Plague and war: Political breakdown and the spread of HIV


Paxton, Nathan A. 2017. “Plague and war: Political breakdown and the spread of HIV.” Medicine, Conflict and Survival 32 (4): 255-281. Copy at
WarPlague781 KB


This exploratory data analysis finds a negative relationship between some types of war and HIV prevalence (i.e. as the former increases in intensity, the latter decreases). The study uses a longer time-frame and broader range of countries than similar studies, with explicit differentiation between sub-Saharan African and other developing countries. The study uses a variety of methods for analyzing time-series-cross-section data. These methods serve as both a robustness check for the results as well as a real-world demonstration of common suggestions for TSCS data.

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DOI:: 10.1080/13623699.2016.1265872
Last updated on 09/27/2017