Publications

2018
Barnett ML, Clark KL, Sommers BD. State Policies And Enrollees’ Experiences In Medicaid: Evidence From A New National Survey. Health Affairs. 2018;37 (10) :1647-1655. Publisher's Version
Roberts ET, AM Z, Barnett ML, et al. Assessment of the Effect of Adjustment for Patient Characteristics on Hospital Readmission Rates: Implications for Pay for Performance. JAMA Intern Med. 2018. Published Online
Barnett ML, Olenski AR, Thygeson NM, et al. A Health Plan's Formulary Led To Reduce Use of Extended-Release Opioids But Did Not Lower Overall Opioid Use. Health Affairs. 2018;37 (9) :1509-1516. Publisher's Version
Olesen SW, Barnett ML, MacFadden DR, Lipsitch M, Grad YH. Trends in outpatient antibiotic use and prescribing practice among US older adults, 2011-14: observational study. BMJ. 2018;362 (k3155). Publisher's Version
Barnett ML. Capsule Commentary on Navathe, et al., Do Changes in Post-acute Care Use at Hospitals Participating in an Accountable Care Organization Spillover to all Medicare Beneficiaries?. Journal of General Internal Medicine. 2018. Publisher's Version
Sacarny A, Barnett ML, Le J, et al. Peer Comparison Letters for High Volume Primary Care Prescribers of Quetiapine in Older and Disabled Adults: A Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Psychiatry. 2018. Publisher's Version
Barnett ML, Song Z, Bitton A, Rose S, Landon BE. Gatekeeping and patterns of outpatient care in the post-health reform era. American Journal of Managed Care. 2018. Publisher's Version
Wakeman SE, Barnett ML. Primary Care and the Opioid-Overdose Crisis — Buprenorphine Myths and Realities. New England Journal of Medicine. 2018;379 (1) :1-5. Publisher's Version
Carey CM, Jena AM, Barnett ML. Patterns of Potential Opioid Misuse and Subsequent Adverse Outcomes in Medicare, 2008-2012. Annals of Internal Medicine. 2018. Publisher's VersionAbstract

Providers are increasingly being expected to examine their patients' opioid treatment histories before writing new opioid prescriptions. However, little evidence exists on how patterns of potential opioid misuse are associated with subsequent adverse outcomes nationally.

Objective:

To estimate how a range of patterns of potential opioid misuse relate to adverse outcomes during the subsequent year.

Design:

Observational study comparing outcomes for Medicare enrollees with potential opioid misuse patterns versus those for beneficiaries with no such patterns, adjusting for patient characteristics.

Setting:

Medicare, 2008 to 2012.

Patients:

A 5% sample of beneficiaries who had an opioid prescription without a cancer diagnosis.

Measurements:

Several measures for opioid misuse were defined on the basis of drug quantity, overlapping prescriptions, use of multiple prescribers or pharmacies, and use of out-of-state prescribers or pharmacies. The primary outcome was a diagnosis of opioid overdose in the year after a 6-month index period. Secondary outcomes included subsequent opioid-related or overall mortality.

Results:

Overall, 0.6% to 8.5% of beneficiaries fulfilled a misuse measure. Subsequent opioid overdose was positively associated with successively greater numbers of prescribers or pharmacies or higher opioid quantities during the index period. For example, patients who obtained opioids from 2, 3, or 4 prescribers were increasingly more likely to have an opioid overdose (adjusted absolute risk per 1000 beneficiary-years [aAR], 3.5 [95% CI, 3.3 to 3.7]; 4.8 [CI, 4.5 to 5.2]; or 6.4 [CI, 5.8 to 6.9], respectively) than those with a single prescriber (aAR, 1.9 [CI, 1.8 to 2.0]). Subsequent overdose risk increased meaningfully with any deviation in the single prescriber–single pharmacy opioid use pattern. All misuse measures examined had a positive association with subsequent opioid overdose and death.

Lee MS, Ray KN, Mehrotra A, et al. Primary Care Practitioners’ Perceptions of Electronic Consult Systems: A Qualitative Analysis. JAMA Intern Med. 2018. Publisher's VersionAbstract

IMPORTANCE:

Safety-net health systems across the country are implementing electronic consult (eConsult) systems in which primary carepractitioners (PCPs) submit all requests for specialty assistance electronically to be reviewed and discussed with specialists. Evidence suggests that eConsult systems can make significant improvements in specialty access, but the outcomes of these systems for frontline PCPs is poorly understood.

OBJECTIVE:

To understand PCP perceptions of the results of eConsult initiation on PCP workflow, specialist access, and patient care.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS:

Qualitative interviews were conducted from December 1, 2016, to April 15, 2017, with 40 safety-net PCPs in Los Angeles County who use the Los Angeles County Department of Health Services (DHS) eConsult system. Interviewees were recruited to include diversity in PCP type, practice setting, and employer (DHS employed vs DHS affiliated). Participants were interviewed about their perceptions of clinical workflow, access to specialists, relationships with specialists, and referral decision making.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES:

Perceptions of the results of eConsult, including positive and negative themes and remaining perceived gaps in specialty care.

RESULTS:

Of the 40 participants, 27 (68%) were women; 24 (60%) PCPs performed 5 or more eConsults per week. Primary carepractitioners' perceptions of eConsult clustered around 4 main themes: access and timeliness of specialty care, shift of work to PCPs, relationships with specialists, and eConsult interface issues. Many PCPs praised the improved timeliness of specialist input with eConsult, as well as the added clinical and educational value of dialogue with specialists, particularly compared with the limitations of the prior referralprocess. However, PCPs also consistently perceived that eConsult shifted some of the work of specialty care to them. Many PCPs believed that this extra burden was worth the effort given the benefits of eConsult, such as improved timeliness of care and ability to manage specialty conditions. In contrast, others were frustrated by the increased administrative burden, broadened clinical responsibility, and restructuring of specialty care delivery.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE:

While associated with improved specialty care access, eConsult systems simultaneously created new challenges for PCPs, such as an increased burden of work in providing specialty care. Primary care practitioners varied in their enthusiasm for these workflow changes with diverging perceptions of the same processes. Our findings provide insights on challenges future primary care transformation efforts may face.

McEvoy D, Barnett ML, Sittig DF, et al. Changes in hospital bond ratings after the transition to a new electronic health record. Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association. 2018. Publisher's VersionAbstract

Objective

To assess the impact of electronic health record (EHR) implementation on hospital finances.

Materials and Methods

We analyzed the impact of EHR implementation on bond ratings and net income from service to patients (NISP) at 32 hospitals that recently implemented a new EHR and a set of controls.

Results

After implementing an EHR, 7 hospitals had a bond downgrade, 7 had a bond upgrade, and 18 had no changes. There was no difference in the likelihood of bond rating changes or in changes to NISP following EHR go-live when compared to control hospitals.

Discussion

Most hospitals in our analysis saw no change in bond ratings following EHR go-live, with no significant differences observed between EHR implementation and control hospitals. There was also no apparent difference in NISP.

Conclusions

Implementation of an EHR did not appear to have an impact on bond ratings at the hospitals in our analysis.

Barnett ML, McWilliams JM. Changes in Specialty Care Use and Leakage in Medicare Accountable Care Organizations. American Journal of Managed Care. 2018;24 (5) :e294-e302. Publisher's VersionAbstract
Objectives: Reducing leakage to outside specialists has been promoted as a key strategy for accountable care organizations (ACOs). We sought to examine changes in specialty care leakage and use associated with the Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP).

Study Design: Analyses of trends in ACOs from 2010 to 2014 and quasi-experimental difference-in-differences analyses comparing changes for ACOs versus local non-ACO providers from before until after the start of ACO contracts, stratified by ACO specialty composition and year of MSSP entry.

Methods: We used Medicare claims for a 20% sample of beneficiaries attributed to ACOs or non-ACO providers. The main beneficiary-level outcome was the annual count of new specialist visits. ACO-level outcomes included the proportion of visits for ACO-attributed patients outside of the ACO (leakage) and proportion of ACO Medicare outpatient revenue devoted to ACO-attributed patients (contract penetration).

Results: Leakage of specialist visits decreased minimally from 2010 to 2014 among ACOs. Contract penetration also changed minimally but differed substantially by specialty composition (85% for the most primary care–oriented quartile vs 47% for the most specialty-oriented quartile). For the most primary care–oriented quartile of ACOs in 2 of 3 entry cohorts, MSSP participation was associated with differential reductions in new specialist visits (–0.04 visits/beneficiary in 2014 for the 2012 cohort; –5.4%; <.001). For more specialty-oriented ACOs, differential changes in specialist visits were not statistically significant.

Conclusions: Leakage of specialty care changed minimally in the MSSP, suggesting ineffective efforts to reduce leakage. MSSP participation was associated with decreases in new specialty visits among primary care–oriented ACOs.
2017
Barnett ML, Gray J, Zink A, Jena AB. Coupling Policymaking with Evaluation — The Case of the Opioid Crisis. New England Journal of Medicine. 2017;377 (24) :2306-2309. Publisher's Version
Barnett ML, Sommers BD. A National Survey of Medicaid Beneficiaries’ Experiences and Satisfaction With Health Care. JAMA Intern Med. 2017;177 :1378-81. Publisher's VersionAbstract

In the current debate over the Affordable Care Act (ACA), some policymakers have argued that Medicaid is a broken program that provides enrollees with inadequate access to physicians. While numerous studies demonstrate that Medicaid increases access to care,1,2 the literature has less frequently focused on patient satisfaction among Medicaid enrollees themselves. We analyzed a newly released government survey examining Medicaid beneficiaries’ experiences in the program.
Barnett ML, Grabowski DC, Mehrotra A. Home-to-Home Time — Measuring What Matters to Patients and Payers. New England Journal of Medicine. 2017;377 :4-6. Publisher's Version
Fernández-Gracia J, Onnela J-P, Barnett ML, Eguíluz VM, Christakis NA. Influence of a patient transfer network of US inpatient facilities on the incidence of nosocomial infections. Scientific Reports. 2017;7 :2930. Publisher's VersionAbstract
Antibiotic-resistant bacterial infections are a substantial source of morbidity and mortality and have a common reservoir in inpatient settings. Transferring patients between facilities could be a mechanism for the spread of these infections. We wanted to assess whether a network of hospitals, linked by inpatient transfers, contributes to the spread of nosocomial infections and investigate how network structure may be leveraged to design efficient surveillance systems. We construct a network defined by the transfer of Medicare patients across US inpatient facilities using a 100% sample of inpatient discharge claims from 2006-2007. We show the association between network structure and C. difficile incidence, with a 1% increase in a facility's C. difficile incidence being associated with a 0.53% increase in C. difficile incidence of neighboring facilities. Finally, we used network science methods to determine the facilities to monitor to maximize surveillance efficiency. An optimal surveillance strategy for selecting "sensor" hospitals, based on their network position, detects 80% of the C. difficile infections using only 2% of hospitals as sensors. Selecting a small fraction of facilities as "sensors" could be a cost-effective mechanism to monitor emerging nosocomial infections.
Ray KN, Martsolf GR, Mehrotra A, Barnett ML. Trends in Visits to Specialist Physicians Involving Nurse Practitioners and Physician Assistants, 2001 to 2013. JAMA Intern Med. 2017;177 :1213-6. Publisher's VersionAbstract
Nurse practitioners (NPs) and physician assistants (PAs) play key roles in expanding access to primary care,1,2 but their involvement in specialty care is not well described. Given concerns about the limited supply of specialist physicians,3 increasing incorporation of NPs and PAs into collaborative specialist practices could be a strategy for improving access. Prior studies described the frequency of NPs and PAs practicing in specialty practices,4,5 and quantified the volume of care by NPs and PAs for surgical outpatients.6 However, to our knowledge, no study has described trends in specialist physician visits in which NPs and PAs provide care. We hypothesized that NPs and PAs increasingly are providing care to specialist physicians’ patients, and that this growth is primarily for routine follow-up.
Barnett ML, Song Z, Rose S, et al. Insurance transitions and changes in physician and emergency department utilization: An observational study. Journal of General Internal Medicine. 2017;32 (10) :1146-55. Publisher's VersionAbstract

Background

Shopping for health insurance is encouraged as a way to find the most affordable coverage that best meets an enrollee’s needs. However, the extent to which individuals switch insurance and subsequent changes in health care utilization that might arise, particularly new physician visits, are not well understood.

Objective

To examine the relationship between insurance switching and new physician and emergency department visits around the time of a switch.

Design

Observational study using a difference-in-differences design to compare those switching insurance carriers with propensity score-matched controls who did not switch, stratified based on whether individuals initially had private or Medicaid insurance coverage. All analyses adjusted for individual and insurance characteristics.

Participants

Continuously insured, non-elderly individuals with private or Medicaid insurance coverage in Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013.

Main Measures

Rates of new primary care and specialist physician visits, as well as rates of emergency department visits.

Key Results

Before matching, among 1,628,057 continuously insured individuals, 418,231 (26%) switched insurance carriers during a 2-year period. Characteristics of switchers and non-switchers were similar after matching (n = 316,343 in each group). After matching, switching plans was associated with a 203% and 47.5% increase in the rate of new primary care physician visits following switching for those initially with Medicaid or private coverage, respectively (both p < 0.001), with a large short-term increase, diminishing over time. Among those with Medicaid coverage, switching was associated with a 14.9% higher rate of ED visits during the month of switching (p < 0.001), but otherwise decreased modestly after switching.

Conclusions

Insurance switching is common, and is associated with increased new physician visits and temporarily increased ED use among the publicly insured. As insurance markets become more volatile in the current policy environment, understanding changes in utilization after insurance switching may become increasingly important.

Barnett ML, Linder JA, Clark CR, Sommers BD. Low-Value Medical Services in the Safety-Net Population. JAMA Internal Medicine. 2017;177 (6) :829–837. Publisher's VersionAbstract
\textlessh3\textgreaterImportance\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterNational patterns of low-value and high-value care delivered to patients without insurance or with Medicaid could inform public policy but have not been previously examined.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterObjective\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterTo measure rates of low-value care and high-value care received by patients without insurance or with Medicaid, compared with privately insured patients, and provided by safety-net physicians vs non–safety-net physicians.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterDesign, Setting, and Participants\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterThis multiyear cross-sectional observational study included all patients ages 18 to 64 years from the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (2005-2013) and the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (2005-2011) eligible for any of the 21 previously defined low-value or high-value care measures. All measures were analyzed with multivariable logistic regression and adjusted for patient and physician characteristics.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterExposures\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterComparison of patients by insurance status (uninsured/Medicaid vs privately insured) and safety-net physicians (seeing >25% uninsured/Medicaid patients) vs non–safety-net physicians (seeing 1%-10%).\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterMain Outcomes and Measures\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterDelivery of 9 low-value or 12 high-value care measures, based on previous research definitions, and composite measures for any high-value or low-value care delivery during an office visit.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterResults\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterOverall, 193 062 office visits were eligible for at least 1 measure. Mean (95% CI) age for privately insured patients (n = 94 707) was 44.7 (44.5-44.9) years; patients on Medicaid (n = 45 123), 39.8 (39.3-40.3) years; and uninsured patients (n = 19 530), 41.9 (41.5-42.4) years. Overall, low-value and high-value care was delivered in 19.4% (95% CI, 18.5%-20.2%) and 33.4% (95% CI, 32.4%-34.3%) of eligible encounters, respectively. Rates of low-value and high-value care delivery were similar across insurance types for the majority of services examined. Among Medicaid patients, adjusted rates of use were no different for 6 of 9 low-value and 9 of 12 high-value services compared with privately insured beneficiaries, whereas among the uninsured, rates were no different for 7 of 9 low-value and 9 of 12 high-value services. Safety-net physicians provided similar care compared with non–safety-net physicians, with no difference for 8 out of 9 low-value and for all 12 high-value services.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterConclusions and Relevance\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterOveruse of low-value care is common among patients without insurance or with Medicaid. Rates of low-value and high-value care were similar among physicians serving vulnerable patients and other physicians. Overuse of low-value care is a potentially important focus for state Medicaid programs and safety-net institutions to pursue cost savings and improved quality of health care delivery.\textless/p\textgreater
Barnett ML, Olenski AR, Jena AB. Patient Mortality During Unannounced Accreditation Surveys at US Hospitals. JAMA Internal Medicine. 2017;177 (5) :693–700. Publisher's VersionAbstract
\textlessh3\textgreaterImportance\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterIn the United States, hospitals receive accreditation through unannounced on-site inspections (ie, surveys) by The Joint Commission (TJC), which are high-pressure periods to demonstrate compliance with best practices. No research has addressed whether the potential changes in behavior and heightened vigilance during a TJC survey are associated with changes in patient outcomes.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterObjective\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterTo assess whether heightened vigilance during survey weeks is associated with improved patient outcomes compared with nonsurvey weeks, particularly in major teaching hospitals.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterDesign, Setting, and Participants\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterQuasi-randomized analysis of Medicare admissions at 1984 surveyed hospitals from calendar year 2008 through 2012 in the period from 3 weeks before to 3 weeks after surveys. Outcomes between surveys and surrounding weeks were compared, adjusting for beneficiaries’ sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, with subanalyses for major teaching hospitals. Data analysis was conducted from January 1 to September 1, 2016.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterExposures\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterHospitalization during a TJC survey week vs nonsurvey weeks.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterMain Outcomes and Measures\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterThe primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes were rates of\textitClostridium difficileinfections, in-hospital cardiac arrest mortality, and Patient Safety Indicators (PSI) 90 and PSI 4 measure events.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterResults\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterThe study sample included 244 787 and 1 462 339 admissions during survey and nonsurvey weeks with similar patient characteristics, reason for admission, and in-hospital procedures across both groups. There were 811 598 (55.5%) women in the nonsurvey weeks (mean [SD] age, 72.84 [14.5] years) and 135 857 (55.5%) in the survey weeks (age, 72.76 [14.5] years). Overall, there was a significant reversible decrease in 30-day mortality for admissions during survey (7.03%) vs nonsurvey weeks (7.21%) (adjusted difference, −0.12%; 95% CI, −0.22% to −0.01%). This observed decrease was larger than 99.5% of mortality changes among 1000 random permutations of hospital survey date combinations, suggesting that observed mortality changes were not attributable to chance alone. Observed mortality reductions were largest in major teaching hospitals, where mortality fell from 6.41% to 5.93% during survey weeks (adjusted difference, −0.38%; 95% CI, −0.74% to −0.03%), a 5.9% relative decrease. We observed no significant differences in admission volume, length of stay, or secondary outcomes.\textless/p\textgreater\textlessh3\textgreaterConclusions and Relevance\textless/h3\textgreater\textlessp\textgreaterPatients admitted to hospitals during TJC survey weeks have significantly lower mortality than during nonsurvey weeks, particularly in major teaching hospitals. These results suggest that changes in practice occurring during periods of surveyor observation may meaningfully affect patient mortality.\textless/p\textgreater

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