(For Full Publication List, See CV)
*Working Paper, "Capital Meets Democracy: The Impact of Suffrage Extension on Sovereign Bond Markets" (with Aditya Dasgupta), R &R, American Journal of Political Science
How compatible is mass democracy with financial capitalism? We examine this classic question through the reaction of sovereign bond markets to the rise of mass suffrage in Europe and the Americas during the nineteenth century, which represented both the “first wave of democracy” and “age of capital”.
*Working Paper, "Electoral Fraud and Support for Anti-System Parties: Voting in Imperial and Weimar Germany" (with Volha Charnysh), Presented Columbia University, 2019
How do authoritarian election practices affect political outcomes after a democratic transition? We analyze an original district-level dataset on electoral disputes in German elections (1871-1933) finding that pro-regime parties' reliance on electoral manipulation in the pre 1914 imperial period predicts electoral losses by their successor parties after 1918 democratization and find greater support for the Nazi party in constituencies that experienced more manipulated elections in the authoritarian period.
*Working Paper, "Parochialism and German Radical Right Vote" (with Daniel Bischof and Hanno Hilbig), Presented, Harvard University (2019) and Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin (2019)
What are the cultural roots of radical right voting? We propose and test whether strong parochial social networks--marked by high levels of cultural (e.g. linguistic) distance from the dominant national political community--affects voting for the radical right in Germany. We approximate the strength of parochial social networks by relying on linguistic micro-data from a unique dialectic survey conducted in the 19th century in 45,000 German schools. Using voting results on the district level we then predict voting for the Alternative für Deutschland in 2013 and 2017 and the Nazi party in 7 elections.
* Working Paper, "How do Voters Respond to Assaults on Checks and Balances: Evidence from a Survey Experiment in Turkey" (with Aytug Sasmaz and Alper Yagci), Prepaped for Midwestern Political Science Association, Chicago, Ill, 2019.
Do voters change their preferences about the basic democratic "rules of the game" based merely on who might win executive power? We study this issue in the context of 2018 Turkey which recently conducted its first presidential elections after the referendum for the transition to superpresidentialism with a priming experiment administered to a representative sample (N=2018) of Istanbul’s voting age population.