf
Roberts, M., Stewart, B., Tingley, D., Lucas, C., Leder-Luis, J., Gadarian, S., Albertson, B., et al. (2014). Structural topic models for open ended survey responses. American Journal of Political Science , 58 (4), 1064-1082. topicmodelsopenendedexperiments.pdf ajpsappendix.pdf
Tingley, D., Yamamoto, T., Hirose, K., Keele, L., & Imai, K. (2014). mediation: R Package for Causal Mediation Analysis. Journal of Statistical Software , 59 (5). mediationr2.pdf
Tingley, D., & Tomz, M. (2014). Conditional Cooperation and Climate Change. Comparative Political Studies , 47 (3), 344 - 368. tingleytomzclimatefinal.pdf
Tingley, D. (2014). Face Off: Facial Features and Strategic Choice. Political Psychology , 35 (1), 344-368. avatartingley.pdf
Hicks, R., Milner, H., & Tingley, D. (2014). Trade Policy, Economic Interests and Party Politics in a Developing Country: The Political Economy of CAFTA. International Studies Quarterly , 58, 106-117.Abstract

Why have developing countries increasingly opened their economies to trade? Research about trade policy in developed countries has focused on a bottom up process by identifying the economic preferences of domestic groups. We know less about preferences in developing countries. To explore this, we focus on the micro level and explore one country’s decision making in a systematic fashion, rather than using a cross-national analysis. We analyze how economic and political variables influenced Costa Rican voters in a referendum on CAFTA, an international trade agreement. We find surprisingly little support for Stolper-Samuelson models of economic preferences and instead find more support for skill-biased trade theories. Furthermore, we isolate the effects of political parties on the referendum vote; we document how at least one party influenced voters and this made the difference for CAFTA passage. Politics, in the form of parties using their organizational strength to cue and frame messages for voters, influenced an important trade policy decision. Theories about trade policy in developing countries need to take into account the impact of top-down political factors such as parties and message framing.

costarica.pdf
2013
Odell, J., & Tingley, D. (2013). Negotiating Agreements in International Relations. In Negotiating Agreement in Politics . American Political Science Association. negotiating_agreement_in_politics.pdf
Roberts, M., Stewart, B., Tingley, D., & Airoldi, E. (2013). The structural topic model and applied social science. Neural Information Processing Society. stmnips2013.pdf
Chilton, A., & Tingley, D. (2013). Why the Study of International Law Needs Experiments. Columbia Journal of Transnational Law , 52 (1), 173-238. chiltontingleyilexperiments.pdf
Milner, H. V., & Tingley, D. (Ed.). (2013). The Geopolitics of Foreign Aid . Edward Elgar.
Siedlinski, M., Tingley, D., Lipman, P., Cho, M. H., Litonjua, A. A., Sparrow, D., Bakke, P., et al. (2013). Dissecting direct and indirect genetic effects on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) susceptibility. Human Genetics , 132 (4), 431-441. smoking.pdf
Milner, H., & Tingley, D. (2013). Public Opinion and Foreign Aid: A Review Essay. International Interactions , 39 (3), 389-401. internationalinteractions-pubopinforeignaid-final.pdf
Milner, H., & Tingley, D. H. (2013). Introduction to the Geopolitics of Foreign Aid. In Geopolitics of Foreign Aid. introduction_elgar_vol_final.pdf
Miller, E., Pevehouse, J., Tingley, D., Rogowski, R., & Wilson, R. (2013). How to be a peer reviewer: a guide for recent and soon-to-be Ph.D.'s. PS: Political Science & Politics , 46 (1). Website

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