Frankel J.
On the Franc. Annales de l'INSEE. 1982;47-48.
Publisher'sVersionAbstractSix assumptions that any exchange rate theory must take into account are tested on French data: covered interest parity, rational expectations, exchange risk premium, political risk premium, money demand function and slow adjustment to purchasing power parity. The evidence is consistent with what has been found for other countries, with the important qualification that French capital controls require that interest parity be amended. There is a term analogous to a "tax" on foreign assets. The building blocks are then combined in various ways into three alternative exchange rate models: a stickyprice monetary model, protfolio-balance model and synthesis model.
Frankel J.
The Mystery of the Multiplying Marks: A Modification of the Monetary Model. Review of Economics and Statistics. 1982;LXIV (3).
Publisher's VersionAbstractThe failure of Uncovered Interest Parity is usually attributed to the idea that risk makes domestic and foreign bonds imperfect substitutes in investors' portfolios. If so, as in the portfolio balance model, the the foreign-domestic return differential should be related to the supplies of foreign and domestic bonds that must be held. It isn't.
Frankel J.
The 1807-1809 Embargo Against Great Britain. Journal of Economic History. 1982;XLII (2).
Publisher's VersionAbstractThe lack of success of the 1807–1809 Embargo by the United States has generally been attributed, first, to a lack of effective enforcement, and, second, to an inability to inflict greater economic damage on Great Britain than was suffered by the United States. This paper challenges both explanations. It is argued, first, that the Embargo did effectively reduce both countries to autarky. It is argued, second, that in autarky the relative price in Britain of agricultural products that had previously been imported rose by more than the relative price in the United States of manufactured goods that had previously been imported.
Frankel J.
A Technique for Extracting a Measure of Expected Inflation from the Interest Rate Term Structure. Review of Economics and Statistics. 1982;64 (1) :135-142.
AbstractA long-short term spread is often used as a leading indicator of inflation of growth. But every point along the yield curve offers information. Thsi paper developed a formula for making use of the term structure along its entire length