"Contractionary Currency Crashes in Developing Countries," The Mundell Fleming Lecture, 2004; IMF 5th Annual Research Conference.   NBER WP No. 11510.  IMF Staff Papers, 52, no. 2, 2005.

"Country Fund Discounts and the Mexican Crisis of 1994: Did Mexican Residents Turn Pessimistic Before International Investors?" (with Sergio Schmukler), Federal Reserve Board International Finance Discussion Paper No. 563. Condensed version of CIDER Working Paper No. C96-067. Open Economies Review 7, Fall 1996, 511-534. Reprinted in Currency Crashes: Causes, Consequences and Policy Responses, edited by George Tavlas, Kluwer, 1997, 81-104.

"Crises, Contagion, and Country Funds: Effects on East Asia and Latin America" (with Sergio Schmukler), Center for Pacific Basin Monetary and Economic Studies WP No. PB96-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, September 1996. In Managing Capital Flows and Exchange Rates: Lessons from the Pacific Rim, Reuven Glick, editor; Cambridge University Press, 1998.