Selected Publications on Emerging Markets

"Systematic Managed Floating," 2019, Open Economies Review, April, vol 30, no.2 pp.255-295.  Reprinted, The Asian Monetary Policy Forum -- Insights for Central Banking (Singapore: World Scientific Publ.), S,Davis. E.Robinson, & B.Yeung, Davis, eds., pp. 160-223.

On Graduation from Fiscal Procyclicality,” with Carlos Végh & Guillermo Vuletinin Journal of Development Economics100, no.1, Jan. 2013; pp. 32-47.  CID WP 248, July, 2012.   HKS RWP 12-011.  NBER WP 17619

Are Leading Indicators Useful for Assessing Country Vulnerability?  Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Financial Crisis,” with George Saravelosin Journal of International Economics 87, no.2, July 2012, pp. 216-31; Online Appendix, 2012.  NBER WP 16047; HKS RWP 11-024; M-RCBG WP 2011-07.   Summary at VoxEU, 2010  

"Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Countries” (pdf),2011, in Handbook of Monetary Economics, edited by Benjamin Friedman & Michael Woodford (North Holland), vol.3B, pp.1439-1520. HKS RWP 11-003; CID WP No.215; NBER WP no. 16125, 2010.  

"Choosing an Exchange Rate Regime,” 2011; in The Handbook of Exchange Rates, edited by Jessica James, Ian W. Marsh and Lucio Sarno (John Wiley). M-RCBG WP 16-2011.