Business Cycle Dating Committee

Dates of recessions, starts & ends. 
Announcements

BCDC members.
FAQs


"Who needs a Committee? Isn’t a recession simply two quarters of negative growth?" Macroeconomic Policly Seminar, Harvard Economics Dept., Feb..14, 2023.

"The July 28 announcement of Q2 GDP will not mean the US is in recession," blog, June 21, 2022. From "Is the US in Recession?" Project Syndicate.

"No, the US is Not in Recession," blog, June 9, 2022.  From Barron's magazine, June 8..

"What Determines When a Recession is a Recession?" blogpost, June 18, 2020.
"The US is Officially in Recession, Thanks to the Coronavirus Crisis," The Guardian, June 16, 2020.

Why do we need a Business Cycle Dating Committee?". Seminar on Business Cycle Dating, CIDE, Oct. 30-31, 2019.

When was the end of the recession?  "Answer," Jeopardy show, April 19, 2019.

Photo of BCDC meeting, calling end of the Great Recession, April 2010.

Selected Press Coverage of BCDC, 2001-2011.