The Term Structure of Interest Rates The Term Structure of Interest Rates "An Indicator of Future Inflation Extracted from the Steepness of the Interest Rate Yield Curve Along its Entire Length" (with Cara Lown), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109, no.2, May 1994, 517-530. "A Technique for Extracting a Measure of Expected Inflation from the Interest Rate Term Structure," Review of Economics and Statistics 64, no. 1 (February 1982), 135-142. ... Read more about The Term Structure of Interest Rates