Publications

2013
Diwan, Ishac. “Introduction: Political and Economic Transformations in the Arab World.” Middle East Development Journal 5, no. 1 (2013): 1310001-1-1310001-5. diwan_introduction_2013.pdf
Cammett, Melani, and Ishac Diwan. “Toward a Political Economy of the Arab Uprisings (part two).” Jadaliyya, 2013. Publisher's Version
Cammett, Melani, and Ishac Diwan. “Toward a Political Economy of the Arab Uprisings (part one).” Jadaliyya, 2013. Publisher's Version
Diwan, Ishac. “Who are the Democrats? Leading Opinions in the Wake of Egypt's 2011 Popular Uprisings,” 2013. Publisher's Version
The Political Economy of the Arab Uprisings
Cammett, Melani, and Ishac Diwan. The Political Economy of the Arab Uprisings. Boulder: Westview Press, 2013. Publisher's Version
Diwan, Ishac, and Hedi Larbi. “Reprise de la transition: Grand défi mais dernière chance.” Huffington Post Maghreb, 2013. Publisher's Version
Diwan, Ishac. “Kalamon - Ahram.” Kalamon, 2013. ahram.pdf
Diwan, Ishac. “Grievances or Aspirations: What drove Egypt’s 2011 Uprising?” (2013). age_vs_class_oct_13.pdf
Diwan, Ishac, and Hedi Larbi. “Tunisia’s Islamic Wild Card.” Project Syndicate, 2013. Publisher's Version
From Polarization to Pluralism – Healing Societal Divisions in MENA,” 2013. from_polarization_to_pluralism_wef.pdf
Diwan, Ishac, and Mustapha Nabli. “The missing conversation: how to build a moral capitalism in the Arab region.” The World Bank, 2013. Publisher's Version
Diwan, Ishac, and Mustapha Nabli. “What is “moral capitalism” and how do we build it?” 2013.
Diwan, Ishac. “Crony Capitalism in Egypt.” In Workshop and Policy Seminar on the Political Economy of Transformation in the ERF Region. Tunisia, 2013. Publisher's Version crony_capitalism_in_egypt.pdf
Diwan, Ishac, and Hedi Larbi. “Egypt’s Revolutionary Reset.” Project Syndicate, 2013. Publisher's Version
Diwan, Ishac, and Hedi Larbi. “Conditioning the Arab Transition.” Project Syndicate, 2013. Publisher's Version
Diwan, Ishac, and Marc Schiffbauer. “How can political connections help in capturing the energy subsidies that go to the energy intensive manufacturing sectors in Egypt?Economic Research Forum Blog, 2013. energy_subsidies_in_egypt.pdf
Diwan, Ishac. “Understanding Revolution in the Middle East: the Central Role of the Middle Class.” Middle East Development Journal 5, no. 1 (2013): 1350004-1-1350004-30.Abstract

The paper presents the outlines of a coherent, structural, long term account of the socioeconomic and political evolution of the Arab republics that can explain both the persistence of autocracy until 2011, and the its eventual collapse, in a way that is empirically veri¯able. I argue that the changing interests of the middle class would have to be a central aspect of a coherent story, on accounts of both distributional and modernization considerations, and that the ongoing transformation can be best understood in terms of their defection from the autocratic order to a new democratic order, which is still in formation. I then review what the evidence says in two central parts of the emerging narrative, for the case of Egypt: ¯rst, by looking directly at changes in opinion and asking whether these are consistent with the predictions of the theory. And second, by examining the corporate sector before and during the uprisings of 2011 in order to understand better the performance of \crony capitalism", and to evaluate whether it may have a®ected the incentives of the middle class to defect.

diwan_mc.pdf
2012
Diwan, Ishac. “Liberals, Islamists, and the Role of the Middle Class in the Demise of the Arab Autocracies.” Harvard Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy (2012): 31-54. diwan_2012_liberals_islamists_and_the_role_of_the_middle_class.pdf
Mallat, Chibli, Jane Mansbridge, Sade Jalal al-Azmk, Trudi Hodges, Mansoor al-Jamri, Ishac Diwan, Sharhabeel al-Zaeem, John J. Donohue, and Yang Jianli, S.J.A Strategy for Syria Under International Law: How to End the Asad Dictatorship While Restoring Nonviolence to the Syrian Revolution.” Harvard International Law Journal 53 (2012): 144-54. Publisher's Version
Chekir, Hamouda, and Ishac Diwan. “Crony Capitalism in Egypt,” 2012. Publisher's Version

Pages