@article {721911,
	title = {Changing Central Bank Pressures and Inflation},
	journal = {draft for Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Spring 2024},
	year = {Working Paper},
	url = {https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/4_Afrouzi-et-al_unembargoed.pdf},
	author = {Hassan Afrouzi and Marina Halac and Kenneth Rogoff and Pierre Yared}
}
@article {711221,
	title = {Rethinking China{\textquoteright}s Growth},
	journal = {Economic Policy 2024},
	year = {Forthcoming},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Yuanchen Yang}
}
@article {694506,
	title = {Long-Run Trends in Long-Maturity Real Rates 1311-2022},
	journal = {American Economic Review 2024. (Earlier version NBER Working Paper 30475)},
	year = {Forthcoming},
	url = {https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20221352\&from=f},
	author = {Kenneth S. Rogoff and Barbara Rossi and Paul Schmelzing}
}
@article {706026,
	title = {Rethinking the Informal Economy and the Hugo Effect},
	journal = {Harvard University, August 2023},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4538487},
	author = {Francesco Pappada and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {704946,
	title = {Post-War Macroeconomics Framework for Ukraine},
	journal = {CEPR Press July},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://cepr.org/publications/books-and-reports/post-war-macroeconomic-framework-ukraine},
	author = {Torbj{\"o}rn Becker and Barry Eichengreen and Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Sergei Guriev and Simon Johnson and Tymofiy Mylovanov and Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff and Beatrice Weder di Mauro}
}
@broadcast {704696,
	title = {The Federal Reserve and the Economy},
	journal = {CNN with Christine Romans, July 25},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://twitter.com/EarlyStart/status/1683782458238541824}
}
@article {701591,
	title = {Monetary Policy Without Commitment},
	journal = { May 2023},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://www.nber.org/papers/w31207},
	author = {Hassan Afrouzi and Marina Halac and Kenneth Rogoff and Pierre Yarad}
}
@broadcast {698185,
	title = {"4 Insights on the Future of the Global Economy"},
	journal = {January 20, 2023},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://www.weforum.org/videos/harvard-economist-kenneth-rogoff-s-4-insights-on-the-future-of-the-global-economy}
}
@broadcast {698184,
	title = {Is There a Financial Crisis in our Future?},
	journal = {Free Expression with Gerard Baker, editor Wall Street Journal},
	year = {2023},
	publisher = {February 8, 2023},
	url = {https://www.wsj.com/podcasts/opinion-free-expression/is-there-a-financial-crisis-in-our-future/e1dd08ff-f1fa-4748-bb23-ee13babff7c1}
}
@article {698169,
	title = {The Case for a World Carbon Bank},
	journal = {Journal of Policy Modeling},
	volume = {45},
	number = {4},
	year = {2023},
	month = {February 2023},
	pages = {693-701, July - August 2023}
}
@newspaperarticle {697728,
	title = {China Tier 3 Cities are Overbuilt},
	journal = {Der Zeit (Germany), January 2023},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2023-01/kenneth-rogoff-china-wachstum-chipindustrie}
}
@newspaperarticle {697727,
	title = {The Effect of Sanctions on Russia},
	journal = {Telegraph UK, January 21, 2023},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/01/20/russia-faces-incredible-poverty-warns-ex-imf-chief}
}
@newspaperarticle {697726,
	title = {A Turning Point in the Global Economy},
	journal = {Handelsblatt (Germany) January 18, 2023},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/international/staroekonom-kenneth-rogoff-wir-befinden-uns-am-wendepunkt-der-weltwirtschaft-/28926500.html}
}
@broadcast {697725,
	title = {Deglobalization and Global Inflation},
	journal = {CNBC January 17, 2023},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kamj2VuuR8g}
}
@broadcast {697724,
	title = {Risks to the Global Economy},
	journal = {Bloomberg January 17, 2023},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2023-01-17/rogoff-housing-markets-face-further-drop-of-10-video}
}
@broadcast {697723,
	title = {The Global Economy},
	journal = {NPR January 18, 2023},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://www.npr.org/2023/01/18/1149719629/economic-leaders-and-heads-of-state-gather-in-davos-to-discuss-global-challenges}
}
@article {696234,
	title = {Redeemable Platforms Currencies},
	journal = {Review of Economic Studies, volume 90, Issue 2, March 2023, pages 975-1008},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://academic.oup.com/restud/article-abstract/90/2/975/6596067?redirectedFrom=fulltext},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Yang You}
}
@article {694624,
	title = {A Tale of Tier 3 Cities},
	journal = {August 2023. (Earlier version published as NBER working paper 30519, September 2022)},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4538781},
	author = {Kenneth S. Rogoff and Yuanchen Yang}
}
@article {682943,
	title = {Decrypting New Age International Capital Flows},
	journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 138, September 2023, pp. 104-122. Earlier version: October 2021.},
	year = {2023},
	url = {https://www.nber.org/papers/w29337},
	author = {Clemens Graf-von-Luckner and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@article {697160,
	title = {The Great Inflation of 2022},
	journal = {The Times Literary Supplement, July 1, 2022},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.the-tls.co.uk/articles/lord-of-easy-money-christopher-leonard-money-illusion-scott-sumner-book-review-kenneth-rogoff}
}
@article {697156,
	title = {Issues in the Theory of Sovereign Debt and Post-Covid Workouts},
	journal = {Journal of Policy Modeling, 44 (4), July-August 2022},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0161893822000618}
}
@audiovisual {697154,
	title = {Inflation and the Future of Currency},
	journal = {Bloomsburg University Lecture Series. November 8, 2022},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.bloomu.edu/events/economic-lecture-series-dr-kenneth-s-rogoff}
}
@audiovisual {697153,
	title = {Inflation, Debt, and Central Bank Independence},
	journal = {Joe Tiao Lecture Series},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {Kansas State University October 13, 2022},
	url = {https://www.k-state.edu/economics/seminars/tiaolect.html}
}
@broadcast {696588,
	title = {New Inflation Data},
	journal = {NBC Meets the Press NOW. December 13. starts minute 27.30},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=flQDpWv7dGo}
}
@broadcast {696242,
	title = {Harvard Professor Ken Rogoff on Inflation and the Economy},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {CNN with Christine Romans, December 6},
	url = {https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__twitter.com_EarlyStart_status_1600086976870453252-3Fs-3D20-26t-3DTrfElGrbiRg9d-2Dl3E1-2D2-5FA\&d=DwMGaQ\&c=WO-RGvefibhHBZq3fL85hQ\&r=noI31MYbU7l9sX97hFGamxsVkLlVesLCs9YTrk4Ed9s\&m=wVhRBXoPX-t8qa1sYTWZrCzdrp}
}
@article {696241,
	title = {The Age of Inflation: Easy Money, Hard Choices},
	journal = {Foreign Affairs November/December},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.foreignaffairs.com/world/age-of-inflation-kenneth-rogoff},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@newspaperarticle {696240,
	title = {The Sanctions Can Work if India and China Join in},
	journal = {Mero Tribune (Nepal) December 6},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://merotribune.com/2022/12/06/kenneth-rogoff-the-sanctions-against-russia-can-work-if-china-and-india-join-in/}
}
@article {696224,
	title = {International Trade and Foreign Direct Investment},
	journal = {in Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Ilona Sologoub and Beatrice Weder di Mauro (eds.) Rebuilding Ukraine: Principle and Policies, Centre for Economic Policy Research (London), pp. 119-165.},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/rebuilding-ukraine-principles-and-policies},
	author = {Movachan and Veronika and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {695220,
	title = {How the Strong Dollar is Hurting the Global Economy},
	journal = {October 20},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {Kenneth Rogoff and Jean Claude Trichest},
	url = {https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2022/10/21/high-price-u-s-dollar-global-economy }
}
@broadcast {695218,
	title = {Kenneth Rogoff, Is This Time Different?},
	journal = {October 7},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {3 takeaways podcast with Lynn Thoman},
	url = {https://www.3takeaways.com/episodes/harvard-ken-rogoff-this-time-is-different}
}
@broadcast {695108,
	title = {{\textquotedblleft}UK Economy Under Stress{\textquotedblright}},
	journal = {October 11},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://twitter.com/BBCNewsnight/status/1579953635626197025}
}
@article {694623,
	title = {Emerging Market Sovereign Debt in the Aftermath of the Pandemic},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives 36 (4) Fall, pp. 147-166},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.36.4.147},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {694622,
	title = {Macroeconomic Policies for Wartime Ukraine},
	journal = {,CEPR Rapid Policy Response $\#$2, August 2022},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://cepr.org/publications/books-and-reports/macroeconomic-policies-wartime-ukraine},
	author = {T Becker and B. Eichengreen and Y Gorodnichenko and S Guriev and Johnson, S. and T Mylovanov and M Obstfeld and K Rogoff and B Weder di Mauro}
}
@newspaperarticle {692885,
	title = {The Great Inflation of 2022:  Review of books by Christopher Leonard and by Scott Sumner.},
	volume = {July 1},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.the-tls.co.uk/authors/kenneth-rogoff/}
}
@magazinearticle {692884,
	title = {Capital Magazine},
	volume = {June},
	year = {2022}
}
@webarticle {692883,
	title = {Ken Rogoff Shares 4 Lessons he Learned as Chess Grandmaster},
	number = {May 12},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.businessinsider.com/ken-rogoff-shares-lessons-learned-from-being-chess-grandmaster-imf-2022-5}
}
@broadcast {692402,
	title = {BBC World Service},
	journal = {July 20},
	year = {2022}
}
@broadcast {692401,
	title = {BBC World Business News},
	journal = {July 7},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/w172yk73mdnq4j1}
}
@broadcast {692076,
	title = {Early Start with Christine Romans and Laura Jarrett},
	journal = {July 27},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://video.snapstream.net/Play/74JSwyKPO3zHej8qo4rsRC?accessToken=ccugk1i341b32}
}
@broadcast {691813,
	title = {Harvard{\textquoteright}s Rogoff on US Dollar and Crypto Regulation},
	journal = {July 18},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2022-07-18/harvard-s-rogoff-on-us-dollar-and-crypto-regulation}
}
@broadcast {691569,
	title = {Beyond the Cost of Living Crisis},
	journal = {July 7},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {BBC World Service},
	url = {https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m0018wz7}
}
@broadcast {691568,
	title = {The Fed May Overshoot},
	volume = {July 6},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {Mornings with Maria Bartiromo (Fox Business)},
	url = {https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6309198069112}
}
@broadcast {691567,
	title = {Kenneth Rogoff on Abe and Abenomics and Risk of Recession},
	journal = {CNN with Christine Romans},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = { July 8},
	url = {https://twitter.com/EarlyStart/status/1545354549887655936?s=20\&t=LxVTcKxBQh5xcnKjz4RkmQ}
}
@magazinearticle {691564,
	title = {The Worst is Yet to Come},
	journal = {Stern Magazine},
	volume = {June 8},
	year = {2022},
	url = { https://www.stern.de/wirtschaft/harvard-oekonom-kenneth-rogoff--das-schlimmste-kommt-erst-noch-31930188.html}
}
@audiovisual {691163,
	title = {Pierre Werner Chair Lecture},
	journal = {European University Institute},
	year = {2022}
}
@audiovisual {690759,
	title = {Central Bank Independence 2.0},
	journal = {Paris School of Economics-Banque de France Chair Lecture},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/en/news/lecture-by-kenneth-rogoff-institutional-innovation-and-central-bank-independence-2-0-june-10/  }
}
@audiovisual {690594,
	title = {Mayekawa Lecture},
	volume = {May 26},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {Bank of Japan},
	url = {https://www.boj.or.jp/announcements/release_2022/data/rel220525a.pdf}
}
@broadcast {690293,
	title = {The global economy; the deficit issue and what can be done about manufacturing},
	journal = {May 12},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {The Money - ABC Radio International (Australia)},
	url = {https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/themoney/the-global-economy-the-deficit-issue-and-what-can-be-done-abou/13878402}
}
@broadcast {689771,
	title = {Saturday April 30, MSNBC with Ali Velshi},
	journal = {April 30},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {MSNBC},
	url = {: https://recast.simplecast.com/e7455490-337a-46a5-9498-f53fbfb4255c}
}
@broadcast {689610,
	title = {Fox Business with Maria Bartiromo},
	journal = {April 28},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6305317112112$\#$sp=show-clips}
}
@article {689424,
	title = {The Long-lasting Economic Shock of War},
	journal = {Finance and Development, IMF},
	volume = {April},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2022/03/the-long-lasting-economic-shock-of-war}
}
@broadcast {688987,
	title = {Russia{\textquoteright}s War on Ukraine},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {April 7},
	url = {https://youtu.be/c94WGeFThr0}
}
@article {688915,
	title = {A Blueprint for the Reconstruction of Ukraine},
	journal = {CEPR Press},
	volume = {April 07},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://voxeu.org/article/blueprint-reconstruction-ukraine},
	author = {Torbj{\"o}rn Becker and Barry Eichengreen and Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Sergei Guriev and Simon Johnson and Tymofiy Mylovanov and Kenneth Rogoff and Beatrice Weder di Mauro}
}
@book {688913,
	title = {Handbook of International Economics (International Macroeconomics)},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {Elsevier: North Holland},
	organization = {Elsevier: North Holland},
	edition = {6},
	editor = {Gita Gopinath and Elhanan Helpman and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@book {688912,
	title = {Handbook of International Economics. (International Trade)},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {Elsevier: North Holland},
	organization = {Elsevier: North Holland},
	edition = {5},
	url = {https://shop.elsevier.com/books/handbook-of-international-economics/gopinath/978-0-323-95772-4},
	editor = {Gita Gopinath and Elhanan Helpman and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {688622,
	title = {Future of Crypto},
	journal = {April 5},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {Bloomberg},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2022-04-05/bloomberg-crypto-full-show-04-05-2022-video}
}
@newspaperarticle {688337,
	title = {Dunya (Turkey)},
	volume = {March 28},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.dunya.com/ekonomi/turkiyede-ciddi-faiz-artisi-olmadan-enflasyon-dusmez-haberi-653272}
}
@newspaperarticle {688240,
	title = {Al Ahram (Eygyp)},
	journal = {March 22},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://gate.ahram.org.eg/daily/News/847702.aspx}
}
@broadcast {688142,
	title = {Abdul Jalil podcast interview with Kenneth Rogoff},
	journal = {March 19},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE)},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O3Vr2kIv9IY}
}
@newspaperarticle {687951,
	title = {Interview with Kenneth Rogoff on {\textquotedblleft}The End to the Peace Dividend?{\textquotedblright}},
	journal = {Handelsblatt},
	volume = {March 11},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/international/interview-harvard-oekonom-kenneth-rogoff-es-ist-dem-westen-noch-nie-gelungen-ein-regime-mithilfe-von-sanktionen-zu-stuerzen/28150500.html}
}
@broadcast {687780,
	title = {MSNBC with Zerlina Maxwell},
	journal = {March 7},
	year = {2022},
	note = {Starts minute\&nbsp;22:43},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VJBGwiLJIm0\&list=PLD9qIQuezbwRXMwMfRzYEQ3qXhMlWiqH8\&index=2}
}
@broadcast {687688,
	title = {Sanctions Could Push Russia into Financial Crisis and Recession},
	journal = {March 3},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {NPR All Things Considered},
	url = { https://www.npr.org/2022/03/03/1084310545/sanctions-on-russia-may-prevent-attacks-down-the-road-that-doesnt-help-ukraine-n?ft=nprml\&f=1084310545}
}
@newspaperarticle {687687,
	title = {Interview with Kenneth Rogoff,},
	journal = {March 4},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/kenneth-rogoff-harvard-oekonom-ueber-die-folgen-des-ukraine-kriegs-a-f47cc792-1093-4e09-915d-c85b35daaa19}
}
@broadcast {687593,
	title = {Closing Bell},
	journal = {February 28},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/news/sanctions-make-russia-very-vulnerable-says-former-chief-economist-of-the-imf/vi-AAUr5xy?li=BBnb7Kz}
}
@newspaperarticle {687515,
	title = {How Invasion May Hit U.S., Global Economies },
	journal = {February 24},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2022/02/how-invasion-may-hit-u-s-global-economies/}
}
@hearing {687371,
	title = {Testimony to the House Financial Services Committee on {\textquotedblleft}The Role of the International Monetary Fund in a Changing Global Landscape{\textquotedblright}},
	journal = {House Financial Services Committee},
	number = {February 17},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AgPxhX-3OsE}
}
@newspaperarticle {686936,
	title = {Should Bitcoin be Made Illegal?},
	journal = {February 7},
	year = {2022},
	url = {https://www.repubblica.it/economia/affari-e-finanza/2022/02/07/news/kenneth_rogoff_criptovalute_al_bando_aiutano_gli_affari_illegali_-336319224/}
}
@broadcast {686128,
	title = {Harvard economist thinks inflation will stick around in 2023},
	year = {2022},
	publisher = {January 17},
	url = {https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6292223119001$\#$sp=show-clips}
}
@inbook {683083,
	title = {Rethinking Central Bank Design},
	booktitle = {Karl Brunner and Monetarism},
	volume = {March 2022},
	year = {2022},
	pages = {89-125},
	publisher = {MIT Press},
	organization = {MIT Press},
	address = {Cambridge},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff},
	editor = {Thomas Moser and Marcel Savioz}
}
@inbook {682124,
	title = {Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes},
	booktitle = {Handbook of International Economics 6},
	year = {2022},
	pages = {91-145},
	publisher = {North Holland},
	organization = {North Holland},
	address = {Elsevier},
	url = {https://www.ilzetzki.com/irr-data},
	author = {Ethan Ilzetzki and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff},
	editor = {Gita Gopinath and Elhanan Helpman and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@article {681448,
	title = {The Aftermath of Debt Surges},
	journal = {Annual Review of Economics 14 (2022)},
	year = {2022},
	pages = {637-663},
	url = {https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-economics-051420-015343},
	author = {M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska L. Ohnsorge and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@newspaperarticle {685847,
	title = {Rogoff on Cryptocurrency},
	journal = {December 16},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://economia.estadao.com.br/noticias/geral,criptomoedas-estao-sendo-usadas-para-atividades-ilegais-e-precisam-ser-reguladas-diz-kenneth-rogoff,70003931591}
}
@broadcast {684435,
	title = {Inflation},
	journal = {November 23},
	year = {2021},
	publisher = {BBC World Business},
	url = {https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p0b61qrx}
}
@broadcast {683868,
	title = {Economists Don{\textquoteright}t Know How Long Inflation Will Last},
	year = {2021},
	publisher = {November 16},
	url = {https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/economists-dont-know-how-long-high-inflation-will-last/}
}
@webarticle {683432,
	title = {Developing Country Debt After the Pandemic},
	number = {November 3},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://voxeu.org/article/developing-economy-debt-after-pandemic}
}
@broadcast {682981,
	title = {China{\textquoteright}s Real Estate Problems:  A Risk to the Global Economy?},
	year = {2021},
	publisher = {October 22},
	url = {https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m0010tn1/newsnight-21102021 }
}
@webarticle {681447,
	title = {China{\textquoteright}s growing vulnerability to a slowdown in real estate production},
	journal = {September 21},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://voxeu.org/article/can-china-s-outsized-real-estate-sector-amplify-delta-induced-slowdown}
}
@newspaperarticle {681063,
	title = {Dow 36000: Silly or Prescient?},
	journal = {September 9},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://www.wsj.com/articles/dow-36000-forecast-right-stocks-bonds-records-glassman-hassett-11631117174?mod=searchresults_pos1\&page=1}
}
@newspaperarticle {679810,
	title = {The Nikkei},
	journal = {The Nikkei},
	volume = {August 8},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks/Interview/China-s-yuan-likely-to-become-Asia-s-central-currency-Kenneth-Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {678833,
	title = {The Demand Side (Podcast) {\textquotedblleft}Do We Still Need Cash{\textquotedblright} , 2021},
	year = {2021},
	publisher = {July 28},
	url = {https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-demand-side/id1538150328?i=1000530271596}
}
@broadcast {678745,
	title = {The Future of Crypto Regulation and Central Bank Digital Currencies},
	year = {2021},
	publisher = {July 23},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2021-07-24/might-not-see-conventional-banks-in-30-40-years-rogoff-video}
}
@hearing {678527,
	title = {Testimony to House of Lords Economic Committee on Quantitative Easing},
	journal = {House of Lords},
	number = {July 6},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://committees.parliament.uk/publications/6725/documents/71894/default/}
}
@newspaperarticle {677398,
	title = {La Repubblica Newspaper},
	journal = {June 16},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://www.repubblica.it/dossier/economia/innova-italia/2021/06/15/news/rogoff_l_italia_e_il_recovery_plan_europeo_le_mosse_giuste_per_ripartire_dopo_crisi_e_pandemia_-306062773/}
}
@newspaperarticle {677213,
	title = {Estado de S{\~a}o Paulo},
	journal = {June 8},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://economia.estadao.com.br/noticias/geral,economia-brasileira-esta-surpreendentemente-robusta-apesar-da-pandemia-diz-kenneth-rogoff,70003740317}
}
@article {674145,
	title = {Fiscal Sustainability in the Aftermath of the Great Pause},
	journal = {Journal of Policy Modeling},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/journal-of-policy-modeling/vol/43/issue/4},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {673748,
	title = {{\textquotedblleft}If We Ignore Global Inequality, We will Regret It{\textquotedblright}},
	year = {2021},
	publisher = {April 6},
	url = {https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p09cyjfb}
}
@broadcast {673747,
	title = {{\textquotedblleft}The uneven recovery{\textquotedblright}},
	year = {2021},
	publisher = {April 9},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2021-04-09/-bloomberg-surveillance-full-show-04-09-2021-video}
}
@newspaperarticle {672847,
	title = {Die Zeit Germany},
	journal = {March 18},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://www.zeit.de/2021/12/kenneth-rogoff-wirtschaftskrisen-corona-pandemie-oekonomie-konjunktur}
}
@broadcast {672528,
	title = {The Past, Present and Future of Money},
	journal = {March 22},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://econofact.org/podcast/the-past-present-and-future-of-money}
}
@article {670936,
	title = {Covid Cash},
	journal = {Cato Journal},
	volume = {41},
	number = {3 },
	year = {2021},
	month = {Fall 2021},
	pages = {November},
	url = {https://www.cato.org/cato-journal/fall-2021/covid-cash$\#$currency-demand-during-covid-19},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Jessica Scazzero}
}
@article {668725,
	title = {Discussion on Public Debt and Fiscal Policy },
	journal = {IMF Economic Review},
	volume = {60},
	number = {1},
	year = {2021},
	url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41308-020-00116-2},
	author = {Olivier Blanchard and Gita Gopinath and Kenneth Rogof}
}
@inbook {663561,
	title = {Risks to Central Bank Independence},
	booktitle = {Independence, Credibility and Communication of Central Banking},
	year = {2021},
	publisher = {Central Bank of Chile},
	organization = {Central Bank of Chile},
	address = {Santiago},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff},
	editor = {Ernesto Past{\'e}n and Ricardo Reis}
}
@article {662456,
	title = {Has China{\textquoteright}s Housing Production Peaked?},
	journal = { China and the World Economy},
	volume = {21},
	number = {1},
	year = {2021},
	month = {2021},
	pages = {1-31},
	url = {https://scholar.harvard.edu/rogoff/publications/peak-china-housing},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Yuanchen Yang}
}
@article {531566,
	title = {Revisiting Speculative Hyperinflations in Monetary Models},
	journal = {Review of Economic Dynamics},
	volume = {40},
	year = {2021},
	pages = {1-11},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {667642,
	title = {Will The Secular Decline In Exchange Rate And Inflation Volatility Survive Covid-19?},
	journal = {Brookings Papers on Economic Activity},
	volume = {Fall},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.brookings.edu/bpea-articles/will-the-secular-decline-in-exchange-rate-and-inflation-volatility-survive-covid-19/},
	author = {Ethan Ilzetski and Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff},
	editor = {Janice Eberly and James Stock}
}
@webarticle {664596,
	title = {Surveying a landscape of economic uncertainty in COVID era},
	journal = {October 8},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2020/10/kenneth-rogoff-assesses-the-state-of-the-u-s-economy/}
}
@newspaperarticle {664306,
	title = {Economic Times of India},
	journal = {October 4},
	year = {2020}
}
@webarticle {663465,
	title = {Peak China Housing},
	journal = {VOX CHINA},
	number = {September 16},
	year = {2020},
	url = {http://www.voxchina.org/show-3-196.html},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Yuanchen Yang}
}
@newspaperarticle {662904,
	title = {Interview with EXPRESSO (Portugal and Brazil)},
	journal = {September 6},
	year = {2020}
}
@article {662724,
	title = {The Debt Pandemic},
	journal = {International Monitary Fund - Finance and Development},
	volume = {Fall},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2020/09/debt-pandemic-reinhart-rogoff-bulow-trebesch.htm},
	author = {Jeremy Bulow and Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff and Christoph Trebesch}
}
@newspaperarticle {662723,
	title = {Investing In the Arts Will Speed Economic Recovery},
	journal = {September 1},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-09-01/investing-in-the-arts-will-speed-cities-economic-recovery?sref=VvJhl47t}
}
@broadcast {661439,
	title = {Corporate Virtual Roundtable: Central Bank Digital Currencies and the Future of Finance},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {August 6},
	url = {https://www.cfr.org/event/corporate-virtual-roundtable-central-bank-digital-currencies-and-future-finance}
}
@newspaperarticle {661352,
	title = {An expert on economic calamities sees {\textquoteleft}very, very dangerous territory.{\textquoteright}},
	journal = {August 7},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/08/07/business/stock-market-today-coronavirus$\#$an-expert-on-economic-calamities-sees-very-very-dangerous-territory}
}
@broadcast {660824,
	title = {How long can we expect the US catastrophe to endure},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {July 30},
	url = {https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/how-long-we-can-expect-the-u-s-economic-catastrophe-to-endure}
}
@article {660823,
	title = {Digital Currencies and Stablecoins:  Risks, Opportunities and Challenges Ahead},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://group30.org/images/uploads/publications/G30_Digital_Currencies.pdf },
	author = {Darrell Duffie and Raghuram Rajan and Kenneth Rogoff and Hyun Song Shinn and G30 Working Group on Digital Currencies}
}
@broadcast {660753,
	title = {Coronavirus Economy},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {July 30},
	url = {https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2020/07/30/gop-stimulus-plan-republicans-economy}
}
@newspaperarticle {654864,
	title = {Portafolio (Colombia)},
	journal = {June 18},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.portafolio.co/economia/si-hay-un-momento-para-que-colombia-se-endeude-mas-es-este-541858}
}
@broadcast {654722,
	title = {Princeton Bendheim Seminar {\textquotedblleft}Global Sovereign Debt and the Dollar Post-Covid,{\textquotedblright} (moderated by Markus Brunnermeier)},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {June 12},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uh4oPjxxq8 }
}
@newspaperarticle {653972,
	title = {Review of Deaths of Despair by Anne Case and Angus Deaton},
	journal = {June 1},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2020/06/book-review-deaths-of-despair-and-the-future-of-capitalism.htm}
}
@newspaperarticle {653832,
	title = {DI Business Magazine (Denmark)},
	journal = {May 29},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.danskindustri.dk/di-business/arkiv/nyheder/2020/5/stjerneokonom--vi-rammer-det-varste-okonomiske-tilbageslag-i-over-100-ar/}
}
@newspaperarticle {653352,
	title = {In a pandemic, no one wants to touch it. Why cash has become the new Typhoid Mary},
	journal = {May 22},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-05-22/retailers-consumers-reject-cash-coronavirus-pandemic}
}
@broadcast {653222,
	title = {Reopening the Coronavirus economy},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {May 20},
	url = {https://www.wbur.org/bostonomix/2020/05/20/ken-rogoff-coronavirus-reopening-economy}
}
@broadcast {653128,
	title = {Coronavirus recovery will take US 5 years},
	journal = {May 12},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6156029574001/?playlist_id=3166411554001$\#$sp=show-clips}
}
@broadcast {653127,
	title = {Policy makers doing all they can but {\textquoteright}there is no such thing as a free lunch{\textquoteright}},
	journal = { May 14},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/economics/video/policy-makers-doing-all-they-can-but-there-is-no-such-thing-as-a-free-lunch-former-imf-chief-economist~1959121}
}
@magazinearticle {653126,
	title = {Harvard{\textquoteright}s Financial Crisis Experts Say This Time Really Is Different},
	journal = {May 18},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-05-18/harvard-s-financial-crisis-experts-this-time-really-is-different}
}
@broadcast {652068,
	title = {CNBC},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {April 29},
	url = {https://cnbc.com/video/2020/04/29/rogoff-on-the-fed-and-servicing-debt.html}
}
@newspaperarticle {651590,
	title = {Guangming Daily Newspaper (China)},
	journal = { April 22},
	year = {2020},
	url = {http://epaper.gmw.cn/gmrb/html/2020-04/22/nw.D110000gmrb_20200422_1-12.htm}
}
@webarticle {651469,
	title = {Negative interest rate policy in the post COVID-19 world},
	journal = {17 April},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://voxeu.org/article/negative-interest-rate-policy-post-covid-19-world},
	author = {Andrew Lilley and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {651458,
	title = {{\textquotedblleft}Here and there,{\textquotedblright} NPR},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = { April 16},
	url = {https://www.wbur.org/hereandnow/2020/04/16/harvard-economist-kenneth-rogoff-on-how-to-reopen-the-economy}
}
@broadcast {651442,
	title = {Harvard economist: Coronavirus V-shaped recovery {\textquoteright}exceedingly optimistic,{\textquoteright} Mornings With Maria},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {April 16},
	url = {http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6149959642001}
}
@broadcast {651351,
	title = {Harvard Economist Weighs In On How Reopening For Business May Look Post-Coronavirus},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {April 14},
	url = {https://www.wbur.org/commonhealth/2020/04/14/coronavirus-covid-19-ken-rogoff-economy}
}
@broadcast {650819,
	title = {Understanding the Record Jobless Numbers},
	journal = {April 5},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.cbsnews.com/news/understanding-the-record-jobless-numbers-jill-schlesinger/}
}
@newspaperarticle {650481,
	title = {Global Economy Could Take a Depression-Like Hit From Coronavirus, Says Harvard{\textquoteright}s Rogoff, Who Has Studied 800 Years of Crises},
	journal = {March 31},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.barrons.com/articles/harvards-rogoff-shares-his-take-on-coronavirus-crisis-51585653300}
}
@article {650441,
	title = {Falling Real Interest Rates, Rising Debt: A Free Lunch?},
	journal = {The Journal of Policy Modelling},
	volume = {24},
	number = {4(July-August)},
	year = {2020},
	pages = {778-790},
	url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.03.004},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@newspaperarticle {650440,
	title = {The Coronavirus Debt Threat},
	journal = {March 27},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-coronavirus-debt-threat-11585262515}
}
@broadcast {650331,
	title = {PBS Newshour},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = { March 19},
	url = {https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/economist-ken-rogoff-on-whether-the-u-s-has-ever-experienced-a-crisis-like-this-one}
}
@article {649984,
	title = {Why Is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight?},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Policy},
	volume = {July},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.nber.org/papers/w26760},
	author = {Ethan Ilzetzki and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {649686,
	title = {Mornings with Maria},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {March 5},
	url = {https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6138678444001/?playlist_id=3166411554001$\#$sp=show-clips}
}
@newspaperarticle {649671,
	title = {"Die Panik ist gerade riesig," Die Zeit},
	journal = {March 5},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.zeit.de/2020/11/kenneth-rogoff-oekonom-finanzkrisen-coronavirus-china-weltwirtschaft}
}
@broadcast {649542,
	title = {CNBC Squawbox },
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {March 3},
	url = {https://www.cnbc.com/video/2020/03/03/federal-reserve-reaction-coronavirus-interest-rates-global-economy.html}
}
@newspaperarticle {649541,
	title = {{\`E} come lo shock petrolifero del {\textquoteright}73 al 50\% sar{\`a} recessione globale, Republica Newspaper},
	journal = {March 3},
	year = {2020}
}
@broadcast {646941,
	title = {Discussion of Deaths of Despair},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {January 4},
	url = {https://www.aeaweb.org/webcasts/2020/deaths-of-despair-future-of-capitalism}
}
@newspaperarticle {646665,
	title = {Kompletter Unfug},
	journal = {January 18},
	year = {2020},
	url = {https://www.spiegel.de/international/interview-with-kenneth-rogoff-on-european-central-bank-a-c3e15f23-bb4e-4737-911c-d3737b5607a1}
}
@broadcast {646268,
	title = {USMCA won{\textquoteright}t have a big impact on economic growth},
	year = {2020},
	publisher = {January 7},
	url = {https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6120350407001}
}
@article {642177,
	title = {The Case for Implementing Effective Negative Interest Rate Policy},
	journal = {Strategies for Monetary Policy, (Stanford: Hoover Institution Press)},
	volume = {April},
	year = {2020},
	month = {August 2020},
	url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3427388},
	author = {Andrew Lilley and Kenneth Rogoff},
	editor = {John Cochrane and John Taylor}
}
@audiovisual {682609,
	title = {G30 Lecture},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {April 10},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AA5NSgGAv50}
}
@audiovisual {682608,
	title = {Juli Plant Grainger Seminar},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {University of Wisconsin, September 18}
}
@audiovisual {682607,
	title = {The Theodore and Rita Combs Lecture},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {University of Notre Dame, October 28},
	url = {https://al.nd.edu/news/events/2019/10/28/macro-seminar-combs-lecture-ken-rogoff/}
}
@broadcast {646942,
	title = {Discussion with World Bank President David Malpass on book release Global Waves of Debt},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {December 19},
	url = {https://1930181.mediaspace.kaltura.com/media/0_mfdtf0yf}
}
@newspaperarticle {645311,
	title = {Stress test for the Global Economy},
	journal = {December 12},
	year = {2019},
	url = {https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/konjunktur/nachrichten/harvard-oekonom-im-interview-kenneth-rogoff-langfristig-werden-wir-den-preis-fuer-die-schulden-zahlen-muessen/25323624.html}
}
@broadcast {644907,
	title = {First Move with Julia Chatterley, "The Coming Chinese Central Bank Digital Currency"},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {November 27},
	url = {https://twitter.com/jchatterleyCNN/status/1199785495926132739}
}
@broadcast {643571,
	title = {CNBC The Santelli Exchange  },
	year = {2019},
	publisher = { October 31},
	url = {https://cnbc.com/video/2019/10/31/santelli-exchange-fed-pause-and-a-pivot.html}
}
@broadcast {643350,
	title = {CBS This Morning:  CBS This Morning},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {October 19},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=13H7c0QAU_4}
}
@article {641639,
	title = {A Guide to Sovereign Debt Data},
	journal = {Sovereign Debt: A Guide for Economists and Practitioners, Oxford University Press},
	year = {2019},
	url = {https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2019/09/13/A-Guide-to-Sovereign-Debt-Data-48611},
	author = {S. M. Ali Abbas and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {639985,
	title = {Is the clock ticking down to a recession?},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {August 19},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZKze6hRMj2Q}
}
@broadcast {639949,
	title = {NPR Marketplace },
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {August 15},
	url = {https://www.marketplace.org/2019/08/14/inverted-yield-curve-does-not-mean-recession/}
}
@broadcast {639941,
	title = {CNN},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {August 18},
	url = {https://f.io/CKiDKJMl}
}
@webarticle {639211,
	title = {Project Syndicate internationally syndicated column},
	journal = {Recurring Monthly},
	year = {2019},
	url = {https://www.project-syndicate.org/columnist/kenneth-rogoff}
}
@broadcast {639024,
	title = {U.S. a Winner in Global Economy, Santelli Exchange CNBC.},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {July 31},
	url = {https://cnbc.com/video/2019/07/31/santelli-exchange-us-a-winner-in-global-economy.html}
}
@newspaperarticle {638851,
	title = {A True Scholar, Martin Feldstein, 1939{\textendash}2019},
	journal = {July 22},
	year = {2019},
	url = {https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2019-07-22/true-scholar}
}
@broadcast {637998,
	title = {The Case for a World Carbon Bank},
	journal = {CNN Fareed Zakaria GPS },
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {July 14}
}
@broadcast {636660,
	title = {CNN Newsroom, CNN},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {June 7},
	url = {https://f.io/m2RS2zRU}
}
@broadcast {636659,
	title = {Santelli Exchange, CNBC},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {June 6},
	url = {https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/06/06/santelli-exchange-the-ecbs-toolkit.html}
}
@book {635917,
	title = {Sovereign Debt: A Guide for Economists and Practitioners},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	organization = {Oxford University Press},
	url = {https://global.oup.com/academic/product/sovereign-debt-9780198850823?cc=us\&lang=en\&},
	editor = {S. Ali Abbas and Alex Pienkowski and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@newspaperarticle {635882,
	title = {The Austerity Chronicles: Review of Alberto Alesina, Carlo Favero, and Francesco Giavazzi, Austerity: When It Works and When It Doesn{\textquoteright}t, Princeton University Press, 2019.},
	journal = {April 5},
	year = {2019},
	url = {https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/federal-reserve-modern-monetary-theory-dangers-by-kenneth-rogoff-2019-03}
}
@broadcast {635574,
	title = {Maria Bartiromo{\textquoteright}s Wall Street, Fox Business },
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {April 26},
	url = {https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6030508173001/?playlist_id=4796307644001$\#$sp=show-clips}
}
@article {635325,
	title = {Is This the Beginning of the End of Central Bank Independence? },
	journal = {G30 Occasional Paper},
	year = {2019},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AA5NSgGAv50},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {635324,
	title = {Harvard{\textquoteright}s Rogoff Makes the Case for Negative Interest Rates},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {May 6},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2019-05-03/harvard-s-rogoff-makes-the-case-for-negative-interest-rates-video}
}
@article {635323,
	title = {The Law of One Price Over 700 Years},
	journal = {Annals of Economics and Finance},
	volume = {20},
	number = {1},
	year = {2019},
	pages = {1-35},
	url = {http://aeconf.com/Articles/May2019/aef200101.pdf},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Kenneth Froot and Michael Kim}
}
@broadcast {635093,
	title = {An economist explains what happens if there{\textquoteright}s another financial crisis},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {April 30},
	url = {https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2019/04/an-economist-explains-what-happens-if-there-s-another-financial-crisis/}
}
@broadcast {635003,
	title = {Corporate debt may pose risks if economy goes south},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {April 24},
	url = {https://www.marketplace.org/2019/04/25/business/corporate-debt-may-pose-risks-if-economy-goes-south  }
}
@broadcast {635002,
	title = {Mornings with Maria, Fox Business},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {April 26},
	url = {https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6030246774001/$\#$sp=show-clips}
}
@newspaperarticle {634333,
	title = {La Tercera (Chile)},
	journal = {April 7},
	year = {2019}
}
@broadcast {634242,
	title = {{\textquotedblleft}President Trump Makes Two New Appointments to the Fed,{\textquotedblright} CNN Newsroom with Fredricka Whitfield},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {April 7},
	url = {https://www.dropbox.com/s/egc8fx5aejyq0o6/rogoffseg4-7.mp4?dl=0}
}
@broadcast {633504,
	title = {CITIES FIGHTING BACK VS. CASHLESS BUSINESSES. Michael Smerconish interviews Kenneth Rogoff, CNN},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {March 16},
	url = {http://www.cnn.com/video/data/2.0/video/tv/2019/03/15/cities-fighting-back-vs-cashless-businesses.cnn.html}
}
@broadcast {633503,
	title = {The Effects of the 2017 Tax Cut, CNBC Squawkbox},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {March 11},
	url = {https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/03/11/watch-grover-norquist-debate-an-economist-on-the-effects-of-the-2017-tax-cuts.html?\&qsearchterm=rogoff}
}
@broadcast {633204,
	title = {"The Dragon Slows" with Kenneth Rogoff, CNBC18 India},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {March 6},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9qado7JwDTU}
}
@broadcast {632732,
	title = {Maria Bartiromo interviews Kenneth Rogoff, {\textquotedblleft}China economy is in more than a slow patch,{\textquotedblright} Fox Business News},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {February 25}
}
@newspaperarticle {632731,
	title = {Rogoff: {\textquoteleft}Greece must restore growth to rebuild middle class{\textquoteright}},
	journal = {February 24},
	year = {2019},
	url = {https://www.in.gr/2019/02/25/english-edition/rogoff-greece-must-restore-growth-rebuild-middle-class/}
}
@newspaperarticle {632730,
	title = {Κένεθ Ρογκόφ: {\guillemotleft}Η Ελλάδα πρέπει να ανοικοδομήσει τη μεσαία τάξη{\guillemotright}},
	journal = {February 24},
	year = {2019},
	url = {https://www.tovima.gr/2019/02/25/politics/keneth-rogkof-i-ellada-prepei-na-anoikodomisei-ti-mesaia-taksi/}
}
@newspaperarticle {632284,
	title = {The Curse of Cash and the Allure of Gold},
	journal = {February 12},
	year = {2019},
	url = {https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-investor/gold-investor-february-2019/the-curse-of-cash-and-the-allure-of-gold?utm_source=twitter.com\&utm_medium=referral\&utm_term=organic\&utm_content=cashless-society\&utm_campaign=gi-feb-2019}
}
@broadcast {632282,
	title = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {February 18},
	url = {https://www.npr.org/2019/02/18/695755973/the-pros-and-cons-of-moving-toward-a-cashless-society}
}
@broadcast {632077,
	title = {Never Mind the Debt: If There{\textquoteright}s a Hard Brexit Britain Will Have to Splash the Cash},
	year = {2019},
	publisher = {February 3},
	url = {https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/rogoff/files/the_sunday_times_february_3_2019_rogoff.pdf}
}
@article {503441,
	title = {Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold?},
	journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	volume = {134},
	number = {2},
	year = {2019},
	month = {2019},
	pages = {599-646},
	url = {https://www.ilzetzki.com/irr-data},
	author = {Ethan Ilzetzki and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@audiovisual {636758,
	title = {This Time is Different: Debt and  Financial Crises in Cross-Country  Historical Perspective},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {Swedish House of Finance, May 26},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZdve-uKInk\&feature=youtu.be}
}
@newspaperarticle {634243,
	title = {{\textquotedblleft}Crash Time,{\textquotedblright} Project Syndicate/Handelsblatt/El Pais},
	journal = {September 7},
	year = {2018},
	url = {https://www.project-syndicate.org/onpoint/crash-time-by-kenneth-rogoff-2018-09}
}
@broadcast {632076,
	title = {The Toll of America{\textquoteright}s Obesity},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {August 10},
	url = {https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/09/opinion/cost-diabetes-obesity-budget.html}
}
@broadcast {629120,
	title = {MSNBC with Ali Velshi, MSNBC },
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {August 16},
	url = {https://www.msnbc.com/ali-velshi/watch/the-crisis-in-turkey-how-it-could-affect-the-global-economy-1301332547568}
}
@broadcast {629119,
	title = {CNBC Santelli Exchange, CNBC},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {July 6},
	url = {http://cnbc.com/video/2018/07/06/santelli-exchange-jobs-jobs-jobs.html}
}
@broadcast {629117,
	title = {CNBC Santelli Exchange, CNBC, Squawk on the Street},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {October 11},
	url = {https://www.cnbc.com/video/2018/10/11/santelli-exchange-a-big-wave-coming-for-the-federal-reserve.html}
}
@broadcast {629116,
	title = {Fox Business News Varney and Co},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {December 19},
	url = {https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/5981687870001/ }
}
@broadcast {622795,
	title = {CNBC Santelli Exchange},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {October 11},
	url = {http://cnbc.com/video/2018/10/11/santelli-exchange-a-big-wave-coming-for-the-federal-reserve.html}
}
@broadcast {611330,
	title = {Santelli Exchange: Former IMF Chief Economist on productivity},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {June 7},
	url = {https://www.cnbc.com/video/2018/06/06/santelli-exchange-former-imf-chief-economist-on-productivity.html}
}
@article {610891,
	title = {Capital Controls: Myth and Reality},
	journal = {Annals of Economics and Finance},
	volume = {19},
	number = {1},
	year = {2018},
	pages = {1-47},
	url = {http://aeconf.com/Articles/May2018/aef190101.pdf},
	author = {Nicolas E. Magud and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {609722,
	title = {Kenneth Rogoff: "Es desestabilizador que se perciba que el Banco Central pierde independencia"},
	journal = {Interview with Sof{\'\i}a Diamante, May 13},
	year = {2018},
	url = {https://www.lanacion.com.ar/2134076-kenneth-rogoff-es-desestabilizador-que-se-perciba-que-el-banco-central-pierde-independencia}
}
@broadcast {608158,
	title = {Santelli Exchange: Former IMF Chief Economist on future interest rate increases},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {April 12},
	url = {http://cnbc.com/video/2018/04/12/santelli-exchange-former-imf-chief-economist-on-future-interest-rate-increases.html}
}
@broadcast {604664,
	title = {Business Matters},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {February 8},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w172vthc1ysr4ry }
}
@broadcast {604579,
	title = {Former IMF Economist on Volatile Market, Interest Rates},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {February 9},
	url = {https://www.cbsnews.com/video/former-imf-economist-on-volatile-market-interest-rates/}
}
@broadcast {604305,
	title = {Santelli Exchange: Harvard University Prof. Ken Rogoff Predicts Four Rate Hikes this Year},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {February 2},
	url = {https://www.cnbc.com/video/2018/02/02/santelli-exchange-harvard-university-prof-ken-rogoff-predicts-four-rate-hikes-this-year.html}
}
@broadcast {604154,
	title = {Rogoff on Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies and the Curse of Cash},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {January},
	url = {http://m.spiegel.de/spiegel/bitcoin-debatte-kenneth-rogoff-ueber-eine-digitale-d-mark-a-1189959.html}
}
@broadcast {603840,
	title = {Trump{\textquoteright}s message at Davos is definitely the US is {\textquoteright}open for business{\textquoteright}},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {January 26},
	url = {https://www.cnbc.com/video/2018/01/26/trumps-message-at-davos-is-definitely-the-us-is-open-for-business-harvards-kenneth-rogoff.html?play=1}
}
@broadcast {603429,
	title = {China ist im Zentrum der n{\"a}chsten Krise},
	journal = {Finanz und Wirtschaft},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {Christoph Gisiger interview with Ken Rogoff, January 19},
	url = {https://www.fuw.ch/article/rogoff-china-is-the-leading-candidate-for-being-at-the-center-of-the-next-big-financial-crisis/}
}
@broadcast {600761,
	title = {The Case for a Less-Cash Society},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {December 27},
	url = {http://video.foxnews.com/v/5694380281001/?$\#$sp=show-clips}
}
@broadcast {600496,
	title = {Should Trump get credit for job market?},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {December 26},
	url = {http://www.snappytv.com/tc/6677839}
}
@broadcast {569646,
	title = {A Less-Cash Society?},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {October 4},
	url = {https://soundcloud.com/financialexchange/kenneth-rogoff-harvard-cashless-society}
}
@broadcast {566781,
	title = {Should We Move to a Mostly Cashless Society},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {September 25},
	url = {https://www.wsj.com/articles/should-we-move-to-a-mostly-cashless-society-1506305220}
}
@broadcast {563786,
	title = {Trump Tells Congress to "Move Fast" on Tax Reform},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {September 16},
	url = {http://snpy.tv/2wxhNTv}
}
@broadcast {562546,
	title = {A Less Glamorous Wall Street},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {September 13},
	url = {https://www.marketplace.org/shows/marketplace-morning-report/09132017-markets-edition}
}
@broadcast {560146,
	title = {What on Earth Was India Thinking when It Banned the $7.50 Bill?},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {September 4},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/making-sense/hell-india-thinking-banned-7-50-bill/}
}
@broadcast {557066,
	title = {The Demise of Cash},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {August 21},
	url = {https://viewpointsradio.wordpress.com/}
}
@broadcast {552206,
	title = {Modi Praised for Demonetizing India},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {August 7},
	url = {http://www.kcrw.com/news-culture/shows/to-the-point/can-a-general-unchaos-the-white-house$\#$seg-modi-praised-for-demonetizing-india}
}
@broadcast {551776,
	title = {Ag May Have Played a Role in Convincing Trump to Hold Off on China Trade Action},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {August 4},
	url = {https://www.cnbc.com/video/2017/08/04/ag-may-have-played-a-role-in-convincing-trump-to-hold-off-on-china-trade-action.html}
}
@broadcast {551106,
	title = {The President and the Economy: Winners and Losers},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {With Warren Olney, August 2},
	url = {http://www.kcrw.com/news-culture/shows/to-the-point/president-trump-touts-a-booming-economy$\#$seg-the-president-and-the-economy-winners-and-losers}
}
@broadcast {551101,
	title = {Harvard{\textquoteright}s Rogoff Says U.S. in High State of Dysfunction},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {July 20},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2017-07-20/harvard-s-rogoff-u-s-in-high-state-of-dysfunction-video}
}
@broadcast {551096,
	title = {Rogoff Says Tech Monopolies May Hurt Innovation},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {July 20},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2017-07-20/tech-monopolies-may-hurt-innovation-says-rogoff-video}
}
@article {550621,
	title = {Dealing with Monetary Paralysis at the Zero Bound},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives},
	volume = {31},
	number = {3},
	year = {2017},
	pages = {47-66},
	url = {https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.31.3.47}
}
@broadcast {551791,
	title = {Too Much Is Never Enough},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {August 1. Start at minute 17:20.},
	url = {https://www.marketplace.org/2017/08/01/economy/make-me-smart-kai-and-molly/26-too-much-never-enough}
}
@article {530906,
	title = {Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World},
	journal = {Journal of Policy Modeling},
	volume = {39},
	number = {4},
	year = {2017},
	pages = {673-679},
	url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2017.05.014}
}
@broadcast {534581,
	title = {Response to Jeffrey Rogers Hummel{\textquoteright}s Review of The Curse of Cash},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {May},
	url = {https://econjwatch.org/articles/response-to-jeffrey-rogers-hummel-s-review-of-the-curse-of-cash}
}
@book {530921,
	title = {The Curse of Cash: How Large-Denomination Bills Aid Crime and Tax Evasion and Constrain Monetary Policy},
	year = {2017},
	url = {http://press.princeton.edu/titles/11148.html}
}
@audiovisual {530916,
	title = {India{\textquoteright}s Demonetization and the Case for Reducing Cash in Advanced Countries},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {Oxford University, May 16},
	url = {https://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/General-News/sanjaya-lall-public-lecture-2017}
}
@broadcast {522836,
	title = {Ken Rogoff and Andrew Haldane discuss The Curse of Cash},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {March 5},
	url = {http://jewishbookweek.com/events-new/ken-rogoff-and-andrew-haldane-curse-cash}
}
@broadcast {522181,
	title = {Trump and the Dollar},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {April 13},
	url = {http://www.snappytv.com/tc/4475006}
}
@broadcast {513151,
	title = {Why Are We Still Using Cash?},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {With Stephen J. Dubner, March 16},
	url = {http://freakonomics.com/podcast/still-using-cash-2/}
}
@broadcast {505296,
	title = {Let{\textquoteright}s Smash Crime by Scrapping Big Banknotes},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {February 18},
	url = {http://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-38973042}
}
@workingpaper {503446,
	title = {The Country Chronologies to Exchange Rate Arrangements into the 21st Century: Will the Anchor Currency Hold?},
	year = {2017},
	month = {2017},
	author = {Ethan Ilzetzki and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {502631,
	title = {India{\textquoteright}s Cash Bonfire Is Too Much, Too Soon},
	year = {2017}
}
@broadcast {501596,
	title = {What Can India Teach Us about Abolishing Paper Currency?},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {February 9},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2017/02/09/513736356/what-can-india-tell-us-about-the-worth-of-abolishing-high-value-banknotes}
}
@broadcast {490366,
	title = {Globalization in the Trump Era: Davos and the Globalizers under Fire},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {January 24},
	url = {http://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2017/01/24/davos-globalization-nafta-trade}
}
@broadcast {489561,
	title = {India{\textquoteright}s Turn to Transform},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {January 21},
	url = {http://www.ndtv.com/video/business/ndtv-davos/india-s-turn-to-transform-446477}
}
@broadcast {489566,
	title = {History Will Judge Obama as a Great President},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {January 17},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2017/01/17/510301394/harvard-economist-history-will-judge-obama-as-a-great-president}
}
@broadcast {489556,
	title = {{\textquoteright}Nonsense{\textquoteright} the Republicans Don{\textquoteright}t Like Deficits},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {January 17},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000584760\&play=1}
}
@broadcast {484751,
	title = {Should We Trash Cash?},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {Book Review by John Lanchester, January 10},
	url = {https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/10/magazine/should-we-trash-cash.html}
}
@broadcast {484736,
	title = {Australia Contemplates Moving to a Less Cash Society},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {January 5},
	url = {http://blog.press.princeton.edu/2017/01/05/kenneth-rogoff-australia-contemplates-moving-to-a-less-cash-society/}
}
@broadcast {483206,
	title = {Blueprint for a Timely Idea},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {Book review by Danae Kyriakopoulou, January 5},
	url = {https://www.omfif.org/analysis/press-releases/the-omfif-bulletin-january-2017/}
}
@broadcast {482306,
	title = {Cashless, Not Necessarily Clueless},
	year = {2017},
	publisher = {Book review by Venky Vembu, January 1},
	url = {http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/books/venky-vembu-reviews-curse-of-cash-by-kenneth-rogoff/article9453805.ece}
}
@book {360571,
	title = {Progress and Confusion: The State of Macroeconomic Policy},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {MIT Press},
	organization = {MIT Press},
	address = {Cambridge},
	url = {https://mitpress.mit.edu/books/progress-and-confusion},
	editor = {Olivier J. Blanchard and Raghuram g. Rajan and Kenneth S. Rogoff and Lawrence H. Summers}
}
@broadcast {483846,
	title = {Examining Obama{\textquoteright}s Economic Legacy},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {January 6},
	url = {http://www.wnyc.org/story/obamas-economic-legacy/}
}
@book {427906,
	title = {The Curse of Cash},
	year = {2016},
	url = {http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10798.html},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {477486,
	title = {Bloomberg Surveillance talks with Ken Rogoff about taxes, Donald Trump{\textquoteright}s economics, Dodd-Frank, Brexit, chess champion Magnus Carlson, and his new book The Curse of Cash},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2016-12-01/surveillance-modi-s-cash-move-is-radical-rogoff-says}
}
@broadcast {477456,
	title = {China Risks Crisis without Currency Flexibility},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-12-01/rogoff-china-risks-crisis-without-currency-flexibility}
}
@broadcast {477461,
	title = {India{\textquoteright}s Modi Takes {\textquoteright}Very Radical{\textquoteright} Cash Move},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-12-01/rogoff-india-s-modi-takes-very-radical-cash-move}
}
@broadcast {477466,
	title = {Italy Has Faced a Long, Difficult Time},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-12-01/kenneth-rogoff-italy-has-faced-a-long-difficult-time}
}
@broadcast {477471,
	title = {Possibility of {\textquoteright}Eye-Popping{\textquoteright} US Growth},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-12-01/rogoff-possibility-of-eye-popping-u-s-growth}
}
@broadcast {477476,
	title = {Trump Said to Seek More Talks with US Companies},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/videos/2016-12-05/trump-said-to-seek-more-talks-with-u-s-companies}
}
@broadcast {475491,
	title = {India Takes a Big Step Back from Cash},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Article by Nathan Heller, November 29},
	url = {http://www.newyorker.com/business/currency/india-takes-a-big-step-back-from-cash}
}
@broadcast {469736,
	title = {Clinton vs Trump: The Aftermath: Reversal of Fortune},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {November 1},
	url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CqKEo-6bHBI}
}
@broadcast {466116,
	title = {A Less-Cash Society, Not a Cashless One},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {October 19},
	url = {https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-10-19/a-less-cash-society-not-a-cashless-one}
}
@audiovisual {461401,
	title = {Rethinking Central Bank Design},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Swiss National Bank, September 22 },
	address = {Inaugural Karl Brunner Distinguished Lecture},
	url = {http://www.snb.ch/en/ifor/research/researchtv/id/research_tv_archiv}
}
@broadcast {461461,
	title = {It Would Be Wrong to Abandon the Policy of Negative Interest Rates},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Editorial, October 11},
	url = {https://www.ft.com/content/2bbc4b12-894e-11e6-8cb7-e7ada1d123b1}
}
@broadcast {461411,
	title = {Imagining a Cashless World: Sweden shows us what life without paper currency might be like},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Article by Nathan Heller, October 10},
	url = {http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/10/10/imagining-a-cashless-world}
}
@broadcast {461006,
	title = {Ken Rogoff Explains Why He{\textquoteright}s Been Advocating to Eliminate the $100 Bill},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Video, October 6},
	url = {http://www.businessinsider.com/ken-rogoff-harvard-economist-explains-advocating-eliminate-100-bill-2016-10}
}
@broadcast {461456,
	title = {An Economist{\textquoteright}s Denunciation of Cash: How the majority of the world{\textquoteright}s paper cash fuels organized crime},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Book review by Brian Bethune, October 2},
	url = {http://www.macleans.ca/culture/books/a-economists-denunciation-of-cash/}
}
@broadcast {461466,
	title = {Forget the Fuss about the Bank of England{\textquoteright}s New Fiver. The Truth Is that Cash Has Had Its Day},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Article by Ben Chu, October 2},
	url = {http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/five-pound-note-bank-of-england-a7341386.html}
}
@broadcast {461451,
	title = {The Curse of Cash },
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Book review by Patrick Hosking, October 1},
	url = {http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/the-curse-of-cash-by-kenneth-s-rogoff-hs62d58sw}
}
@broadcast {461446,
	title = {Why Are We Still Using Cash?},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {With Stephen J. Dubner, September 28},
	url = {http://freakonomics.com/podcast/still-using-cash/}
}
@broadcast {461011,
	title = {Maybe It{\textquoteright}s Time America Gets Rid of Most of Its Cash},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Interview with Ana Swanson, September 27},
	url = {https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/09/27/maybe-its-time-america-gets-rid-of-most-of-its-cash/}
}
@broadcast {461416,
	title = {Who Wins in a Cashless Economy?},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {September 21},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p047p4dj}
}
@broadcast {461431,
	title = {Ken Rogoff Makes the Case for Eliminating Paper Money},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {TV interview with Thomas Keene, September 13},
	url = {http://bloom.bg/2cBYm7d}
}
@broadcast {461421,
	title = {Should{\textemdash}and Could{\textemdash}Our Country Move Away from Paper Money?},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {With Tom Ashbrook, September 12},
	url = {http://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2016/09/12/paper-money}
}
@broadcast {451496,
	title = {America{\textquoteright}s Looming Debt Decision},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {August 8},
	url = {https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2016/08/07/america-looming-debt-decision/YHQlRYip3Q7bJBA4fkkDJK/story.html}
}
@broadcast {456411,
	title = {The Case Against Cash},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Op-Ed, September 7},
	url = {https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2016/09/06/the-case-against-cash/FM3qOmHYn5eVtRlWRidVFO/story.html}
}
@broadcast {451506,
	title = {Ken Rogoff Makes Case for Scrapping $100 Bills{\textemdash}And Even $20 Bills},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {TV interview, September 6},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/06/economist-ken-rogoff-makes-case-for-scraping-100-bills-and-even-20s.html}
}
@broadcast {461471,
	title = {The Case Against Cash},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Syndicated column, September 5},
	url = {https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/dangers-of-paper-currency-by-kenneth-rogoff-2016-09}
}
@broadcast {451486,
	title = {The Curse of Cash Makes Case for a World without Paper Money},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {With Robert Siegel, September 1},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2016/09/01/492288888/the-curse-of-cash-makes-case-for-a-world-without-paper-money}
}
@broadcast {451491,
	title = {The Sinister Side of Cash},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {The Saturday Essay, August 27},
	url = {http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-sinister-side-of-cash-1472137692}
}
@broadcast {461481,
	title = {The Curse of Cash: An Interview with Kenneth Rogoff, Part II},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Debra Liese interview with Ken Rogoff, August 26},
	url = {http://blog.press.princeton.edu/2016/08/26/the-curse-of-cash-an-interview-with-kenneth-rogoff-part-ii/}
}
@broadcast {461476,
	title = {What If Cash Is Making Us Poor?},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {Debra Liese interview with Ken Rogoff, August 25},
	url = {http://blog.press.princeton.edu/2016/08/25/the-curse-of-paper-currency-an-interview-with-kenneth-rogoff/}
}
@inbook {427891,
	title = {Debt Supercycle, Not Secular Stagnation},
	booktitle = {Progress and Confusion: The State of Macroeconomic Policy},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {MIT Press, pp. 19-28},
	organization = {MIT Press, pp. 19-28},
	address = {Cambridge},
	url = {http://www.voxeu.org/article/debt-supercycle-not-secular-stagnation},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {415171,
	title = {Brexit Vote Sends Shock Waves Through Global Financial Markets},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {June 24},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2016/06/24/483426132/brexit-vote-sends-shock-waves-through-global-financial-markets}
}
@broadcast {415166,
	title = {The Economic Risks of an Outbreak of Brexit-style Votes},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {July 2},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e14a5b68-3ec6-11e6-8716-a4a71e8140b0.html$\#$axzz4De36Yk5p}
}
@broadcast {415176,
	title = {Britain{\textquoteright}s Democratic Failure},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {June 24},
	url = {https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2016/06/24/britain-democratic-failure/Mx888Cle7t6OUyuWyX8n2M/story.html}
}
@article {371156,
	title = {Sovereign Debt and Financial Crises: Theory and Historical Evidence},
	journal = {Journal of the European Economic Association},
	volume = {14},
	number = {1},
	year = {2016},
	pages = {1-6},
	url = {http://www.dx.doi.org/10.1111/jeea.12167},
	author = {Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {367301,
	title = {The Global Debt Dilemma},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {January 22},
	url = {https://webcasts.weforum.org/widget/1/davos2016?p=1\&pi=1\&hl=english\&id=71304}
}
@broadcast {367306,
	title = {Preventing Future Shock},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {January 20},
	url = {https://webcasts.weforum.org/widget/1/davos2016?p=1\&pi=1\&hl=english\&id=72090}
}
@broadcast {367316,
	title = {The Renminbi{\textquoteright}s Great Escape from China},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {February 2},
	url = {https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2016/02/02/the-great-escape-from-china/01hBUQC4CviPhrMr3PDojL/story.html}
}
@broadcast {367141,
	title = {Central Bank Needs to Think about Negative Rates},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {January 20},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-01-20/central-banks-need-to-think-about-negative-rates-rogoff}
}
@broadcast {367126,
	title = {Encouraging China on a More Floating Exchange Rate},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {January 20},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-01-20/encouraging-china-on-a-more-floating-exchange-rate}
}
@broadcast {365606,
	title = {O Problema da Economia Global s{\~a}o os Emergentes},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {January 22},
	url = {http://economia.estadao.com.br/noticias/geral,o-problema-da-economia-global-sao-os-emergentes,10000013039}
}
@broadcast {363511,
	title = {Oil: The True Test of China{\textquoteright}s Economy},
	year = {2016},
	publisher = {January 12},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/2016/01/12/this-is-the-true-test-of-chinas-economy-rogoff.html}
}
@broadcast {363506,
	title = {Highflying {\textquoteright}Emerging Markets{\textquoteright} Had Their Wings Clipped in 2015},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {December 30},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2015/12/30/461484688/high-flying-emerging-markets-had-their-wings-clipped-in-2015}
}
@broadcast {358081,
	title = {World{\textquoteright}s Economics Slowdown Is a Hangover Not a Coma},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {October 9},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/c49e80c4-6d08-11e5-8171-ba1968cf791a.html}
}
@broadcast {357441,
	title = {How Will Raising Interest Rates Affect U.S. Dollar?},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {December 15},
	url = {http://www.cnn.com/videos/business/2015/12/15/federal-reserve-interest-rates-rogoff-lipsky-intv-qmb.cnn}
}
@broadcast {319461,
	title = {Alaska Doesn{\textquoteright}t Need Federal Help to Put Fiscal House in Order, It Just Needs the Will},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {September 4},
	url = {http://www.adn.com/article/20150904/alaska-doesnt-need-federal-help-put-fiscal-house-order-it-just-needs-will}
}
@broadcast {313826,
	title = {A Warning on China Seems Prescient},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {August 24},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/25/business/dealbook/a-warning-on-china-seems-prescient.html}
}
@personal {283396,
	title = {List of Outside Activities},
	year = {2015}
}
@broadcast {276466,
	title = {A Grecian Formula for Courting Disaster},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {July 6},
	url = {http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB11500025451638853982204581091760226091184}
}
@broadcast {264156,
	title = {Rethinking Macroeconomics},
	journal = {IMF Conference, April 16},
	year = {2015},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/mmedia/view.aspx?vid=4177815578001}
}
@broadcast {251371,
	title = {Debt Supercycle, Not Secular Stagnation},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {April 22},
	url = {http://www.voxeu.org/article/debt-supercycle-not-secular-stagnation}
}
@workingpaper {250921,
	title = {Secular stagnation, debt overhang and other rationales for sluggish growth, six years on},
	year = {2015},
	url = {http://www.bis.org/publ/work482.htm},
	author = {Lo, Stephanie and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {75521,
	title = {Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?},
	volume = {54},
	number = {June},
	year = {2015},
	pages = {116-141},
	abstract = {This paper investigates whether oil prices have a reliable and stable out-of-sample relationship with the Canadian/U.S dollar nominal exchange rate. Despite state-of-the-art methodologies, we find little systematic relation between oil prices and the exchange rate at the monthly and quarterly frequencies. In contrast, the main contribution is to show the existence of a very short-term relationship at the daily frequency, which is rather robust and holds no matter whether we use contemporaneous (realized) or lagged oil prices in our regression. However, in the latter case the predictive ability is ephemeral, mostly appearing after instabilities have been appropriately taken into account.},
	url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.03.001},
	author = {Domenico Ferraro and Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi}
}
@broadcast {239161,
	title = {Was Quantitative Easing Best Way to Boost the Economy?},
	year = {2015},
	url = {http://www.bostonglobe.com/business/2015/03/01/was-best-way-boost-economy/2A3u8T6lWLzPpPRmssRd4K/story.html}
}
@broadcast {226426,
	title = {For Europe, cheap oil is all boon and little bust},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {January 7},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/economy/europe-cheap-oil-all-boon-and-little-bust}
}
@broadcast {226471,
	title = {Predictions},
	journal = {CNN International},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {January 6},
	url = {http://edition.cnn.com/videos/tv/2015/01/06/exp-qmb-quest-rogoff-predictions-2015.cnn}
}
@broadcast {226491,
	title = {Will Falling Euro End Up Boosting Europe{\textquoteright}s Economy?},
	journal = {PBS Newshour},
	year = {2015},
	publisher = {January 5},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/will-falling-euro-end-boosting-europes-economy/}
}
@article {203821,
	title = {Dealing with Debt},
	journal = {Journal of International Economics},
	volume = {96, Supplement 1},
	number = {July},
	year = {2015},
	pages = {S43-S55},
	url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2014.11.001},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {188831,
	title = {Japan{\textquoteright}s Exorbitant Privilege},
	journal = {Journal of the Japanese and International Economies},
	volume = {35},
	number = {March},
	year = {2015},
	pages = {43-61},
	abstract = {},
	url = {http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2014.11.003},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Takeshi Tashiro}
}
@article {168026,
	title = {Costs and Benefits to Phasing Out Paper Currency},
	journal = {NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014,},
	volume = {Vol. 29},
	year = {2015},
	pages = {445-456},
	abstract = {Despite advances in transactions technologies, paper currency still constitutes a notable percentage of the money supply in most countries. For example, it constitutes roughly 10\% of the US Federal Reserve{\textquoteright}s main monetary aggregate, M2. Yet, it has important drawbacks. First, it can help facilitate activity in the underground (tax-evading) and illegal economy. Second, its existence creates the artifact of the zero bound on the nominal interest rate. On the other hand, the enduring popularity of paper currency generates many benefits, including substantial seigniorage revenue. This paper explores some of the issues associated with phasing out paper currency, especially large-denomination notes.},
	url = {http://papers.nber.org/books/park14-1},
	author = {Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@magazinearticle {634915,
	title = {"Does Martin Wolf have the answer?" Prospect Magazine},
	journal = {August 20},
	year = {2014}
}
@audiovisual {483346,
	title = {Rethinking Paper Currency},
	year = {2014},
	address = {November 18},
	url = {http://mediathek.cesifo-group.de/player/macros/cesifo/mediathek?content=4152691\&idx=5\&category=2275377157}
}
@article {197566,
	title = {The Real Cost of Food: Can Taxes and Subsidies Improve Public Health?},
	journal = {Journal of the American Medical Association},
	volume = {312},
	number = {9},
	year = {2014},
	pages = {889-890},
	url = {http://jama.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?articleid=1900518},
	author = {Mozaffarian, Dariush and Kenneth S. Rogoff and David S. Ludwig}
}
@article {196941,
	title = {How to prevent the next financial crisis: A review of Martin Wolf{\textquoteright}s "The Shifts and the Shocks"},
	year = {2014},
	url = {http://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/features/how-to-prevent-martin-wolf-shifts-shocks-review-the-next-financial-crisis},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {178626,
	title = {Paper Money Is Unfit for a World of High Crime and Low Inflation},
	year = {2014},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/c47c87ae-e284-11e3-a829-00144feabdc0.html$\#$axzz36z2Esr3R}
}
@article {217286,
	title = {Recovery from Financial Crises: Evidence from 100 Episodes},
	journal = {American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings},
	volume = {104},
	number = {5},
	year = {2014},
	pages = {50-55},
	url = {http://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.5.50},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@audiovisual {483366,
	title = {Dilemmas in the Aftermath of Financial Crises},
	year = {2014},
	address = {March 3},
	url = {https://vimeo.com/89930060}
}
@book {151216,
	title = {Handbook of International Economics},
	year = {2014},
	publisher = {Elsevier},
	organization = {Elsevier},
	address = {vol. 4. Amsterdam},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/handbooks/15734404},
	editor = {Gita Gopinath and Elhanan Helpman and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {32739,
	title = {Addicted to Dollars},
	journal = {Annals of Economics and Finance},
	volume = {15},
	number = {1},
	year = {2014},
	pages = {1-50},
	url = {http://aeconf.com/may2014.htm},
	author = {Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff and Miguel Savastano}
}
@article {137091,
	title = {Demand Effects and Speculation in Oil Markets: Theory and Evidence},
	journal = {Journal of International Money and Finance},
	volume = {42},
	number = {April},
	year = {2014},
	pages = {113-128},
	url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.08.007},
	author = {Eyal Dvir and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {65451,
	title = {Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises: Some Lessons Learned and Those Forgotten},
	booktitle = {Financial Crises: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses},
	year = {2014},
	month = {September 14},
	edition = {edited by S. Claessens, M.A. Kose, L. Laeven, and F. Valencia},
	address = {Presented September 14, 2012, at IMF conference on financial crises, Washington, DC.},
	abstract = {Even after one of the most severe multi-year crisis on record in the advanced economies, the received wisdom in policy circles clings to the notion that high-income countries are completely different from their emerging market counterparts. The current phase of the official policy approach is predicated on the assumption that debt sustainability can be achieved through a mix of austerity, forbearance and growth. The claim is that advanced countries do not need to resort to the standard toolkit of emerging markets, including debt restructurings and conversions, higher inflation, capital controls and other forms of financial repression. As we document, this claim is at odds with the historical track record of most advanced economies, where debt restructuring or conversions, financial repression, and a tolerance for higher inflation or a combination of these were an integral part of the resolution of significant past debt overhangs.},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=41173.0},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@article {14892,
	title = {This Time Is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises},
	journal = {Annals of Economics and Finance},
	volume = {15},
	number = {2},
	year = {2014},
	pages = {1065-1188},
	publisher = {Harvard University},
	address = {Cambridge},
	abstract = {This paper offers a {\textquotedblleft}panoramic{\textquotedblright} analysis of the history of financial crises dating from England{\textquoteright}s fourteenth-century default to the current United States sub-prime financial crisis. Our study is based on a new dataset that spans all regions. It incorporates a number of important credit episodes seldom covered in the literature, including for example, defaults and restructurings in India and China. As the first paper employing this data, our aim is to illustrate some of the broad insights that can be gleaned from such a sweeping historical database. We find that serial default is a nearly universal phenomenon as countries struggle to transform themselves from emerging markets to advanced economies. Major default episodes are typically spaced some years (or decades) apart, creating an illusion that {\textquotedblleft}this time is different{\textquotedblright} among policymakers and investors. A recent example of the {\textquotedblleft}this time is different{\textquotedblright} syndrome is the false belief that domestic debt is a novel feature of the modern financial landscape. We also confirm that crises frequently emanate from the financial centers with transmission through interest rate shocks and commodity price collapses. Thus, the recent US sub-prime financial crisis is hardly unique. Our data also documents other crises that often accompany default: including inflation, exchange rate crashes, banking crises, and currency debasements.},
	url = {http://www.carmenreinhart.com/user_uploads/data/54_data.xls},
	author = {Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {69891,
	title = {On the State of the American Recovery and Effect of the Sequestration},
	journal = {PBS, Nightly Business Report },
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {March 4},
	url = {http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AhLj7kN8KMc\&feature=youtu.be}
}
@broadcast {128776,
	title = {Panel on Policy Responses to Crises, with Ben Bernanke, Stanley Fischer and Lawrence Summers},
	journal = {14th Annual IMF Research Conference},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = { (KR talk starts minute 33)},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/np/res/seminars/2013/arc/index1.htm}
}
@broadcast {110696,
	title = {Three Wrongs Don{\textquoteright}t Make a Right},
	year = {2013},
	url = {http://blogs.ft.com/the-a-list/2013/10/07/three-wrongs-dont-make-a-right/}
}
@broadcast {110041,
	title = {Britain Should Not Take Its Credit Status for Granted},
	year = {2013},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b933e5e8-29ef-11e3-9bc6-00144feab7de.html$\#$axzz2gfmsFrDQ}
}
@broadcast {109246,
	title = {FAQ on Herndon, Ash and Pollin{\textquoteright}s Critique},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {Updated with 2015 Addendum}
}
@broadcast {107716,
	title = {Der Spiegel on the Impact of Kenneth Rogoff{\textquoteright}s Research on Policy},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {September 20},
	url = {http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/how-german-finance-minister-schaeuble-navigates-the-euro-crisis-a-924526.html}
}
@broadcast {103871,
	title = {The Debate over Public Debt},
	year = {2013},
	url = {http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2013/aug/15/debate-over-public-debt/}
}
@broadcast {93156,
	title = {The Debate over Public Debt},
	journal = {New York Review of Books},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {August 15},
	url = {http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2013/aug/15/debate-over-public-debt/}
}
@webarticle {82646,
	title = {An Open Letter to Paul Krugman can be found here and here (pdf)},
	year = {2013}
}
@broadcast {103876,
	title = {An Open Letter to Paul Krugman},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {May 25},
	url = {http://www.carmenreinhart.com/letter-to-pk/}
}
@broadcast {90381,
	title = {Select Interviews Opeds and Media on Financial Crisis},
	year = {2013}
}
@broadcast {81586,
	title = {Select Interviews, Op-Eds, and Media on Financial Crisis},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {May 21}
}
@broadcast {82011,
	title = {Select Interviews, Op-Eds, and Media on Financial Crisis},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {May 21}
}
@broadcast {103891,
	title = {Select Interviews, Op-Eds, and Media on Financial Crisis},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {May 21}
}
@broadcast {81611,
	title = {Austerity Is Not the Only Answer to a Debt Problem},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {May 1}
}
@broadcast {103906,
	title = {Auterity Is Not the Only Answer to a Debt Problem},
	year = {2013},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/cca28c2e-b1a4-11e2-9315-00144feabdc0.html$\#$a}
}
@article {85611,
	title = {Shifting Mandates: The Federal Reserve{\textquoteright}s First Centennial},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {103},
	number = {3},
	year = {2013},
	note = {Copyright American Economic Review 2013. Posted by permission.
},
	pages = {48-54},
	abstract = {The Federal Reserve{\textquoteright}s mandate has evolved considerably over the organization{\textquoteright}s hundred-year history. It was changed from an initial focus in 1913 on financial stability, to fiscal financing in World War II and its aftermath, to a strong anti-inflation focus from the late 1970s, and then back to greater emphasis on financial stability since the Great Contraction. Yet, as the Fed{\textquoteright}s mandate has expanded in recent years, its range of instruments has narrowed, partly based on a misguided belief in the inherent stability of financial markets. We argue for a return to multiple instruments, including a more active role for reserve requirements.
},
	url = {https://www.aeaweb.org/aer/data/may2013/P2013_4410_data.zip},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {77401,
	title = {Debt, Growth and Reality},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {April 30}
}
@broadcast {103886,
	title = {Debt, Growth and Reality},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {April 30}
}
@broadcast {77381,
	title = {Debt, Growth and the Austerity Debate},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {April 25},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/26/opinion/debt-growth-and-the-austerity-debate.html}
}
@broadcast {103881,
	title = {Reinhart and Rogoff: Responding to Our Critics},
	year = {2013},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/26/opinion/reinhart-and-rogoff-responding-to-our-critics.html?pagewanted=all\&_r=0}
}
@broadcast {77391,
	title = {Reinhart and Rogoff: Responding to Our Critics},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {April 25},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/26/opinion/debt-growth-and-the-austerity-debate.html}
}
@broadcast {75596,
	title = {Response to Herndon, Ash and Pollin},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {April 17}
}
@broadcast {103901,
	title = {Debt, Growth and the Austerity Debate},
	year = {2013},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/26/opinion/debt-growth-and-the-austerity-debate.html}
}
@broadcast {75416,
	title = {Bank of Japan Policy, Currencies, US Federal Budget},
	journal = {Bloomberg Surviellance},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {April 12},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/video/rogoff-on-boj-policy-currencies-fed-u-s-budget-CEgzpUjRSDOoHwZDhgN7kA.html}
}
@broadcast {75421,
	title = {US Needs to See Movement on the Bigger Problems},
	journal = {CNN},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {December 28},
	url = {http://startingpoint.blogs.cnn.com/2012/12/28/economist-ken-rogoff-us-needs-to-see-movement-in-the-bigger-problems/}
}
@broadcast {73201,
	title = {A deal for Cypress has been struck but will it work?},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {March 25},
	url = {http://downloads.bbc.co.uk/podcasts/worldservice/wbnews/wbnews_20130325-2315a.mp3}
}
@broadcast {73061,
	title = {American Infrastructure Gets a D+},
	journal = {CNN, Your Money},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {March 23},
	url = {http://yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/2013/03/22/american-infrastructure-gets-a-d/}
}
@broadcast {73111,
	title = {S{\~a}o prov{\'a}veis mais reestrutura{\c c}{\~o}es da d{\'\i}vida},
	journal = {Expresso, Entrevista},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {March 16}
}
@broadcast {69246,
	title = {Shutdown Showdown},
	journal = {CNN, Your Money},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {March 2},
	url = {http://yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/2013/03/02/shutdown-showdown}
}
@broadcast {69256,
	title = {Problems with Forced Spending Cuts},
	journal = {CNN, Your Bottom Line},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {February 21},
	url = {http://yourbottomline.blogs.cnn.com/2013/02/22/comparing-congress-to-children}
}
@broadcast {62466,
	title = {Global Economic Outlook},
	journal = {Australian Broadcasting Corporation},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {February 12},
	url = {http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2013/s3689066.htm}
}
@broadcast {60071,
	title = {Markets Rally on Hope Fed Will Keep Pumping},
	journal = {CNBC, Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo },
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {February 1},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?play=1\&video=3000144004}
}
@broadcast {55641,
	title = {The Mood in Davos: What{\textquoteright}s Next for America and the Global Economy?},
	journal = {CNBC},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {January 26},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?play=1\&video=3000143596}
}
@broadcast {55626,
	title = {European Economics and American Optimism},
	journal = {CNN},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {January 26},
	url = {http://yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/2013/01/25/european-economics-and-american-optimism/}
}
@broadcast {54306,
	title = {Q \& A on Economic Outlook},
	journal = {Harvard Gazette},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {January 24},
	url = {http://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2012/11/a-qa-on-economic-outlook/}
}
@broadcast {54261,
	title = {Interview with Professor Rogoff},
	journal = {Maeil Newspaper (Korea)},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {January 16}
}
@broadcast {54266,
	title = {Interview with Andreas Cervenka: Han vill ha Europas f{\"o}renta stater},
	journal = {Svenska Dagbladet (Sweden)},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {January 13},
	url = {http://www.svd.se/naringsliv/svd-naringslivs-andreas-cervenka-moter-finanskrisexperten-kenneth-rogoff_7818662.svd}
}
@broadcast {81671,
	title = {Select Interviews, Op-Eds, and Media on Financial Crisis},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {May 21}
}
@article {14889,
	title = {Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace},
	journal = {Journal of Banking \& Finance},
	volume = {37},
	year = {2013},
	pages = {4557-4573},
	abstract = {The historical frequency of banking crises is similar in advanced and developing countries, with quantitative parallels in both the run-ups and the aftermath. We establish these regularities using a dataset spanning from the early 1800s to the present. Banking crises weaken fiscal positions, with government revenues invariably contracting. Three years after a crisis, central government debt increases by about 86\%. The fiscal burden of banking crisis extends beyond the cost of the bailouts. We find that systemic banking crises are typically preceded by asset price bubbles, large capital inflows and credit booms, in rich and poor countries alike.},
	url = {http://www.carmenreinhart.com/user_uploads/data/55_data.xls},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@inbook {50946,
	title = {Causes of Financial Crises Past and Present: The Role of the This-Time-Is-Different Syndrome},
	booktitle = {The Occupy Handbook},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {Little, Brown and Co.},
	organization = {Little, Brown and Co.},
	edition = {In Janet Byrne (editor)},
	address = {New York},
	url = {http://www.hachettebookgroup.com/titles/none/the-occupy-handbook/9780316220217/},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {46501,
	title = {Sorry, U.S. Recoveries Really Aren{\textquoteright}t Different},
	journal = {Bloomberg},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {October 15},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-10-15/sorry-u-s-recoveries-really-aren-t-different.html}
}
@broadcast {54271,
	title = {Charlie Rose Talks to Kenneth Rogoff},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {December 20},
	url = {http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-12-20/charlie-rose-talks-to-kenneth-rogoff}
}
@broadcast {46681,
	title = {The Santelli Exchange},
	journal = {CNBC, Squawk on the Street},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {December 20},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000135699}
}
@broadcast {46671,
	title = {Ken Rogoff on the US and Global Economy},
	journal = {PBS, The Charlie Rose Show},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {December 18},
	url = {http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/12700}
}
@broadcast {54296,
	title = {Top Culprit in the Financial Crisis: Human Nature},
	journal = {Barrons},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {November 24},
	url = {http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052748703961304578128861988425802.html$\#$articleTabs_article\%3D1}
}
@broadcast {54561,
	title = {John Travolta, Olivia Newton-John Christmas Album Plunges Nation Into Double-Dip Recession},
	journal = {The Onion (Satire)},
	year = {2012},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {November 16},
	url = {http://www.theonion.com/articles/john-travolta-olivia-newtonjohn-christmas-album-pl,30364/}
}
@broadcast {46786,
	title = {As It Happens, Interview with Kenneth Rogoff on the US Fiscal Cliff},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {November 12},
	url = {http://www.cbc.ca/asithappens/episode/2012/11/08/the-thursday-edition-53/}
}
@broadcast {54556,
	title = {Debate between Kasparov and Theil, Rogoff and Shuttleworth on Whether the Current Slow Growth Is Due to Technological Stagnation},
	journal = {Oxford University},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {November 9},
	url = {http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/videos/view/210}
}
@broadcast {62576,
	title = {The Recession in Pictures},
	journal = {Time Magazine},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {By Amy Pereira, November 5},
	url = {http://business.time.com/2012/11/05/the-recession-in-pictures-america-copes-with-a-stagnant-economy/photo/nyc127433/}
}
@broadcast {62571,
	title = {Bill Clinton Cites Economist Kenneth Rogoff To Argue Obama Needs Four More Years},
	journal = {Huffington Post},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {By Jon Ward, November 1},
	url = {http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/01/bill-clinton-economist-kenneth-rogoff-obama_n_2061734.html}
}
@audiovisual {483391,
	title = {Innovation or Stagnation},
	year = {2012},
	address = {November},
	url = {http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/videos/view/210}
}
@broadcast {62566,
	title = {A Slow Convalescence Under Obama},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2012},
	note = {PDF},
	publisher = {By Martin Wolf, October 24},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/791fc13a-1c57-11e2-a63b-00144feabdc0.html$\#$axzz2Ki1uYflZ}
}
@broadcast {62111,
	title = {This time is different, again? The US five years after the onset of subprime},
	year = {2012},
	url = {http://www.voxeu.org/article/time-different-again-us-five-years-after-onset-subprime-0}
}
@broadcast {46666,
	title = {The Economy and the Candidates},
	journal = {CNBC, Wall Street Journal Report with Maria Bartiromo},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {October 21},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000123679}
}
@broadcast {62541,
	title = {The Secret of Our Non-Success},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2012},
	note = {PDF},
	publisher = {By Paul Krugman, October 21},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/22/opinion/krugman-the-secret-of-our-non-success.html}
}
@broadcast {46791,
	title = {Goldstein on Gelt},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {October 15},
	url = {ftp://212.143.80.219/GoG\%20shows/2012/GoG\%20101512/Kenneth\%20Rogoff\%20interview\%20with\%20Douglas\%20Goldstein\%20on\%20Goldstein\%20on\%20Gelt\%20show\%20ftp\%20101512.mp3}
}
@broadcast {54311,
	title = {Why This Recession Lasts So Long},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {October 13},
	url = {http://www.emergingmarkets.org/Article/3102673/Search/Results/KENNETH-ROGOFF-Why-this-downturn-will-last-so-long.html}
}
@broadcast {46796,
	title = {2012-10-12 Annual Meetings of IMF and World Bank},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {October 11},
	url = {http://english.cri.cn/7146/2012/10/11/1942s726616.htm}
}
@broadcast {54316,
	title = {Interview with Kenneth Rogoff},
	journal = {Wealth Magazine (Taiwan)},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {October 11},
	url = {http://wealth.com.tw/}
}
@broadcast {46661,
	title = {7.8 Unemployment Rate Is Very Encouraging},
	journal = {CNN, Starting Point},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {October 5},
	url = {http://startingpoint.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/05/ken-rogoff-7-8-percent-unemployment-rate-is-very-encouraging/}
}
@broadcast {54576,
	title = {Obamanomics: A Counterhistory},
	journal = {New York Times, by David Leonhardt},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {September 30},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/30/sunday-review/obamanomics-a-counterhistory.html}
}
@broadcast {46656,
	title = {Consumer Confidence Is Higher Than Before Despite Mixed Ecnomic Numbers},
	journal = {PBS, Newshour},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {September 28},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec12/economy_09-28.html}
}
@broadcast {46651,
	title = {What{\textquoteright}s the Plan?},
	journal = {CNN, Your Money},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {September 22},
	url = {http://yourbottomline.blogs.cnn.com/2012/08/17/solving-the-financial-crisis-a-game-of-che}
}
@broadcast {46801,
	title = {European Bond-Buying Plan May Not End Debt Crisis},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {September 6},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2012/09/06/160697487/european-bond-buying-plan-may-not-end-debt-crisis}
}
@broadcast {46806,
	title = {Greece, Germany, and the Euro-crisis},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {August 23},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b006qtl3}
}
@broadcast {46646,
	title = {Solving the Financial Crisis: A Game of Chess},
	journal = {CNN, Your Bottom Line},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {August 18},
	url = {http://yourbottomline.blogs.cnn.com/2012/08/17/solving-the-financial-crisis-a-game-of-chess/}
}
@broadcast {46641,
	title = {Krugman and Rogoff on the Economy},
	journal = {CNN, Fareed Zakaria GPS},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {July 29},
	url = {http://macromon.wordpress.com/2012/07/29/fareed-zakaria-gps-krugman-and-rogoff/}
}
@broadcast {46636,
	title = {Kenneth Rogoff on Economy, European Debt Crisis},
	journal = {Bloomberg, Surveillance},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {July 27},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/video/kenneth-rogoff-on-economy-europe-debt-crisis-UcOcpEbFRzGIX8b~pFST7w.html}
}
@broadcast {46631,
	title = {New GDP Report Shows That the U.S. Economy Slowed in Second Quarter - Ken Rogoff Weighs In},
	journal = {CNN, Starting Point},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {July 27},
	url = {http://startingpoint.blogs.cnn.com/2012/07/27/new-gdp-report-shows-that-the-u-s-economy-slowed-in-second-quarter-ken-rogoff-weighs-in/}
}
@broadcast {54331,
	title = {Calcalist Interview with Kenneth Rogoff},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {July 17},
	url = {http://www.calcalist.co.il}
}
@broadcast {46626,
	title = {Fears of a Stalled Economy},
	journal = {CNN, Starting Point},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {July 6},
	url = {http://edition.cnn.com/2012/07/06/politics/jobs-report-voters/index.html}
}
@broadcast {54336,
	title = {Viviremos en un mundo con mayor represi{\'o}n financiera},
	journal = {Ambita Financiero (Argentina)},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {July 11},
	url = {http://www.ambito.com/diario/noticia.asp?id=645097}
}
@broadcast {46616,
	title = {Only Romney Can Get Austerity and Stimulus},
	journal = {CNN, Your Money},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {June 23},
	url = {http://yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/2012/06/23/cain-only-romney-can-get-austerity-stimulus/}
}
@broadcast {46621,
	title = {U.S. Will Never Be Like Greece},
	journal = {CNN, Your Money},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {June 23},
	url = {http://yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/2012/06/23/velshi-u-s-will-never-be-like-greece/}
}
@broadcast {46611,
	title = {European Crisis Could Leave Canada Reeling},
	journal = {The West Block with Tom Clark},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {June 10},
	url = {http://www.globaltvedmonton.com/european+crisis+could+leave+canada+reeling/6442657974/story.html}
}
@broadcast {46811,
	title = {A Global Economic Stall: Discussion with Kenneth Rogoff and Allen Sinai},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {June 5},
	url = {http://onpoint.wbur.org/2012/06/05/a-global-economic-stall}
}
@article {75501,
	title = {Public Debt Overhangs: Advanced-Economy Episodes since 1800},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives},
	volume = {26},
	number = {3},
	year = {2012},
	pages = {69-86},
	abstract = {We identify the major public debt overhang episodes in the advanced economies since the early 1800s, characterized by public debt to GDP levels exceeding 90 percent for at least five years. Consistent with Reinhart and Rogoff (2010) and most of the more recent research, we find that public debt overhang episodes are associated with lower growth than during other periods. The duration of the average debt overhang episode is perhaps its most striking feature. Among the 26 episodes we identify, 20 lasted more than a decade. The long duration belies the view that the correlation is caused mainly by debt buildups during business cycle recessions. The long duration also implies that the cumulative shortfall in output from debt overhang is potentially massive. These growth-reducing effects of high public debt are apparently not transmitted exclusively through high real interest rates, as in eleven of the episodes, interest rates are not materially higher.},
	url = {http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/jep.26.3.69},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Vincent R. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {46606,
	title = {Advice from Masters},
	journal = {CBS, Sqawkbox},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {May 25},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000092430}
}
@broadcast {46601,
	title = {Eurozone{\textquoteright}s Possible "Lehman Moment": What It Means for U.S.},
	journal = {PBS, Newshour},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {May 24},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/world/jan-june12/usimpact_05-24.html}
}
@broadcast {46816,
	title = {Interview with Kenneth Rogoff on the G8 Summit at Camp David},
	journal = {BBC, The World This Weekend},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {May 20},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b01hw637}
}
@broadcast {46696,
	title = { Interview with Kennth Rogoff on the Eurozone Crisis},
	journal = {Sweden, SVT, Agenda},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {May 20},
	url = {http://www.svt.se/nyhetsklipp/nyheter/mer-makt-at-bryssel-det-enda-som-kan-radda-euron}
}
@broadcast {33130,
	title = {En lignelse om euroen},
	journal = {Politiken (Denmark)},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {May 9}
}
@broadcast {33067,
	title = {Greece{\textquoteright}s Debt May Have Massive Ripple Effect},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {May 8},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2012/05/08/152286131/greeces-debt-may-have-massive-ripple-effect}
}
@broadcast {32931,
	title = {The Debt Divide},
	journal = {Your Money},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = { CNN, May 6},
	url = {http://yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/2012/05/05/debt-inequality-the-new-income-inequality/}
}
@broadcast {32981,
	title = {A Euro Parable: The Young Couple with a Joint Account.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {April 24},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/bb16c228-8d2d-11e1-8b49-00144feab49a.html$\#$axzz2FclA47nl}
}
@broadcast {32933,
	title = {Risks Remain in Euro Zone},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {Sky News, April 24},
	url = {http://news.sky.com/home/business/article/16214897}
}
@broadcast {43851,
	title = {A Euro Parable: The Young Couple with a Joint Account},
	journal = {The Financial Times},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {April 24}
}
@broadcast {32935,
	title = {Weak Job Report Casts Doubt on Recovery},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {Your Money, CNN, April 7},
	url = {http://yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/06/weak-jobs-report-casts-doubt-on-recovery/}
}
@broadcast {33106,
	title = {The Financial Crisis in Europe and America},
	journal = {ARD TV (Director: Tilman Achtnich, beginning at minute 10 and thereafter; in German)},
	year = {2012},
	note = {(Director: Tilman Achtnich, beginning at minute 10 and thereafter) },
	publisher = {March 19},
	url = {http://www.ardmediathek.de/ard/servlet/content/3517136?documentId=9798848}
}
@broadcast {33068,
	title = {Austerity versus Stimulus},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {March 15},
	url = {http://onpoint.wbur.org/2012/03/15/austerity-vs-stimulus}
}
@broadcast {33132,
	title = {Vedomosti},
	journal = {Vedomosti (in Russian)},
	year = {2012},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {March 11},
	url = {http://www.vedomosti.ru/library/news/1531018/ideya_evro_iznachalno_neverna_kennet_rogoff_professor}
}
@broadcast {77736,
	title = {China},
	journal = {Squawkbox with Guest Host Kenneth Rogoff},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {CNBC, March 9},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000077695}
}
@broadcast {77741,
	title = {Consumer Spending},
	journal = {Squawkbox with Guest Host Kenneth Rogoff},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {CNBC, March 9},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000077650}
}
@broadcast {32936,
	title = {The Future of the Economy},
	journal = {Squawkbox with Guest Host Kenneth Rogoff},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {CNBC, March 9},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000077652}
}
@broadcast {32937,
	title = {Solutions to the Housing Crisis},
	year = {2012},
	pages = {Your Money},
	publisher = {CNN, March 4},
	url = {http://edition.cnn.com/video/$\#$/video/business/2012/03/02/ym-shiller-king-rogoff-beddoes-housing-solutions.cnn?iref=allsearch}
}
@broadcast {33131,
	title = {Interview with Peer Steinbruck and Kenneth Rogoff},
	journal = {Cicero (Germany)},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {March 1},
	url = {http://www.cicero.de/kapital/peer-steinbrueck-kenneth-rogoff-europa-heiratet-nicht-teilt-sich-aber-ein-konto/48738}
}
@broadcast {32982,
	title = {Lunch with the FT: Kenneth Rogoff.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2012},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {February 4},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/5cfe15e0-4cca-11e1-8741-00144feabdc0.html$\#$axzz1lQQoaLfy}
}
@broadcast {32983,
	title = {Our Ignorance Will Yield More Crises in Capitalism.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2012},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {February 2},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22our+ignorance+will+yield+more+crises+in+capitalism\%22}
}
@broadcast {32938,
	title = {Interview from Davos with Kenneth Rogoff},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {NDTV India, January 27},
	url = {http://www.ndtv.com/video/player/ndtv-davos/restructuring-of-greece-debt-is-inadequate/222193}
}
@broadcast {33069,
	title = {Lesley Curwen discusses risk with a panel of experts},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {January 25},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p00mxbx7/In_The_Balance_Risk/}
}
@broadcast {33133,
	title = {Pragmatischer Okonom.},
	journal = {Der Spiegel (in German)},
	year = {2012},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {January 23},
	url = {http://www.spiegel.de/thema/kenneth_rogoff/}
}
@broadcast {32939,
	title = {The European Effect},
	journal = {Your Money},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {CNN, January 22},
	url = {yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/}
}
@broadcast {32940,
	title = {The Decisive Issue of 2012 with Paul Krugman and Kenneth Rogoff},
	journal = {Fareed Zakaria GPS},
	year = {2012},
	publisher = {CNN, January 16},
	url = {http://edition.cnn.com/video/?/video/world/2012/01/16/gps-krugman-vs-rogoff-segment.cnn}
}
@broadcast {46516,
	title = {When Debt Stifles Growth},
	journal = {Business Week},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {July 14}
}
@book {39564,
	title = {A Decade of Debt},
	year = {2011},
	note = {Publisher{\textquoteright}s Website and Order Information},
	publisher = {MIT Press},
	organization = {MIT Press},
	address = {Cambridge, MA},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w16827},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {32984,
	title = {The Eurozone Will Cast a Lengthening Shadow.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {December 22},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22the+eurozone+will+cast+a+lengthening+shadow\%22}
}
@broadcast {33107,
	title = {Ken Rogoff on Chess Addiction},
	journal = {Chessbase},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {December 15},
	url = {http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=7761}
}
@broadcast {32941,
	title = {Rogoff: A Big Change in the Euro Zone Not Happening.},
	journal = {Wall Street Journal Report with Maria Baritomo},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNBC, December 8},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000061575}
}
@broadcast {33070,
	title = {Will Eurozone Countries Give Up Control of Budgets},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2011/12/01/142987449/will-eurozone-countries-give-up-control-of-budgets}
}
@broadcast {32942,
	title = {The Race Is On to Save Europe - Ken Rogoff Explains the Global Consequences If Debt Problems Aren{\textquoteright}t Fixed},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN, November 30},
	url = {http://am.blogs.cnn.com/2011/11/30/the-race-is-on-to-save-europe-ken-rogoff-explains-the-global-consequences-if-debt-problems-arent-fixed/}
}
@broadcast {32943,
	title = {Americans {\textquoteright}Lazy{\textquoteright} About Promoting U.S.?},
	journal = {Your Money},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN, November 19},
	url = {http://yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/2011/11/19/americans-lazy-in-promoting-u-s/}
}
@broadcast {32985,
	title = {The Eurozone Does Not Need IMF Help.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {November 4},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22the+eurozone+does+not+need+imf\%22}
}
@broadcast {32950,
	title = {It{\textquoteright}s Not Just Greece. It{\textquoteright}s a Much Deeper Problem},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {November 3},
	url = {http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_9630000/9630587.stm}
}
@broadcast {32952,
	title = {Europe is Biggest Threat on US Economy, Rogoff Says},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {Bloomberg View, October 28},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/video/79111882/}
}
@broadcast {32953,
	title = {Rogoff on European Bailout, Greece Outlook.},
	journal = {Interview with Thomas Keene},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {Bloomberg, October 27},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/video/79076922/}
}
@broadcast {33108,
	title = {The business on..... Ken Rogoff, Harvard Economics Professor},
	journal = {The Independent (UK)},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {October 19},
	url = {http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/analysis-and-features/the-business-onken-rogoff-harvard-economics-professor-2377449.html}
}
@broadcast {32955,
	title = {What to Do With the Next European Debt Crisis?},
	journal = {Business360},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN International, October 11},
	url = {http://business.blogs.cnn.com/category/quest-means-business/?iref=allsearch}
}
@broadcast {33071,
	title = {When a Country Defaults, Who Comes Knocking?},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {October 9},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2011/10/09/141195893/when-a-country-defaults-who-comes-knocking?ps=cprs}
}
@broadcast {32957,
	title = {US Headed for Recession...Or Already in One.},
	journal = {Your Money},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN, October 8},
	url = {http://yourmoney.blogs.cnn.com/2011/10/08/u-s-headed-for-recession-or-already-in-one/}
}
@broadcast {33072,
	title = {Does the Economy Need a Little Inflation},
	journal = {Morning Edition},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {October 7},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2011/10/07/141006642/does-the-economy-need-a-little-inflation}
}
@broadcast {32958,
	title = {I Don{\textquoteright}t Think We Ever Left a Recession in 2008, Says Expert.},
	journal = {India with Menaki Doshi},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNBC, October 6},
	url = {http://www.moneycontrol.com/video/world-news/i-dont-think-we-ever-left-recession2008-says-expert_595640.html}
}
@broadcast {33116,
	title = {Financial Crisis and Stimulus: Could This Time Be Different?},
	journal = {Washington Post},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {By Erza Klein, October 4},
	url = {http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/financial-crisis-and-stimulus-could-this-time-be-different/2011/10/04/gIQALuwdVL_story.html}
}
@broadcast {46481,
	title = {2012 Elections Portend Even Greater Volatility},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {October 3},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=2012+elections+portend+even+greater+turmoil+a}
}
@broadcast {32986,
	title = {2012 Elections Portend Even Greater Volatility.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {October 3},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%222012+elections+portend+even+greater+turmoil+and+instability\%22}
}
@broadcast {33136,
	title = {Understanding the Second Great Contratction},
	journal = {McKinsey Quarterly},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {October},
	url = {http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/Understanding_the_Second_Great_Contraction_An_interview_with_Kenneth_Rogoff_2871}
}
@broadcast {33073,
	title = {Interview with Kenneth Rogoff on European Debt Crisis},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {September 27},
	url = {http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_9601000/9601063.stm}
}
@broadcast {32962,
	title = {Hardtalk},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {BBC, September 26},
	url = {http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/hardtalk/default.stm}
}
@broadcast {33117,
	title = {Eine Bombenidee, The Ticking Eurobomb},
	journal = {Der Spiegel},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {September 26},
	url = {http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/the-ticking-euro-bomb-what-options-are-left-for-the-common-currency-a-790568.html}
}
@broadcast {33109,
	title = {A Lack of Lending at European Banks Increases the Fear of Stagnation},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {September 22},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/23/business/global/financing-drought-for-european-banks-heightens-fears.html?_r=3\&scp=1\&sq=rogoff\&st=cse}
}
@broadcast {33149,
	title = {Laudatio for Professor Kenneth Rogoff Recipient of the 2011 Deutsche Bank Prize for Financial Economics},
	journal = {Speech by Vitor Constancio, Vice President of the European Central Bank},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {September 22},
	url = {http://www.ecb.int/press/key/date/2011/html/sp110922.en.html}
}
@broadcast {33074,
	title = {Will President Obama{\textquoteright}s Deficit Plan Work?},
	journal = {Marketplace},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {NPR, September 19},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/economy/will-president-obamas-deficit-plan-work}
}
@broadcast {32965,
	title = {Analysis of the Republican Debate and President Obama{\textquoteright}s Jobs Speech.},
	journal = {The Charlie Rose Show},
	year = {2011},
	pages = {The Charlie Rose Show},
	publisher = {PBS, September 9},
	url = {http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/11881}
}
@broadcast {32967,
	title = {Rogoff says the Economy Never Left the Recession.},
	journal = {American Morning},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN, September 2},
	url = {http://edition.cnn.com/video/standard.html$\#$/video/bestoftv/2011/09/02/am-jobs-numbers.cnn?iref=allsearch}
}
@broadcast {54581,
	title = {Review by Martin Wolf: Struggling with a Great Contraction},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {Augugst 31},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/079ff1c6-d2f0-11e0-9aae-00144feab49a.html$\#$axzz2J1IPVtuz}
}
@broadcast {33118,
	title = {A Whiff of Inflation Now?},
	journal = {Harvard Magazine},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {August 31},
	url = {http://harvardmagazine.com/2011/08/a-whiff-of-inflation-now}
}
@broadcast {32969,
	title = {Analysis of Fed Disagreement.},
	journal = {Nightly Business Report},
	year = {2011},
	note = {Rogoff segment starts at 4:00 on video link.
},
	publisher = {PBS, August 30},
	url = {http://video.pbs.org/video/2111765175}
}
@broadcast {33114,
	title = {The I-Word},
	journal = {Boston Globe},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {By Leon Neyfakh, August 28},
	url = {http://articles.boston.com/2011-08-28/news/29938939_1_inflation-rate-financial-crisis-economy}
}
@broadcast {33137,
	title = {The Making of a Debt Spiral},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {August 13},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/08/14/business/markets-debt-spiral.html}
}
@broadcast {33075,
	title = {Is it a Recession or a Contraction},
	journal = {Marketplace},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {NPR, PRI, August 12},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/business/fallout-financial-crisis/it-recession-or-contraction}
}
@broadcast {33138,
	title = {Sometimes, Inflation Is Not Evil},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {August 12},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/12/business/sometimes-inflation-is-not-evil.html}
}
@broadcast {32971,
	title = {Watch GPS: How to Fix the US Economy with Paul Krugam and Kenneth Rogoff.},
	journal = {Global Public Square},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN, Global Public Square, August 12},
	url = {http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/08/12/gps-this-sunday-krugman-calls-for-space-aliens-to-fix-u-s-economy/}
}
@broadcast {32970,
	title = {Past Crises and Current Panic on Wall Street},
	journal = {Wall Street Journal Report with Maria Baritomo},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNBC, August 12},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000039129}
}
@broadcast {32996,
	title = {Do Countries "Graduate" from Crises: Some Historical Perspective.},
	journal = {VoxEU},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {August 11},
	url = {http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/5450}
}
@broadcast {33076,
	title = {France{\textquoteright}s Credit Rating at Risk},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {PRI, BBC, August 11},
	url = {http://www.theworld.org/2011/08/frances-credit-rating-at-risk/}
}
@broadcast {33078,
	title = {The World{\textquoteright}s Financial Future},
	journal = {On Point with Tom Ashbrook},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {NPR, August 10},
	url = {http://onpoint.wbur.org/2011/08/10/the-worlds-financial-future}
}
@broadcast {32972,
	title = {Krugman: Second Great Depression Unlikely; But a {\textquoteright}Lesser{\textquoteright} Depression Is},
	journal = {PBS Newshour},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {August 9},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec11/economy2_08-08.html}
}
@broadcast {33079,
	title = {Market Turmoil Fuels Gold Rush},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {NPR, August 9},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2011/08/08/139097922/market-turmoil-fuels-gold-rush}
}
@broadcast {32973,
	title = {Rogoff Expects Fed Return to Quantitative Easing},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {First Up with Susan Li, Bloomberg, August 9},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/video/73684456/}
}
@broadcast {32987,
	title = {The Bullets Yet to be Fired to Stop the Crisis.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {August 8},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22the+bullets+yet+to+be+fired+to+stop+the+crisis\%22}
}
@broadcast {33139,
	title = {Une grande contraction comme il en arrive tous les 75 ans.},
	journal = {Lib{\'e}ration (in French)},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {August 8}
}
@broadcast {33110,
	title = {Win Together or Lose Together},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {August 7},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/07/opinion/sunday/Friedman-win-together-or-lose-together.html}
}
@broadcast {33111,
	title = {Double Dip, or Just One Big Economic Dive},
	journal = {Washington Post},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {August 5}
}
@broadcast {33080,
	title = {Debt-Ceiling Deal Does Little for Global Economic Ills},
	journal = {Morning News},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {NPR, August 3},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2011/08/03/138942080/debt-ceiling-deal-does-little-for-global-economic-ills}
}
@broadcast {33140,
	title = {El Presidente Barack Obama cometi{\'o} un terrible error},
	journal = {El Mercurio (Chile)},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {July 31},
	url = {http://buscador.emol.com/noticias/el\%20presidente\%20barack\%20obama\%20cometio\%20un\%20terrible\%20error}
}
@broadcast {33082,
	title = {Debt, From Ancient Tool to Modern Weapon},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {NPR, July 24},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/2011/07/24/138589354/the-evolution-of-debt-from-mesopotamia-to-america-to-greece}
}
@broadcast {33113,
	title = {Technology and Inequality},
	journal = {ChessBase News},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {July 20},
	url = {http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=7372}
}
@broadcast {32974,
	title = {IMF Calls for Action on Eurozone},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {BBC News, Business, July 19},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-14212791}
}
@broadcast {33083,
	title = {How Much Debt Is Too Much},
	journal = {Planet Money},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {NPR, July 19},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2011/07/20/138518262/the-tuesday-podcast-how-much-debt-is-too-much}
}
@broadcast {32989,
	title = {When Debt Stifles Growth},
	journal = {Business Week},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {July 14},
	url = {http://www.businessweek.com/}
}
@broadcast {32975,
	title = {Italy: Too Big to Fail?},
	journal = {PBS Newshour},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {July 13},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec11/italy2_07-13.html}
}
@broadcast {33084,
	title = {Justin Rowlands Discusses Sovereign Default with Harvard Professor Kenneth Rogoff},
	journal = {Business Daily },
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {BBC World Service, July 5},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-14016573}
}
@broadcast {32976,
	title = {Selective Default and Greek Debt},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {Nightly Business Report, PBS, July 5},
	url = {http://video.pbs.org/program/nbr/}
}
@broadcast {32979,
	title = {Housing and the Economic Recovery},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {Your Money, CNN, July 2},
	url = {http://edition.cnn.com/video/$\#$/video/bestoftv/2011/07/02/exp.ym.swonk.rogoff.sahadi.housing.cnn?iref=allsearch}
}
@broadcast {33141,
	title = {Une faillite d{\textquoteright}Etat est finalement assez banale},
	journal = {Le Monde (in French)},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {June 22},
	url = {http://www.lemonde.fr/}
}
@broadcast {32977,
	title = {A Slow Halting Recovery},
	journal = {Your Money},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN, June 17},
	url = {http://edition.cnn.com/video/$\#$/video/bestoftv/2011/06/17/exp.ym.rogoff.economic.recovery.cnn?iref=allsearch}
}
@broadcast {32990,
	title = {After the Scandal, More of the Same at the IMF.},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {June 16},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/16/opinion/16rogoff.html}
}
@broadcast {32978,
	title = {America{\textquoteright}s Recovery: Where Does It Stand?},
	journal = {American Morning},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN, June 14},
	url = {http://am.blogs.cnn.com/2011/06/14/americas-economic-recovery-where-does-it-stand/}
}
@broadcast {15027,
	title = {Center for Financial Studies verleiht "Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics 2011" an Kenneth Rogoff},
	journal = {dpa-AFX Wirtschaftsnachrichten GmbH},
	year = {2011},
	url = {http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/rogoff/files/dpa.pdf}
}
@inbook {14879,
	title = {On Graduation from Default, Inflation and Banking Crises: Elusive or Illusion?},
	booktitle = {NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2010},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	organization = {University of Chicago Press},
	address = {Chicago},
	abstract = {This paper uses a data set of over two hundred years of sovereign debt, banking and inflation crises to explore the question of how long it takes a country to {\textquotedblleft}graduate{\textquotedblright} from the typical pattern of serial crisis that most emerging markets experience. We find that for default and inflation crises, twenty years is a significant market, but the distribution of recidivism has extremely fat tails. In the case of banking crises, it is unclear whether countries ever graduate. We also examine the more recent phenomenon of IMF programs, which sometimes result in {\textquotedblleft}near misses{\textquotedblright} but sometimes end in default even after a program is instituted. The paper raises the important theoretical question of why countries experience serial default, and how they might graduate.},
	url = {http://papers.nber.org/books/acem10-1},
	author = {Rong Qian and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {14878,
	title = {Capital Controls: Myth and Reality{\textemdash}A Portfolio Balance Approach},
	year = {2011},
	abstract = {The literature on capital controls has (at least) four very serious apples-to-oranges problems: (i) There is no unified theoretical framework to analyze the macroeconomic consequences of controls; (ii) there is significant heterogeneity across countries and time in the control measures implemented; (iii) there are multiple definitions of what constitutes a {\textquotedblleft}success{\textquotedblright} and (iv) the empirical studies lack a common methodology{\textendash}furthermore these are significantly {\textquotedblleft}overweighted{\textquotedblright} by a couple of country cases (Chile and Malaysia). In this paper, we attempt to address some of these shortcomings by: being very explicit about what measures are construed as capital controls. Also, given that success is measured so differently across studies, we sought to {\textquotedblleft}standardize{\textquotedblright} the results of over 30 empirical studies we summarize in this paper. The standardization was done by constructing two indices of capital controls: Capital Controls Effectiveness Index (CCE Index), and Weighted Capital Control Effectiveness Index (WCCE Index). The difference between them lies in that the WCCE controls for the differentiated degree of methodological rigor applied to draw conclusions in each of the considered papers. Inasmuch as possible, we bring to bear the experiences of less well known episodes than those of Chile and Malaysia. Then, using a portfolio balance approach we model the effects of imposing capital controls on short- term flows. We find that there should exist country-specific characteristics for capital controls to be effective. From this simple perspective, this rationalizes why some capital controls were effective and some were not. We also show that the equivalence in effects of price- vs. quantity-capital control are conditional on the level of short-term capital flows.},
	url = {http://www.piie.com/publications/wp/wp11-7.pdf},
	author = {Nicolas E. Magud and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {32988,
	title = {The Global Fallout of a Eurozone Collapse.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {06/06/2011},
	publisher = {June 6},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22the+global+fallout+of+a+eurozone+collapse\%22}
}
@broadcast {15386,
	title = {Jobs, Innovation and the Recovery with Kenneth Rogoff and Jeffrey Sachs.},
	journal = {Global Public Square},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN, June 5},
	url = {http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/06/04/gps-this-week-muslim-brotherhood-leader-and-an-economist-roundtable/}
}
@broadcast {15385,
	title = {Economy Update with David Walker, Jared Bernstein, Paul Krugman, Kenneth Rogoff.},
	journal = {The Charlie Rose Show},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {PBS, June 3},
	url = {http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/11710}
}
@broadcast {15387,
	title = {As Obama Kicks Off Trip, How Far-Reaching Is Europe{\textquoteright}s Economic Crisis?},
	journal = {Newshour},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {PBS, May 23},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/jan-june11/europe_05-23.html}
}
@broadcast {15036,
	title = {L{\textquoteright}euro rimane saldo Nonostante grecia e portogallo},
	journal = {Corriere della Sera},
	year = {2011},
	note = {PDF},
	month = {05/23/2011},
	publisher = {May 23},
	url = {http://sitesearch.corriere.it/forward.jsp?q=rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15265,
	title = {IMF Dealing with Leadership Loss},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {PRI, BBC and WGBH, May 17},
	url = {http://www.theworld.org/2011/05/imf-power-vacuum/}
}
@broadcast {15122,
	title = {Es Wird ein Langer, Sehr Schmerzhafter Prozess.},
	journal = {Stern Magazine},
	year = {2011},
	note = {PDF},
	publisher = {May 11},
	url = {http://www.stern.de/wirtschaft/news/griechenland-krise-wirtschaftsforscher-warnt-vor-finanztsunami-1683510.html}
}
@broadcast {15037,
	title = {Modelos de mercados perfeitos contribu{\'\i}ram para crise global},
	journal = {O Estado de Sao Paulo},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {05/28/2011},
	publisher = {May 8},
	url = {http://www.estadao.com.br/noticias/impresso,modelos-de-mercados-perfeitos-criaram-falsa-seguranca-e-contribuiram-para-crise-global,716352,0.htm}
}
@broadcast {32795,
	title = {History Will Rue the US and Europe Debt Woes.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2011},
	note = {PDF
},
	publisher = {April 4},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22History+Will+Rue+US+and+Europe+Debt+Woes\%22}
}
@broadcast {15004,
	title = {Hilsenrath, McKinnon, and Rogoff Discuss Ben Bernanke{\textquoteright}s Press Conference and the US Economy},
	journal = {On Point with Tom Ashbrook},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {NPR, April 28},
	url = {http://onpoint.wbur.org/2011/04/28/ben-bernanke-economy}
}
@broadcast {15005,
	title = {Is It Time for America to Get Real?},
	journal = {Business Daily},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {BBC World Service, April 27},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p00g589k/Business_Daily_Is_it_time_for_America_to_get_real/}
}
@broadcast {15388,
	title = {Hitting the Debt Ceiling.},
	journal = {American Morning},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {CNN, April 12},
	url = {http://amfix.blogs.cnn.com/2011/04/12/hitting-the-debt-ceiling/}
}
@broadcast {32995,
	title = {Capital Controls: A Meta-Analysis Approach.},
	journal = {VoxEU},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {March 24},
	url = {http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/6266}
}
@broadcast {15148,
	title = {The Contemporary Keynes: Which Economist Is Doing Most to Shape Post-Crisis Thinking?},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2011},
	note = {PDF
},
	publisher = {February 10},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/node/18118985?story_id=18118985}
}
@broadcast {15590,
	title = {Einige Lander Sollten eine Euro-Auszeit Nehmen},
	journal = {Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung},
	year = {2011},
	month = {02/10/2011},
	publisher = {February 11},
	url = {http://www.faz.net/s/Rub3ADB8A210E754E748F42960CC7349BDF/Doc~E544A9861A72A45A3B2DF0D15727B53DD~ATpl~Ecommon~Scontent.html}
}
@broadcast {15111,
	title = {Crises Are Like Heart Attacks: Predicting Timing Is Tough.},
	journal = {Wall Street Journal},
	year = {2011},
	note = {PDF
},
	month = {02/10/2011},
	publisher = {February 10},
	url = {http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2011/02/10/qa-ken-rogoff-says-crises-are-like-heart-attacks-predicting-timing-is-tough}
}
@broadcast {15591,
	title = {Global Imbalances and the Risk of a Trade War.},
	journal = {InsideTrack with Sara Eisen},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {Bloomberg News, February 10},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/video/66618062}
}
@broadcast {15029,
	title = {Kenneth Rogoff wins Deutsche Bank Prize},
	year = {2011},
	note = {
European Central Bank, Laudatio PDF
 dpa-AFX Wirtschaftsnachrichten
Handelsblatt
 O Estado de S Paulo , PDF
},
	publisher = {Speech by V{\'\i}tor Const{\^a}ncio, September 22},
	url = {http://www.ecb.int/press/key/date/2011/html/sp110922.en.html}
}
@broadcast {15592,
	title = {Rajan and Rogoff Interview on the Global Economy.},
	journal = {InsideTrack with Erik Schatzker},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {Bloomberg News, January 28},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/video/66258290/}
}
@broadcast {33134,
	title = {Die Okonomie Ignoriert den Faktor Macht},
	journal = {Handelblatt (in German)},
	year = {2011},
	publisher = {January 23},
	url = {http://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/oekonomie/nachrichten/kenneth-rogoff-die-oekonomie-ignoriert-den-faktor-macht/6098542.html}
}
@broadcast {15183,
	title = {Euro Looks Set to Win the Race to the Bottom.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {01/12/2011},
	publisher = {January 12},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22euro+looks+set+to+win+the+race+to+the+bottom\%22}
}
@broadcast {33135,
	title = {Interview with Ken Rogoff},
	journal = {New in Chess},
	year = {2011},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {January 1},
	url = {http://www.newinchess.com/}
}
@article {14893,
	title = {The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt},
	journal = {Economic Journal},
	volume = {121},
	number = {552},
	year = {2011},
	note = { NBER Working Paper $\#$13946 },
	pages = {319-350},
	abstract = {There is a rich scholarly literature on sovereign default on external debt. Comparatively little is known about sovereign default on domestic debt. Even today, cross-country data on domestic public debt remains curiously exotic, particularly prior to the 1980s. We have filled this gap in the literature by compiling a database on central government public debt (external and domestic). The data span 1914 to 2007 for most countries, reaching back into the nineteenth century for many. Our findings on debt sustainability, sovereign defaults, the temptation to inflate, and the hierarchy of creditors only scratch the surface of what the domestic public debt data can reveal. First, domestic debt is big{\textemdash}for the 64 countries for which we have long time series, domestic debt accounts for almost two-thirds of total public debt. For most of the sample, this debt carries a market interest rate (except for the financial repression era between WWII and financial liberalization). Second, the data go a long way toward explaining the puzzle of why countries so often default on their external debts at seemingly low debt thresholds. Third, domestic debt has largely been ignored in the vast empirical work on inflation. In fact, domestic debt (a significant portion of which is long term and non-indexed) is often much larger than the monetary base in the run-up to high-inflation episodes. Last, the widely held view that domestic residents are strictly junior to external creditors does not find broad support.},
	url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com.ezp-prod1.hul.harvard.edu/doi/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2011.02426.x/pdf},
	author = {Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {14884,
	title = {From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {101},
	year = {2011},
	note = { NBER Working Paper $\#$16168 },
	pages = {1676-1706},
	abstract = {Newly developed long historical time series on public debt, along with modern data on external debts, allow a deeper analysis of the cycles underlying serial debt and banking crises. The evidence confirms a strong link between banking crises and sovereign default across the economic history of a great many countries, advanced and emerging alike. The focus of the analysis is on three related hypotheses tested with both {\textquotedblleft}world{\textquotedblright} aggregate levels and on an individual country basis. First, private debt surges are a recurring antecedent to banking crises; governments quite often contribute to this stage of the borrowing boom. Second, banking crises (both domestic ones and those emanating from international financial centers) often precede or accompany sovereign debt crises. Indeed, we find they help predict them. Third, public borrowing accelerates markedly ahead of a sovereign debt crisis; governments often have {\textquotedblleft}hidden debts{\textquotedblright} that far exceed the better documented levels of external debt. These hidden debts encompass domestic public debts (which prior to our data were largely undocumented).},
	url = {http://www.carmenreinhart.com/user_uploads/data/223_data.xls},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@conference {32228,
	title = {Austerity and the IMF},
	booktitle = {Fifth Annual Richard H. Sabot Lecture},
	year = {2010},
	month = {April 12, 2010},
	publisher = {Center for Global Development},
	organization = {Center for Global Development},
	address = {Washington, DC},
	url = {http://www.cgdev.org/content/calendar/detail/1423998/},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {14886,
	title = {Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?},
	journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	volume = {125},
	number = {3},
	year = {2010},
	note = {
	{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission of Elsevier Science. One copy may be printed for individual use only.

},
	pages = {1145{\textendash}1194},
	abstract = {
	We show that "commodity currency" exchange rates have remarkably robust power in predicting global commodity prices, both in-sample and out-of-sample, and against a variety of alternative benchmarks. This result is of particular interest to policymakers, given the lack of deep forward markets in many individual commodities, and broad aggregate commodity indices in particular. We also explore the reverse relationship (commodity prices forecasting exchange rates) but find it to be notably less robust. We offer a theoretical resolution, based on the fact that exchange rates are strongly forward looking, whereas commodity price fluctuations are typically more sensitive to short-term demand imbalances.

},
	url = {http://qje.oxfordjournals.org.ezp-prod1.hul.harvard.edu/content/125/3/1145.full.pdf+html},
	author = {Yu-chin Chen and Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi}
}
@broadcast {15321,
	title = {Ireland{\textquoteright}s Low Credit Rating Could Bring Rest of Euro Nations Down},
	journal = {Marketplace},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {American Public Media and NPR, December 17},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/world/irelands-low-credit-rating-could-bring-rest-euro-nations-down?refid=0}
}
@broadcast {15595,
	title = {The Proposed Tax Accord between Obama and the Republicans.},
	journal = {The Charlie Rose Show},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {PBS, December 8},
	url = {http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/11334}
}
@broadcast {15391,
	title = {Bailout for Ireland?},
	journal = {CNN},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {November 17},
	url = {http://edition.cnn.com/video/$\#$/video/world/2010/11/17/ctw.intv.rogoff.cnn}
}
@broadcast {15322,
	title = {Criticisms Await Obama at G-20 Summit},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {NPR, November 9},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=131194711}
}
@broadcast {15323,
	title = {The Fall of the American Consumer},
	journal = {Marketplace},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {American Public Media and NPR, November 8},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/business/fall-american-consumer}
}
@broadcast {15392,
	title = {Economic Reality Check.},
	journal = {Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {CNBC News, October 28},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232/?video=1627441199}
}
@broadcast {15393,
	title = {A Discussion about the Middle Class.},
	journal = {The Charlie Rose Show},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {PBS, October 25},
	url = {http://www.charlierose.com/guest/view/6769}
}
@article {14880,
	title = {Three Challenges Facing Modern Macroeconomics},
	journal = {American Economic Association},
	year = {2010},
	abstract = {There are three great challenges facing researchers in modern macroeconomics today, all brought into sharp relief by the recent financial crisis. The first is to find more realistic, and yet tractable, ways to incorporate financial market frictions into our canonical models for analyzing monetary policy. The second is to rethink the role of countercyclical fiscal policy, particularly in the response to a financial crisis where credit markets seize. A third great challenge is to achieve a better cost-benefit analysis of financial market regulation.},
	url = {http://www.aeaweb.org/econwhitepapers/index.php},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15632,
	title = {Help Wanted? Anthony Chan and Ken Rogoff discuss the Job Market with Susie Gharib.},
	journal = {Nightly Business Report},
	year = {2010},
	note = {PDF
},
	publisher = {PBS, September 6},
	url = {http://video.pbs.org/video/1582170399/}
}
@article {14881,
	title = {Three Epochs of Oil},
	year = {2010},
	note = {Download August 2010 version. Download NBER Working Paper No. 14927, April 2009.},
	abstract = {We test for changes in price behavior in the longest crude oil price series available (1861-2008). We find strong evidence for changes in persistence and in volatility of price across three well defined periods. We argue that historically, the real price of oil has tended to be highly persistent and volatile whenever rapid industrialization has coincided with uncertainty regarding access to supply. We present a modified commodity storage model that fully incorporates demand, and further can accommodate both transitory and permanent shocks. We show that the role of storage when demand is subject to persistent growth shocks is speculative, instead of its classic mitigating role. This result helps to account for the increased volatility of oil price we observe in these periods.},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w14927},
	author = {Eyal Dvir and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15109,
	title = {Debt and Growth Revisited.},
	journal = {VoxEU},
	year = {2010},
	month = {11 Aug. 2010},
	publisher = {August 11},
	url = {http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/5395}
}
@broadcast {15634,
	title = {Kenneth Rogoff and David Wessel.},
	journal = {The Charlie Rose Show},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {PBS, August 4},
	url = {http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/11154}
}
@broadcast {15191,
	title = {No Need for a Panicked Fiscal Surge.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {07/21/2010},
	publisher = {July 21},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22no+need+for+a+panicked+fiscal+surge\%22}
}
@broadcast {15394,
	title = {Will Greek Austerity Program Buckle under Pressure?},
	journal = {Making Sense of Financial News},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {PBS Newshour, July 19},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec10/makingsense_07-19.html}
}
@broadcast {15395,
	title = {U.S. Economist Warns of Slow Recovery.},
	journal = {Hard Talk},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {BBC World Service, July 15},
	url = {http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/hardtalk/8826497.stm}
}
@broadcast {15324,
	title = {The Controversy over Extending Jobless Benefits},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {NPR, July 12},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=128470510}
}
@broadcast {15644,
	title = {They Did Their Homework (800 Years of It)},
	journal = {New York Times},
	volume = {By Catherine Rampell},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {07/04/2010},
	publisher = {By Catherine Rampell, July 4},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/04/business/economy/04econ.html}
}
@broadcast {15038,
	title = {Interviews with Kenneth Rogoff},
	journal = {Noticias.com},
	year = {2010},
	note = { ABC PDF    El Mundo PDF    Expansion PDF },
	month = {3 July 2010},
	publisher = {July 3},
	url = {http://www.noticias.com/}
}
@broadcast {15039,
	title = {Simon Johnson, Kenneth Rogoff weigh in on Financial Overhaul},
	journal = {USA Today},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {06/25/2010},
	publisher = {June 25},
	url = {http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/2010-06-25-regulation25_ST3_N.htm}
}
@broadcast {15647,
	title = {Interview with Ken Rogoff},
	journal = {YICAI.com, China Business News (in Chinese)},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {June 21}
}
@broadcast {15042,
	title = {Interview on "This Time Is Different"},
	journal = {Bloomberg News},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {05/19/2010},
	publisher = {May 19},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601088\&sid=aLOWgjIxIY68}
}
@broadcast {15043,
	title = {Der Krisenversteher (Interview by Patrick Bernau)},
	journal = {Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {05/13/2010},
	publisher = {May 13},
	url = {http://www.faz.net/s/RubB8DFB31915A443D98590B0D538FC0BEC/Doc~EABB8341904F44A2E861B55BD7C243E42~ATpl~Ecommon~Scontent.html}
}
@broadcast {15655,
	title = {Our Giant Banking Crisis: What to Expect},
	journal = {New York Times Review of Books},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {By Paul Krugman and Robin Wells, May 13},
	url = {http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2010/may/13/our-giant-banking-crisis/}
}
@broadcast {15650,
	title = {Euro Rescue, Finance Jitters},
	journal = {On Point with Tom Ashbrook},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {NPR, May 11},
	url = {http://onpoint.wbur.org/2010/05/11/euro-rescue}
}
@broadcast {15326,
	title = {$1 Trillion Safety Net for Euro Countries},
	journal = {Newshour},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {BBC World Service, May 10},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/worldservice/news/2010/05/100510_euro_wt_sl.shtml}
}
@broadcast {15653,
	title = {Shares Surge after EU Loan Deal},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {Public Radio International, May 10},
	url = {http://www.theworld.org/2010/05/shares-surge-after-eu-loan-deal/}
}
@broadcast {15651,
	title = {Why Should We Care If Europe Fails?},
	journal = {Street Signs with Erin Burnett},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {CNBC News, May 10},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1490225554}
}
@broadcast {15218,
	title = {Europe Finds the Old Rules Still Apply.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {05/05/2010},
	publisher = {May 5},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22europe+finds+the+old+rules+still+apply\%22}
}
@broadcast {15656,
	title = {Greek Debt Crisis Sends Ripples through Euro Zone},
	journal = {The TakeAway},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {Public Radio International, April 29},
	url = {http://www.thetakeaway.org/2010/apr/29/greek-debt-crisis-sends-ripples-through-euro-zone/}
}
@broadcast {28775,
	title = {The Euro: Why Should We Care?},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {NPR, April 28},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=126370243}
}
@broadcast {15658,
	title = {Obama Attacks Bank Reform Critics},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {Public Radio International, April 22},
	url = {http://www.theworld.org/2010/04/obama-attacks-bank-reform-critics/}
}
@broadcast {15659,
	title = {Bubbles Lurk in Government Debt.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {04/07/2010},
	publisher = {April 7},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22bubbles+lurk+in+government+debt\%22}
}
@broadcast {15660,
	title = {Financial Overhaul{\textquoteright}s Goal: End {\textquoteright}Too Big To Fail{\textquoteright}},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {NPR, April 6},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=125642270}
}
@broadcast {54156,
	title = {Interview with Fernando Dantas, Balan{\c c}o da crise global},
	journal = {O Estado de S{\~a}o Paulo (in Portuguese)},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {March 20},
	url = {http://blogs.estadao.com.br/fernando-dantas/2010/03/22/rogoff-balanco-da-crise-global/}
}
@broadcast {15662,
	title = {Decade After Introduction, Euro Struggles},
	journal = {Planet Money},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {NPR, March 10},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=124537474}
}
@broadcast {15398,
	title = {Sovereign Defaults Ahead?},
	journal = {WSJ Report with Maria Bartiromo},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {CNBC News, March 8},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1435191659}
}
@broadcast {15045,
	title = {Taking Stock, Looking Ahead},
	journal = {Price Waterhouse Coopers},
	number = {12},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {March},
	url = {http://www.pwc.com/us/en/view/issue-12/taking-stock-kenneth-rogoff.jhtml}
}
@broadcast {15665,
	title = {Debt and Default: Discussing the US Debt Problem.},
	journal = {Power Lunch},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {CNBC, February 26},
	url = {http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=1425720804}
}
@broadcast {15666,
	title = {Why Greece Matters},
	journal = {Planet Money},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {NPR, February 23},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2010/02/podcast_yes_greece_could_defau.html}
}
@broadcast {15046,
	title = {Interview by Eduardo Salgado on This Time Is Different},
	journal = {Exame},
	year = {2010},
	month = {02/10/2010},
	publisher = {February 4},
	url = {http://exame.abril.com.br/revista-exame/edicoes/0961/especiais/noticias/nao-vou-tirar-meu-dinheiro-brasil-531258}
}
@broadcast {15669,
	title = {The Debt Threat.},
	journal = {Street Signs},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {CNBC, February 8},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1408145260}
}
@broadcast {15670,
	title = {Europe{\textquoteright}s Economic Troubles},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {Public Radio International, February 8},
	url = {http://www.pri.org/stories/business/europe-economic-troubles1867.html}
}
@broadcast {15668,
	title = {Susie Gharib One-on-One with Kenneth Rogoff.},
	journal = {Nightly Business Report},
	year = {2010},
	note = {PDF
},
	publisher = {CBS, February 8},
	url = {http:}
}
@broadcast {15671,
	title = {On the Financial Crisis in Greece},
	journal = {To Vima (Greece)},
	year = {2010},
	note = {PDF },
	publisher = {February 7},
	url = {https://www.tovima.gr/2010/02/03/finance/syntagi-gia-eksodo-apo-tin-krisi/}
}
@broadcast {15335,
	title = {Challenges of the Financial Recovery.},
	journal = {As It Happens},
	year = {2010},
	note = {Interview starts at Part II, 00:47 February 5, 2010},
	publisher = {NPR and CBC},
	url = {http://www.cbc.ca/radioshows/AS_IT_HAPPENS/20100205.shtml}
}
@broadcast {15402,
	title = {Gr{\ae}kenland p{\r a} randen af fallit.},
	journal = {Pengeredaktion},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {DR, February 3},
	url = {http://www.dr.dk/odp/player.aspx?uniqueid=354744\&mt=newstab\&st=news_TVAvisen\&furl=http\%3A//www.dr.dk/odp/default.aspx\%3Ftemplate\%3Dnyhed\%26guid\%3DDR1201002032100\%26autoplay\%3D0\%26back\%3Ddefault.aspx\%253ftemplate\%253dnyheder\%2526day\%253d0}
}
@broadcast {15673,
	title = {Davos 2010: Rajan, Rogoff \& Behravesh on the Future of the Global Economy.},
	journal = {TV 18 India},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {CNBC, January 28},
	url = {http://www.youtube.com/user/cnbctv18$\#$p/u/12/9BdhDzXf0Tk}
}
@broadcast {15220,
	title = {Why We Should Expect Low Growth Amid Debt?},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {01/28/3010},
	publisher = {January 28},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22why+we+should+expect+low+growth+amid+debt\%22}
}
@broadcast {15678,
	title = {Come Fare Buon Uso del 2010},
	journal = {Il Foglio Quotidiano},
	year = {2010},
	note = {PDF
},
	month = {01/05/2010},
	publisher = {January 5},
	url = {http://www.ilfoglio.it/}
}
@broadcast {15676,
	title = {Grandmasters and Global Growth.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2010},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {January 5},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/grandmasters-and-global-growth}
}
@broadcast {15648,
	title = {Kenneth Rogoff: Economic Reappraisal.},
	journal = {The Agenda with Steve Paikin},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {CBC},
	url = {http://www.tvo.org/cfmx/tvoorg/theagenda/index.cfm?page_id=7\&bpn=779792\&ts=2010-05-26\%2020:00:00.0}
}
@broadcast {15677,
	title = {Debate: The Limits of Economics.},
	journal = {The Agenda},
	year = {2010},
	publisher = {CBC},
	url = {http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/rogoff/files/Limits_of_Economics.mp3}
}
@broadcast {15675,
	title = {Why China Needs an Independent Monetary Policy.},
	journal = {Century Weekly Magazine},
	year = {2010},
	url = {http://economy.caing.com/2010-01-22/100110195.html}
}
@article {14885,
	title = {Growth in a Time of Debt},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {100},
	number = {2},
	year = {2010},
	note = { NBER Working Paper $\#$15639 },
	pages = {573-578},
	abstract = {We study economic growth and inflation at different levels of government and external debt. Our analysis is based on new data on forty-four countries spanning about two hundred years. The dataset incorporates over 3,700 annual observations covering a wide range of political systems, institutions, exchange rate arrangements, and historic circumstances. Our main findings are: First, the relationship between government debt and real GDP growth is weak for debt/GDP ratios below a threshold of 90 percent of GDP. Above 90 percent, median growth rates fall by one percent, and average growth falls considerably more. We find that the threshold for public debt is similar in advanced and emerging economies. Second, emerging markets face lower thresholds for external debt (public and private){\textemdash}which is usually denominated in a foreign currency. When external debt reaches 60 percent of GDP, annual growth declines by about two percent; for higher levels, growth rates are roughly cut in half. Third, there is no apparent contemporaneous link between inflation and public debt levels for the advanced countries as a group (some countries, such as the United States, have experienced higher inflation when debt/GDP is high). The story is entirely different for emerging markets, where inflation rises sharply as debt increases.},
	url = {http://www.carmenreinhart.com/user_uploads/data/36_data.pdf},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@conference {14887,
	title = {Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis: Products of Common Causes},
	booktitle = {In Asia and the Global Financial Crisis, ed. Reuven Glick and Mark M. Spiegel. Asia Economic Policy Conference. San Francisco, CA: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 2010 },
	year = {2010},
	note = {
	PDF

},
	url = {http://www.frbsf.org/economics/conferences/aepc/2009/agenda.php},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {14900,
	title = {Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development},
	journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics},
	volume = {56},
	number = {4},
	year = {2009},
	note = {An earlier version appeared as NBER Working Paper No. 12117, May 2006.},
	pages = {494-513},
	abstract = {This paper offers empirical evidence that real exchange rate volatility can have a significant impact on the long-term rate of productivity growth, but the effect depends critically on a country{\textquoteright}s level of financial development. For countries with relatively low levels of financial development, exchange rate volatility generally reduces growth, whereas for financially advanced countries, there is no significant effect. Our empirical analysis is based on an 83-country data set spanning the years 1960{\textendash}2000; our results appear robust to time window, alternative measures of financial development and exchange rate volatility, and outliers. We also offer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty exacerbates the negative investment effects of domestic credit market constraints. Our approach delivers results that are in striking contrast to the vast existing empirical exchange rate literature, which largely finds the effects of exchange rate volatility on real activity to be relatively small and insignificant.},
	url = {https://www.dropbox.com/s/og89tclu9ifgkn0/appendix_code_datafiles.zip?dl=0},
	author = {Philippe Aghion and Philippe Bacchetta and Romain Ranciere and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {14899,
	title = {Financial Globalization, A Reappraisal},
	journal = {International Monetary Fund Staff Papers},
	volume = {56},
	number = {1},
	year = {2009},
	note = {An earlier version appeared as NBER Working Paper No. 12484, August 2006.},
	pages = {8-62},
	abstract = {The literature on the benefits and costs of financial globalization for developing countries has exploded in recent years, but along many disparate channels with a variety of apparently conflicting results. There is still little robust evidence of the growth benefits of broad capital account liberalization, but a number of recent papers in the finance literature report that equity market liberalizations do significantly boost growth. Similarly, evidence based on microeconomic (firm- or industry-level) data shows some benefits of financial integration and the distortionary effects of capital controls, while the macroeconomic evidence remains inconclusive. At the same time, some studies argue that financial globalization enhances macroeconomic stability in developing countries, while others argue the opposite. We attempt to provide a unified conceptual framework for organizing this vast and growing literature, particularly emphasizing recent approaches to measuring the catalytic and indirect benefits to financial globalization. Indeed, we argue that the indirect effects of financial globalization on financial sector development, institutions, governance, and macroeconomic stability are likely to be far more important than any direct impact via capital accumulation or portfolio diversification. This perspective explains the failure of research based on cross-country growth regressions to find the expected positive effects of financial globalization and points to newer approaches that are potentially more useful and convincing.},
	url = {http://www.palgrave-journals.com/imfsp/journal/v56/n1/pdf/imfsp200836a.pdf},
	author = {M. Ayhan Kose and Eswar Prasad and Kenneth Rogoff and Shang-Jin Wei}
}
@book {13367,
	title = {This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {Princeton University Press},
	organization = {Princeton University Press},
	address = {Princeton, New Jersey},
	url = {http://www.reinhartandrogoff.com/},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15679,
	title = {Reflections on the History of Financial Crises},
	journal = {Today},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {BBC Radio 4, December 24},
	url = {http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_8429000/8429369.stm}
}
@broadcast {15680,
	title = {The Limits of Dubai.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {Dec 2009},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-limits-of-dubai}
}
@broadcast {15337,
	title = {Dollar{\textquoteright}s Drop Has Pros and Cons},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, November 14},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=120422630}
}
@broadcast {15682,
	title = {Interview with Kenneth Rogoff on THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT.},
	journal = {The Charlie Rose Show},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {PBS, November 10},
	url = {http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/10707}
}
@broadcast {15405,
	title = {Arrogance and Ignorance Recurring in Economic History},
	journal = {Newshour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {PBS, November 2},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/video/module.html?mod=0\&pkg=2112009\&seg=4}
}
@broadcast {15684,
	title = {Fixing Too Big To Fail},
	journal = {On Point with Tom Ashbrook},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, November 2},
	url = {http://onpoint.wbur.org/2009/11/02/fixing-too-big-to-fail}
}
@broadcast {15685,
	title = {The Great Contraction of 2008-2009.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {Nov 2009},
	publisher = {November 2},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-great-contraction-of-2008-2009}
}
@broadcast {15339,
	title = {Comparison with the Crash of 1929 and Other Deep Financial Crises},
	journal = {The Current},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {CBC, October 29},
	url = {http://www.cbc.ca/thecurrent/episode/2009/10/29/october-29-2009/}
}
@broadcast {15406,
	title = {Tom Keene interviews Ken Rogoff and Niall Ferguson on their recent books and the global economy.},
	journal = {Bloomberg News},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {October 28},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive\&sid=aOVBsFL6MxIU}
}
@broadcast {15340,
	title = {Interview on Banking Reform},
	journal = {Newshour },
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {BBC World Service, October 26},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p004t1ks/Newshour_26_10_2009/}
}
@broadcast {15689,
	title = {Interview on This Time Is Different with Kenneth Rogoff},
	journal = {Marketplace},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {American Public Media and NPR, October 19},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/your-money/big-book/crisis-really-different-no}
}
@broadcast {15407,
	title = {Debate between Joseph Stiglitz and Kenneth Rogoff on the Financial Crisis.},
	journal = {Deadline},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {Danish TV, October 10},
	url = {http://www.dr.dk/odp/player.aspx?uniqueid=344282\&mt=newstab\&st=news_TVAvisen\&furl=http\%3A//www.dr.dk/odp/default.aspx\%3Ftemplate\%3Dnyhed\%26guid\%3DDR2200910102230\%26autoplay\%3D0\%26back\%3Ddefault.aspx\%253ftemplate\%253dnyheder\%2526day\%253d0}
}
@broadcast {15691,
	title = {China{\textquoteright}s Dollar Problem.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {Oct 2009},
	publisher = {October 2},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/china-s-dollar-problem}
}
@broadcast {15692,
	title = {Review by Martin Wolf: This Time Will Never Be Different},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {September 28},
	url = {http://podcast.ft.com/index.php?sid=17\&pid=566}
}
@broadcast {15408,
	title = {Discussion of  THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly.},
	journal = {WSJ Report with Maria Bartiromo},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {CNBC News, September 25},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1275851710}
}
@broadcast {15342,
	title = {President{\textquoteright}s Comments on Economy Examined},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, September 14},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=112825228}
}
@broadcast {15161,
	title = {What If Lehman Had Not Failed?},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {September 10},
	url = {www.economist.com}
}
@broadcast {15696,
	title = {From Financial Crisis to Debt Crisis?},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {Sept 2009},
	publisher = {September 2},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/from-financial-crisis-to-debt-crisis-}
}
@broadcast {15221,
	title = {Why We Need to Regulate the Banks Sooner, Not Later.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {08/18/2009},
	publisher = {August 18},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22we+need+to+regulate+the+banks+sooner+not+later\%22}
}
@broadcast {15409,
	title = {Analysis on Outlook for the Economy.},
	journal = {Nightly Business Report with Susie Gharib},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {PBS, August 10},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/nbr/info/local-player.html?s=nbre07s2e79q4c4}
}
@broadcast {15700,
	title = {The Confidence Game.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {Aug 2009},
	publisher = {August 3},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-confidence-game-}
}
@broadcast {15699,
	title = {Will U.S. Move Towards European Capitalism},
	journal = {Morning Edition},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, August 3},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=111420898}
}
@broadcast {15636,
	title = {Crossroads in China{\textquoteright}s Growth.},
	journal = {Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {CNBC News, July 20},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1548449893}
}
@broadcast {15701,
	title = {G-8 Summit Picks Up Where G-20 Left Off},
	journal = {Morning Edition},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, July 8},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106376589}
}
@broadcast {15702,
	title = {Will Europe{\textquoteright}s Economies Regain their Footing?},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {July 2009},
	publisher = {July 2},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/will-europe-s-economies-regain-their-footing-}
}
@broadcast {15410,
	title = {Re-Regulating Financial Markets},
	journal = {On Point},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, June 18},
	url = {http://www.onpointradio.org/2009/06/re-regulating-financial-markets/}
}
@broadcast {15222,
	title = {US Suffers Fiscal Health Scare.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2009},
	month = {06/18/2009},
	publisher = {June 18},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22america+should+also+look+to+its+fiscal+health\%22}
}
@broadcast {15411,
	title = {Bank Stability and Oil{\textquoteright}s Run.},
	journal = {Wall Street Journal Report with Maria Bartiromo},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {CNBC News, June 12},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1150800952}
}
@broadcast {15706,
	title = {Rebalancing the US-China Economic Relationship.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	month = {June 2009},
	publisher = {June 2},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/rebalancing-the-us-china-economic-relationship}
}
@broadcast {15412,
	title = {Economic Recovery Still Months Away.},
	journal = {Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {CNBC News, May 15},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/30768521/site/14081545}
}
@broadcast {15708,
	title = {Bernanke Sees Signs of Recovery.},
	journal = {Nightly News with Brian Williams},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NBC, May 5},
	url = {http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032619/vp/30587736$\#$30583679}
}
@broadcast {15346,
	title = {Bank Profits and the Recovery},
	journal = {Good Morning America},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {ABC, April 18},
	url = {http://abcnews.go.com/Video/playerIndex?id=7369244}
}
@broadcast {15115,
	title = {Don{\textquoteright}t Buy the Chirpy Forecasts.},
	journal = {Newsweek International},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {March 30},
	url = {http://www.newsweek.com/id/190340}
}
@broadcast {15581,
	title = {Brave New Financial World.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {March 28},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/brave-new-financial-world}
}
@broadcast {15711,
	title = {Geithner Plan for Financial Overhaul},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {Public Radio International, March 26},
	url = {www.theworld.org/}
}
@broadcast {15347,
	title = {Can a New World Currency Displace the Dollar?},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, March 24},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=102306392}
}
@broadcast {15414,
	title = {Economists React to the Toxic Asset Plan.},
	journal = {The New Economy},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {CNBC News, March 23},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1069545305\&play=1}
}
@broadcast {15423,
	title = {How Worried Are You about the National Debt?},
	journal = {The News Hour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2009},
	note = {January 3, 2009
},
	publisher = {National Public Television, March 20},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/businessdesk/2009/03/how-worried-are-you-about-the.html}
}
@broadcast {15415,
	title = {The True Costs of Recovery.},
	journal = {Evening News},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {CBS, March 19},
	url = {http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2009/03/19/eveningnews/main4877589.shtml}
}
@broadcast {15348,
	title = {More Anger Directed at AIG},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {Public Radio International, March 17},
	url = {http://www.theworld.org/}
}
@broadcast {15349,
	title = {G-20 to the Rescue},
	journal = {On Point},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, March 16},
	url = {http://onpoint.wbur.org/2009/03/16/g-20-to-the-rescue}
}
@broadcast {15416,
	title = {Previewing the Superpower Summit.},
	journal = {NOW with David Brancaccio},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPT, March 13},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/now/shows/511/index.html}
}
@broadcast {15582,
	title = {Examining If Banks Are Too Big to Fail},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, March 9},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=101627986}
}
@broadcast {15580,
	title = {What Is the Deficit Endgame?},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {March 3},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/what-is-the-deficit-endgame-}
}
@broadcast {15351,
	title = {Evaluating the Stimulus and Bank Bailout Plans},
	journal = {Newshour},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {BBC Radio, February 11},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p002vsnk}
}
@broadcast {15578,
	title = {Will the Rescue Plan Work?},
	journal = {The Newshour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {National Public Television, February 10},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/jan-june09/stimulusrescue_02-10.html}
}
@broadcast {15577,
	title = {Nationalization, Trade Protectionism and the Global Financial Crisis.},
	journal = {HARDTalk},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {BBC, February 9},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b00hns2m/HARDtalk_Ken_Rogoff/?src=a_syn31}
}
@broadcast {15417,
	title = {Recession Jolts {\textquoteright}Oracle of Omaha.{\textquoteright}},
	journal = {World News with Charles Gibson},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {ABC, February 9},
	url = {http://abcnews.go.com/Video/playerIndex?id=7043310}
}
@broadcast {15032,
	title = {The Upside to Resisting Globalization},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {02/06/2009},
	publisher = {Floyd Norris with quotes from Ken Rogoff, February 6},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/06/business/06norris.html?_r=1\&sq=resisting\%20globalization\&st=cse\&adxnnl=1\&scp=1\&adxnnlx=1337284894-TNw8nPl8+JNHTpC+gPn5OA}
}
@broadcast {15575,
	title = {Is China Really Immune to the Crisis?},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {Feb 2009},
	publisher = {February 4},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/is-china-really-immune-to-the-crisis-}
}
@broadcast {15112,
	title = {What Other Financial Crises Tell Us.},
	journal = {Wall Street Journal},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {02/03/2009},
	publisher = {February 3},
	url = {http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123362438683541945.html}
}
@broadcast {15420,
	title = {All Big US Banks Must Go to Fix Crisis.},
	journal = {Davos World Economic Forum},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {CNBC, January 30},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/28928650}
}
@broadcast {15572,
	title = {Banking Sector, Bailout Reform May Top Obama Agenda},
	journal = {The Newshour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {National Public Television, January 21},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/jan-june09/economicagenda_01-21.html}
}
@broadcast {15352,
	title = {Are any countries benefitting from the financial crisis?},
	journal = {Planet Money},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, January 16},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2009/01/hear_mixed_signs_of_the_times_1.html}
}
@broadcast {15353,
	title = {Money Mystery: Who{\textquoteright}s Holding U.S. Currency?},
	journal = {Morning Edition},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {NPR, January 9},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=99147699}
}
@broadcast {15162,
	title = {Drastic Times.},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2009},
	note = {PDF
},
	publisher = {January 8},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/node/12887385?story_id=12887385}
}
@broadcast {15354,
	title = {President-Elect Obama{\textquoteright}s Economics Plan},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {Public Radio International, January 8},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=99120512}
}
@broadcast {15422,
	title = {World May Be in Worse Recession since WWII.},
	journal = {Night Talk with Mike Schneider},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {Bloomberg News, January 8},
	url = {http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive\&sid=aP0.TuRcQ5s8}
}
@broadcast {15565,
	title = {Has America Lost Its Mojo?},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {January 5},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/has-america-lost-its-mojo-}
}
@broadcast {32980,
	title = {How Worried Are You about the National Debt?},
	journal = {The News Hour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2009},
	publisher = {National Public Television, January 3},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/businessdesk/2009/03/how-worried-are-you-about-the.html}
}
@broadcast {15573,
	title = {Chess Grandmasters at the Davos Conference},
	journal = {ChessBase News},
	year = {2009},
	month = {Jan 2009},
	publisher = {January},
	url = {http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=5192}
}
@broadcast {33148,
	title = {Davos World Economic Forum: Exuberance of India; Global Credit Drought; Cautiously Pessimistic},
	journal = {New York Times Blogs},
	year = {2009},
	note = { Exuberance of India    Global Credit Drought    Cautiously Pessimistic },
	publisher = {January 28-31}
}
@broadcast {15709,
	title = {The "New Normal" for Growth.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2009},
	month = {May 2009},
	publisher = {May 5},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the--new-normal--for-growth}
}
@article {14888,
	title = {The Aftermath of Financial Crises},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {99},
	year = {2009},
	note = { NBER Working Paper $\#$14656 },
	pages = {466-472},
	abstract = {This paper examines the depth and duration of the slump that invariably follows severe financial crises, which tend to be protracted affairs. We find that asset market collapses are deep and prolonged. On a peak-to-trough basis, real housing price declines average 35 percent stretched out over six years, while equity price collapses average 55 percent over a downturn of about three and a half years. Not surprisingly, banking crises are associated with profound declines in output and employment. The unemployment rate rises an average of 7 percentage points over the down phase of the cycle, which lasts on average over four years. Output falls an average of over 9 percent, although the duration of the downturn is considerably shorter than for unemployment. The real value of government debt tends to explode, rising an average of 86 percent in the major post-World War II episodes. The main cause of debt explosions is usually not the widely cited costs of bailing out and recapitalizing the banking system. The collapse in tax revenues in the wake of deep and prolonged economic contractions is a critical factor in explaining the large budget deficits and increases in debt that follow the crisis. Our estimates of the rise in government debt are likely to be conservative, as these do not include increases in government guarantees, which also expand briskly during these episodes.},
	url = {http://www.carmenreinhart.com/user_uploads/data/51_data.xls},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {14895,
	title = {Exchange Rate Models Are Not as Bad as You Think: A comment},
	booktitle = {NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007},
	year = {2008},
	pages = {443-452},
	publisher = {MIT Press},
	organization = {MIT Press},
	address = {Cambridge},
	url = {http://papers.nber.org/books/acem07-1},
	author = {Daron Acemoglu and Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford}
}
@broadcast {15563,
	title = {Quantitative Easing, Deflation and the Financial Crisis},
	journal = {Newshour},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {BBC Radio, December 16},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p002vsnk}
}
@broadcast {15424,
	title = {Benefits of Inflation.},
	journal = {Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {CNBC News, December 15},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=966186785}
}
@broadcast {15049,
	title = {Interview with The Region Magazine},
	journal = {The Region: Banking and Policy Issues Magazine},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/issue.cfm?id=290}
}
@broadcast {15559,
	title = {Memo to the President},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {CNN, November 26},
	url = {http://www.cnn.com/video/$\#$/video/politics/2008/11/26/romans.memo.to.pres.econ.cnn}
}
@broadcast {15033,
	title = {The Vision Thing},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2008},
	month = {11/26/2008},
	publisher = {Chris Giles, with predictions by Ken Rogoff, November 26},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/cms/s/819aa038-bb5c-11dd-bc6c-0000779fd18c,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http\%3A\%2F\%2Fwww.ft.com\%2Fcms\%2Fs\%2F0\%2F819aa038-bb5c-11dd-bc6c-0000779fd18c.html\&_i_referer=http\%3A\%2F\%2Fsearch.ft.com\%2Fsearch\%3FqueryText\%3Dgiles\%26x\%3D0\%26y}
}
@broadcast {15426,
	title = {Government Widens Support for Home Loans, Credit.},
	journal = {The News Hour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {National Public Television, November 25},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec08/fedrole_25.html}
}
@broadcast {15427,
	title = {Obama{\textquoteright}s Economic Team},
	journal = {Greater Boston with Emily Rooney},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {WGBH, November 24},
	url = {http://www.wgbh.org/gb/}
}
@broadcast {15356,
	title = {Obama{\textquoteright}s New Treasury Secretary},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {Public Radio International, November 24},
	url = {http://www.pri.org/theworld/?q=node/22758}
}
@broadcast {15428,
	title = {Sudden Fall of Citigroup.},
	journal = {Nightly News with Brian Williams},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {MSNBC, November 24},
	url = {http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032619/$\#$27896548}
}
@broadcast {15357,
	title = {Addressing the Threat of Deflation},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, November 20},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=97279909}
}
@broadcast {15223,
	title = {Regulation Should Be International.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {11/18/2008},
	publisher = {Novermber 18},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22regulation+should+be+international\%22}
}
@broadcast {15358,
	title = {Impact of the G20 Summit},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {Public Radio International, November 17},
	url = {http://www.pri.org/theworld/?q=node/22590}
}
@broadcast {15555,
	title = {Inside the G-20},
	journal = {Weekend America},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {American Public Media, November 15},
	url = {http://weekendamerica.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/11/15/g20_insider/}
}
@broadcast {15429,
	title = {G-20 Meet to Discuss Crisis},
	journal = {Today},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {BBC World News, November 14},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world_radio_and_tv/}
}
@broadcast {15560,
	title = {Supersizing the IMF Is Wrong.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {Nov 2008},
	publisher = {November 3},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/super-sizing-the-imf-is-wrong}
}
@broadcast {15361,
	title = {1\% Might Not Be the Final Cut},
	journal = {Marketplace},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {American Public Media, October 29},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/business/fallout-financial-crisis/1-might-not-be-final-cut}
}
@broadcast {15360,
	title = {Cash-Strapped Pakistan Turns to World for Bailout},
	journal = {The World},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {National Public Radio, October 29},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=96261522}
}
@broadcast {15362,
	title = {Is the Bank Bailout a Nationalization?},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, October 14},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=95702866}
}
@broadcast {15430,
	title = {Global Credit Crisis.},
	journal = {Today},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {BBC World News, October 10},
	url = {World10Oct 1733.wmv}
}
@broadcast {15363,
	title = {The IMF and Bank Bailout},
	journal = {Newshour},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {BBC Radio World Service, October 10},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p002vsnk}
}
@broadcast {15549,
	title = {Economists Discuss Post-Bailout Economy},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, October 3},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=95357705}
}
@broadcast {15548,
	title = {Assessing the Bailout.},
	journal = {The Newshour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {National Public Television, October 2},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/video/module.html?mod=0\&pkg=2102008\&seg=2}
}
@broadcast {15116,
	title = {The Making of America 2.0.},
	journal = {Newsweek International},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {October 2},
	url = {http://www.newsweek.com/id/161990}
}
@broadcast {15050,
	title = {McCain Economics Adviser Has a Grandmaster{\textquoteright}s Rank},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {09/28/2008},
	publisher = {September 28},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/28/crosswords/chess/28chess.html?scp=1\&sq=rogoff\&st=cse}
}
@broadcast {15544,
	title = {Understanding the Crisis in the Markets: A Panel of Harvard Experts.},
	journal = {Harvard University Webcast},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {September 25},
	url = {http://isites.harvard.edu/icb/icb.do?keyword=k44822}
}
@broadcast {15365,
	title = {U.S. Financial Crisis and the Global Economy},
	journal = {The Diane Rehm Show},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, September 25},
	url = {http://thedianerehmshow.org/shows/2008-09-25$\#$21971}
}
@broadcast {15366,
	title = {U.S. Tarnished by Financial Meltdown},
	journal = {Morning Edition},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR September 24},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=94973374}
}
@broadcast {15123,
	title = {Wir zahlen alle.},
	journal = {Stern Magazine},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {September 23},
	url = {http://www.stern.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/maerkte/:US-\%D6konom-Rogoff-Wir/639994.html}
}
@broadcast {15541,
	title = {The Super Bailout},
	journal = {On Point},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, September 22},
	url = {http://www.onpointradio.org/shows/2008/09/the-super-bailout/?autostart=true}
}
@broadcast {15034,
	title = {Peering Over the Cliff, Saying "I Told You So"},
	journal = {Washington Post},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {11/19/2008},
	publisher = {Steven Mufson, with predications by Ken Rogoff, September 19},
	url = {http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/18/AR2008091803638.html}
}
@broadcast {15540,
	title = {Discussing the Treasury{\textquoteright}s Plan.},
	journal = {Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {CNBC News, September 18},
	url = {http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=860134854}
}
@broadcast {15224,
	title = {America Will Need a 1,000bn Bail-Out.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {09/18/2008},
	publisher = {September 18},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22America+will+need+a+1\%2C000bn+bail-out\%22}
}
@broadcast {15538,
	title = {Share Prices Will Continue to Fall on Wall Street},
	journal = {PM Programme},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {BBC Radio, September 17},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/}
}
@broadcast {15537,
	title = {Mortgage Market{\textquoteright}s Impact Analyzed},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, September 16},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=94680759}
}
@broadcast {15127,
	title = {No More Creampuffs: The Government Is Willing to Let Wall Street Firms Fail.},
	journal = {Washington Post},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {09/16/2008},
	publisher = {September 16},
	url = {http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/15/AR2008091502532.html?sub=new}
}
@broadcast {15434,
	title = {Uncertainty Hits Wall Street after Lehman Merrill Meltdown.},
	journal = {The News Hour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {National Public Television, September 15},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec08/bankcollapse_09-15.html}
}
@broadcast {15370,
	title = {Ex-IMF Official: Money Crisis Not Over},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, September 11},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=94525264}
}
@broadcast {15534,
	title = {Do Central Banks Have an Exit Strategy?},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {Sept 2008},
	publisher = {September 2},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/do-central-banks-have-an-exit-strategy-}
}
@broadcast {15035,
	title = {Collapsing Banks},
	journal = {New York Times},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {08/20/2008},
	publisher = {Floyd Norris, with quotes from Ken Rogoff, August 20},
	url = {http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/08/20/collapsing-banks/?pagemode=print}
}
@broadcast {54591,
	title = {Credit Crunch May Take Out Large US Bank Warns Former IMF Chief},
	journal = {The Times},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {August 19},
	url = {http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/business/industries/banking/article2158201.ece}
}
@broadcast {15435,
	title = {US Bank {\textquoteright}to fail within months{\textquoteright}},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {BBC News, August 19},
	url = {http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7569903.stm}
}
@broadcast {15051,
	title = {Interview},
	journal = {Veja Magazine (Brazil)},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {August 3},
	url = {http://veja.abril.com.br/060808/p_130.shtml}
}
@broadcast {129436,
	title = {Markets Tumble as Rogoff Warns Worst of Credit Crisis Yet to Come},
	journal = {The Independent},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {August 20}
}
@broadcast {15226,
	title = {The World Cannot Grow Its Way Out of This Slowdown.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {07/29/2008},
	publisher = {July 29},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22the+world+cannot+grow+its+way+out+of+this+slowdown\%22}
}
@broadcast {15371,
	title = {House Bill Calls for New Fannie-Freddie Regulator},
	journal = {Morning Edition},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, July 23},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=92809559}
}
@broadcast {15372,
	title = {U.S. Bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac},
	journal = {Analysis},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {BBC Radio World Service, July 17},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/worldservice/programmes/analysis.shtml}
}
@broadcast {15113,
	title = {Watch Out for Sovereign Debt Risk.},
	journal = {Wall Street Journal},
	year = {2008},
	month = {06/24/2008},
	publisher = {June 24},
	url = {http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121426585033198517.html}
}
@article {14891,
	title = {The Continuing Puzzle of Short-Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting},
	year = {2008},
	note = {Download paper, July 2008. Download NBER Working Paper No. 14071, June 2008.},
	publisher = {Harvard University},
	address = {Cambridge},
	abstract = {Are structural models getting closer to being able to forecast exchange rates at short horizons? Here we argue that over-reliance on asymptotic test statistics in out-of-sample comparisons, misinterpretation of some tests, and failure to sufficiently check robustness to alternative time windows has led many studies to overstate even the relatively thin positive results that have been found. We find that by allowing for common shocks in our panel specification, we are able to generate some improvement, but even that improvement is not entirely robust to the forecast window, and much of the gain appears to come from non- structural rather than structural factors.},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w14071},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Vania Stavrakeva}
}
@broadcast {15373,
	title = {Increased Rice Exports A Short-term Fix},
	journal = {Marketplace},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {American Public Media, May 21},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/sustainability/increased-rice-exports-short-term-fix}
}
@broadcast {15374,
	title = {India Halts Trading to Slow Food Prices},
	journal = {Marketplace},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {American Public Media, May 8},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/world/food-fight/india-halts-trading-slow-food-prices}
}
@broadcast {15375,
	title = {World Grapples with Inflation},
	journal = {Weekend Edition},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, April 12},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89583842}
}
@broadcast {15376,
	title = {Zimbabwe{\textquoteright}s Hyperinflation Poses Unique Challenges},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {NPR, March 26},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89123990}
}
@broadcast {15227,
	title = {China May Yet Be the Economy to Lose Sleep Over.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {02/05/2008},
	publisher = {February 5},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22china+may+yet+be+the+economy+to+lose+sleep+over\%22}
}
@broadcast {15163,
	title = {What Do Earlier Banking Crises Reveal About America{\textquoteright}s Travails Today?},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2008},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {January 10},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/node/10496807}
}
@broadcast {15052,
	title = {What America Must Do},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2008},
	publisher = {January 1},
	url = {http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2007/12/31/what_america_must_do_kenneth_rogoff}
}
@article {14894,
	title = {Is the 2007 U. S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison},
	journal = {American Economics Review},
	volume = {98},
	year = {2008},
	note = { NBER Working Paper $\#$13761 },
	pages = {339-344},
	abstract = {Is the 2007-2008 U.S. sub-prime mortgage financial crisis truly a new and different phenomena? Our examination of the longer historical record finds stunning qualitative and quantitative parallels to 18 earlier post-war banking crises in industrialized countries. Specifically, the run-up in U.S. equity and housing prices (which, for countries experiencing large capital inflows, stands out as the best leading indicator in the financial crisis literature) closely tracks the average of the earlier crises. Another important parallel is the inverted v-shape curve for output growth the U.S. experienced as its economy slowed in the eve of the crisis. Among other indicators, the run-up in U.S. public debt and is actually somewhat below the average of other episodes, and its pre-crisis inflation level is also lower. On the other hand, the United States current account deficit trajectory is worse than average. A critical question is whether the U.S. crisis will prove similar to the most severe industrialized-country crises, in which case growth may fall significantly below trend for an extended period. Or will it prove like one of the milder episodes, where the recovery is relatively fast? Much will depend on how large the shock to the financial system proves to be and, to a lesser extent, on the efficacy of the subsequent policy response.},
	url = {http://www.carmenreinhart.com/user_uploads/data/50_data.xls},
	author = {Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15561,
	title = {Inflation Is Now the Lesser Evil.},
	journal = {Project Syndicate},
	year = {2008},
	month = {Dec 2008},
	url = {http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/inflation-is-now-the-lesser-evil}
}
@hearing {15008,
	title = {Foreign Holdings of U.S. Debt: Is Our Economy Vulnerable?},
	year = {2007},
	note = {Rogoff Testimony },
	month = {06/26/2007},
	publisher = {United States},
	address = {Washington DC},
	url = {http://www.democraticleader.gov/blog/?p=519},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {14897,
	title = {Impact of Globalization on Monetary Policy},
	booktitle = {The New Economic Geography: Effects and Policy Implications},
	year = {2007},
	note = {Revised version of paper presented at Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank "Jackson Hole" conference, August 24-26, 2006.},
	pages = {265-305},
	publisher = {Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City},
	organization = {Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City},
	address = {Kansas City},
	url = {http://www.kc.frb.org/publications/research/escp/escp-2006.cfm},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {14901,
	title = {The Unsustainable U S Current Account Position Revisited},
	booktitle = {G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment},
	year = {2007},
	note = {NBER Working Paper $\#$10869},
	publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	organization = {University of Chicago Press},
	address = {Chicago},
	abstract = {We show that when one takes into account the global equilibrium ramifications of an unwinding of the US current account deficit, currently estimated at 5.4\% of GDP, the potential collapse of the dollar becomes considerably larger (more than 50\% larger) than our previous estimates (Obstfeld and Rogoff 2000a). That global capital markets may have deepened (as emphasized by US Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan) does not affect significantly the extent of dollar decline in the wake of global current account adjustment. Rather, the dollar adjustment to global current account rebalancing depends more centrally on the level of goods-market integration. Whereas the dollar{\textquoteright}s decline may be benign as in the 1980s, we argue that the current conjuncture more closely parallels the early 1970s, when the Bretton Woods system collapsed. Finally, we use our model to dispel some common misconceptions about what kinds of shifts are needed to help close the US current account imbalance. Faster growth abroad helps only if it is relatively concentrated in nontradable goods; faster productivity growth in foreign tradable goods is more likely to exacerbate the US adjustment problem.},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/books/clar06-2},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff and Richard Clarida}
}
@broadcast {15228,
	title = {The Fed Must Not Play Santa to the Markets.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2007},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {12/28/2007},
	publisher = {December 18},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22the+fed+must+not+play+santa\%22}
}
@broadcast {15377,
	title = {The Economy and the Dollar},
	journal = {On Point},
	year = {2007},
	publisher = {NPR, November 15},
	url = {http://onpoint.wbur.org/2007/11/15/wheres-the-economy-headed}
}
@broadcast {15436,
	title = {U.S. Economy Faces {\textquoteright}Sluggish{\textquoteright} Growth Outlook.},
	journal = {The News Hour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2007},
	publisher = {National Public Television, November 8},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec07/money_11-08.html}
}
@broadcast {15229,
	title = {Americans Will Eventually Learn That Deficits Do Matter.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2007},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {07/18/2007},
	publisher = {July 18},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22americans+will+eventually+learn\%22}
}
@broadcast {15437,
	title = {Former Trade Representative Nominated to Head World Bank.},
	journal = {The News Hour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2007},
	publisher = {National Public Television, May 30},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/international/jan-june07/worldbank_05-30.html}
}
@broadcast {15378,
	title = {Reform of the Bretton Woods Institutions},
	journal = {World Business Review},
	year = {2007},
	publisher = {BBC, May 26},
	url = {http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business/}
}
@broadcast {15379,
	title = {World Bank Without Wolfowitz},
	journal = {Here \& Now},
	year = {2007},
	publisher = {NPR, May 18},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/}
}
@broadcast {15129,
	title = {[Mock] Memo from Paul Wolfowitz.},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2007},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {May},
	url = {http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2006/story/cms.php?story_id=3827}
}
@broadcast {15380,
	title = {Wolfowitz Case Offers Test of Multilateralism},
	journal = {All Things Considered},
	year = {2007},
	publisher = {NPR, April 23},
	url = {http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=9783132}
}
@broadcast {15054,
	title = {Unbridled Capitalism Will Lead to Very Real Problems},
	journal = {Der Spiegel},
	year = {2007},
	publisher = {April 17},
	url = {http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,411543,00.html}
}
@broadcast {15230,
	title = {No Grand Plans, But the Financial System Needs Fixing.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2007},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {02/08/2007},
	publisher = {February 8},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22no+grand+plans\%2C+but+the+financial+system\%22}
}
@broadcast {15053,
	title = {Interview},
	journal = {Schach (German Chess Magazine)},
	year = {2007},
	publisher = {February 2},
	url = {http://www.zeitschriftschach.de/}
}
@inbook {14902,
	title = {Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility In Developing Countries},
	booktitle = {Globalization and Poverty},
	year = {2006},
	publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	organization = {University of Chicago Press},
	address = {Chicago},
	abstract = {This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of empirical evidence about the impact of financial globalization on growth and volatility in developing countries. The results suggest that it is difficult to establish a robust causal relationship between financial integration and economic growth. Furthermore, there is little evidence that developing countries have been consistently successful in using financial integration to stabilize fluctuations in consumption growth. However, we do find that financial globalization can be beneficial under the right circumstances. Empirically, good institutions and quality of governance are crucial in helping developing countries derive the benefits of globalization. Similarly, macroeconomic stability appears to be an important prerequisite for ensuring that financial globalization is beneficial for developing countries. Finally, countries that employ relatively flexible exchange rate regimes and succeed in maintaining fiscal discipline are more likely to enjoy the potential growth and stabilization benefits of financial globalization.},
	url = {http://papers.nber.org/books/harr06-1},
	author = {Ayhan Kose and Eswar Prasad and Kenneth Rogoff and Shang-Jin Wei and Ann Harrison}
}
@article {14896,
	title = {Global Imbalances and Exchange Rate Adjustment},
	journal = {Journal of Policy Modeling},
	volume = {28},
	year = {2006},
	pages = {695-699},
	abstract = {An eventual adjustment of the outsized US current account deficit is likely to have significant impact on global exchange rates unless it occurs only over a very long period. Policy responses aimed at reducing the risk of a recession are warranted, but they will not necessarily avoid the exchange rate adjustment.},
	url = {http://dx.doi.org.ezp-prod1.hul.harvard.edu/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2006.06.009},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {14898,
	title = {Paul Samuelson{\textquoteright}s Contributions to Economics},
	booktitle = {Samuelsonian Economics and the Twenty-First Century},
	year = {2006},
	publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	organization = {Oxford University Press},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Aron Gottesman and Lall Ramrattan and Michael Szenberg}
}
@broadcast {15381,
	title = {High Stakes in China},
	journal = {On Point},
	year = {2006},
	publisher = {NPR, December 14},
	url = {http://onpoint.wbur.org/2006/12/14/high-stakes-in-china}
}
@broadcast {15382,
	title = {Bad Dollar Days},
	journal = {Marketplace Money},
	year = {2006},
	publisher = {NPR, December 1},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/world/bad-dollar-days}
}
@conference {33605,
	title = {Keynote Address on Globalization to the United Nations General Assembly},
	booktitle = {The Second Committee of the United Nations General Assembly},
	year = {2006},
	month = {October 9},
	address = {New York},
	url = {http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2006/gaef3148.doc.htm}
}
@broadcast {15164,
	title = {A Link Between Unemployment and Inflation Is Fashionable Again.},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2006},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {September 28},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/node/7967976?story_id=E1_SJGSJSG}
}
@broadcast {15117,
	title = {The World Still Needs the IMF.},
	journal = {Newsweek International},
	year = {2006},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {September 25},
	url = {http://www.newsweek.com/id/45666}
}
@report {15020,
	title = {An Evaluation of World Bank Research, 1998-2005},
	year = {2006},
	institution = {World Bank},
	address = {Washington, DC},
	url = {http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DEC/Resources/84797-1109362238001/726454-1164121166494/RESEARCH-EVALUATION-2006-Main-Report.pdf},
	author = {A. Banerjee and A. Deaton and N. Lustig and K Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15231,
	title = {The Myth of Central Banks and Inflation.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2006},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {08/30/2006},
	publisher = {August 30},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22the+myth+of+central+banks\%22}
}
@broadcast {15055,
	title = {Interview},
	journal = {Ekonomist Magazine (Turkish)},
	year = {2006},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {July 1},
	url = {http://www.ekonomist.com.tr/AnaSayfa/Default.aspx}
}
@broadcast {15056,
	title = {Interview},
	journal = {Le Temps (Swiss daily, Geneva, in French)},
	year = {2006},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {05/20/2006},
	publisher = {May 20},
	url = {http://www.letemps.ch/Home}
}
@broadcast {15165,
	title = {If It Doesn{\textquoteright}t Kill You, Financial Globalisation Will Make You Stronger.},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2006},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {May 16},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/node/8173666?story_id=E1_RTSPGGG}
}
@broadcast {15124,
	title = {Oil and the Great Moderation.},
	journal = {Kommersant},
	year = {2006},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {May 16},
	url = {http://http://www.kommersant.ru/}
}
@broadcast {15147,
	title = {Davos Debrief: India, Bono and Bird Flu.},
	journal = {The Times of London Online},
	year = {2006},
	note = { PDF 
},
	month = {1 Feb 2006},
	publisher = {February 1},
	url = {http://business.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,19149-2018621,00.html}
}
@broadcast {15232,
	title = {In the Best of Times, It{\textquoteright}s Wise to Ponder the Worst.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2006},
	month = {02/03/2006},
	publisher = {January 3},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22in+the+best+of+times\%2C+it\%27s+wise\%22}
}
@broadcast {15057,
	title = {Currency Conundrum},
	journal = {Richmond Federal Reserve Bank},
	volume = {Winter},
	year = {2006},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {Winter},
	url = {http://www.richmondfed.org/}
}
@article {33687,
	title = {Global Current Account Imbalances and Exchange Rate Adjustments},
	journal = {Brookings Papers on Economic Activity},
	year = {2005},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 2005 by The Brookings Institution. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only. 
Appendix B to the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity version.},
	pages = {67-146},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and William Brainard and George Perry}
}
@broadcast {32997,
	title = {America{\textquoteright}s Current Account: A deficit of judgement },
	journal = {Global Agenda Magazine},
	year = {2005},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {January },
	url = {http://www.euromoneyplc.com/}
}
@article {29709,
	title = {Exchange Rate Regime Durability and Performance in Developing versus Advanced Economies},
	journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics},
	volume = {52},
	year = {2005},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission of Elsevier Science. One copy may be printed for individual use only.
 NBER Working Paper $\#$10673 },
	pages = {35-64},
	abstract = {Drawing on new data and advances in exchange rate regimes{\textquoteright} classification, we find that countries appear to benefit by having increasingly flexible exchange rate systems as they become richer and more financially developed. For developing countries with little exposure to international capital markets, pegs are notable for their durability and relatively low inflation. In contrast, for advanced economies, floats are distinctly more durable and also appear to be associated with higher growth. For emerging markets, our results parallel the Baxter and Stockman classic exchange regime neutrality result, though pegs are the least durable and expose countries to higher risk of crisis.},
	author = {Aasim Husain and Ashoka Mody and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15383,
	title = {IMF Tears Up IOUs.},
	journal = {Marketplace Money},
	year = {2005},
	publisher = {NPR, December 24},
	url = {http://www.marketplace.org/topics/economy}
}
@broadcast {15234,
	title = {Respect for a Master Banker{\textquoteright}s Reading of the Tea Leaves.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2005},
	month = {08/24/2005},
	publisher = {August 24},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22respect+for+a+master+banker\%27s+reading\%22}
}
@hearing {15009,
	title = {U.S.{\textendash}China Economic Relations},
	journal = {Committee on Finance},
	year = {2005},
	note = {Testimony before the Senate Committee on Finance June 23, 2005},
	month = {06/23},
	publisher = {United States},
	address = {Washington DC},
	url = {http://finance.senate.gov/hearings/hearing/?id=e810646e-929b-7b73-dd0e-e043f8d0ef0a},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {15022,
	title = {The Euro at Five: Short-run Pain, Long-run Gain?},
	journal = {Journal of Policy Modeling},
	volume = {27},
	number = {4},
	year = {2005},
	pages = {441-443},
	abstract = {The euro has had some marked successes over its first five years included the marked deepening of euro bond markets which has benefited the entire world. But at the same time, the pain has probably outweighed the gain as Europe still remains far from an optimal currency area.},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0161893805000438}
}
@broadcast {15235,
	title = {A Healthy Global Economy Begins at Home.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2005},
	month = {05/19/2005},
	publisher = {May 19},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22a+healthy+global+economy+begins+at+home\%22}
}
@broadcast {15384,
	title = {The US Trade Deficit.},
	journal = {The Diane Rehm Show},
	year = {2005},
	publisher = {NPR, May 16},
	url = {http://thedianerehmshow.org/shows/2005-05-16}
}
@broadcast {15130,
	title = {Let It Ride.},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2005},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {March/April},
	url = {www.foreignpolicy.com/node/65947}
}
@broadcast {15118,
	title = {The Myths of the Cheap Yuan},
	journal = {Newsweek International},
	year = {2005},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {February 28},
	url = {http://www.newsweek.com/id/48834}
}
@broadcast {15119,
	title = {Final Grade For Wolfensohn.},
	journal = {Newsweek International},
	year = {2005},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {January 17},
	url = {http://www.newsweek.com/id/48095}
}
@broadcast {15120,
	title = {Power to the Middle Guys},
	journal = {Newsweek International},
	year = {2005},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {January 2},
	url = {http://www.newsweek.com/id/55904}
}
@broadcast {15125,
	title = {America{\textquoteright}s Current Account: A deficit of judgment.},
	journal = {Global Agenda Magazine},
	year = {2005},
	publisher = {January}
}
@broadcast {15131,
	title = {A Prescription for Marxism.},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2005},
	publisher = {January/February},
	url = {http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2005/01/05/a_prescription_for_marxism}
}
@article {15023,
	title = {Fiscal Conservatism, Exchange Rate Flexibility, and the Next Generation of Debt Crises},
	journal = {Cato Journal},
	volume = {25},
	year = {2005},
	pages = {33-39},
	url = {http://www.cato.org/pubs/journal/cj25n1/cj25n1-5.pdf}
}
@article {29497,
	title = {Grants versus Loans for Development Banks},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {95},
	number = {2},
	year = {2005},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 2005 by the American Economic Association. Posted with the permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {393{\textendash}97},
	author = {Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {32993,
	title = {The IMF{\textquoteright}s China Card},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {May/June},
	url = {www.foreignpolicy.com/}
}
@broadcast {32991,
	title = {The Cost of Living Dangerously},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {November/December},
	url = {http://www.foreignpolicy.com/}
}
@article {29718,
	title = {Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rates Regimes},
	journal = {International Monetary Fund Occasional Paper},
	volume = {229},
	year = {2004},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 2004 by the International Monetary Fund. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	abstract = {Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid peg. Rather, intermediate regimes have shown remarkable durability. The analysis suggests that as economies mature, the value of exchange rate flexibility rises. For countries at a relatively early stage of financial development and integration, fixed or relatively rigid regimes appear to offer some anti-inflation credibility gain without compromising growth objectives. As countries develop economically and institutionally, there appear to be considerable benefits to more flexible regimes. For developed countries that are not in a currency union, relatively flexible exchange rate regimes appear to offer higher growth without any cost in credibility.},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2003/wp03243.pdf},
	author = {Robin J. Brooks and Aasim M. Husain and Ashoka Mody and Nienke Oomes and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29714,
	title = {The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements:  A Reinterpretation},
	journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	volume = {119},
	year = {2004},
	note = {{\textcopyright} 2004 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Posted with the permission of MIT Press. One copy may be printed for individual use.
},
	pages = {1-48},
	abstract = {We develop a novel system of re-classifying historical exchange rate regimes. One difference between our study and previous classification efforts is that we employ an extensive data base on market-determined parallel exchange rates. Our {\textquoteright}natural{\textquoteright} classification algorithm leads to a stark reassessment of the post-war history of exchange rate arrangements. When the official categorization is a form of peg, roughly half the time our classification reveals the true underlying monetary regime to be something radically different, often a variant of a float. Conversely, when official classification is floating, our scheme routinely suggests that the reality was a form of de facto peg. Our new classification scheme points to a complete rethinking of economic performance under alternative exchange rate regimes. Indeed, the breakup of Bretton Woods had a far less dramatic impact on most exchange rate regimes than is popularly believed. Also, contrary to an influential empirical literature, our evidence suggests that exchange rate arraignments may be quite important for growth, trade and inflation. Our newly compiled monthly data set on market-determined exchange rates goes back to 1946 for 153 countries.},
	url = {http://papers.nber.org/papers/w8963},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@unpublished {14890,
	title = {Exchange Rate Arrangements into the 21st Century: Will the Anchor Currency Hold?},
	journal = {Unpublished},
	year = {2004},
	note = {This paper includes updates to the exchange rate regime classifications in "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation" (with Carmen M. Reinhart), QJE, February 2004.  See Carmen Reinhart{\textquoteright}s website for additional background material.
},
	url = {http://www.carmenreinhart.com/research/publications-by-topic/exchange-rates-and-dollarization/},
	author = {Ethan O. Ilzetzki and Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {15025,
	title = {Some Speculation on Growth and Poverty over the Twenty-First Century},
	journal = {The Brookings Trade Forum: Globalization, Growth and Poverty},
	year = {2004},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 2004 by The Brookings Institution. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {305-311},
	publisher = {Brookings Institution },
	address = {Washington, D.C.},
	url = {http://www.brookings.edu/research/journals/2004/brookingstradeforum2004},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff},
	editor = {Sue Collins and Carol Graham}
}
@broadcast {15439,
	title = {U.S. Dollar Hurting Tourists and Global Businesses.},
	journal = {News Hour Extra},
	year = {2004},
	publisher = {PBS, December 6},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/extra/features/july-dec04/dollar_12-06.html}
}
@broadcast {15438,
	title = {Falling Dollar.},
	journal = {The News Hour with Jim Lehrer},
	year = {2004},
	publisher = {National Public Television, December 2},
	url = {http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/economy/july-dec04/dollar_12-2.html}
}
@broadcast {15058,
	title = {Interview},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {12/01/2004},
	publisher = {December 1},
	url = {http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/69dceca6-433f-11d9-bea1-00000e2511c8}
}
@broadcast {33146,
	title = {Interview},
	journal = {Ekonomist Magazine (Turkish)},
	year = {2004},
	publisher = {November 26},
	url = {http://www.ekonomist.com.tr/AnaSayfa/Default.aspx}
}
@broadcast {15167,
	title = {How Low Might the Dollar Sink?},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2004},
	publisher = {November 11},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/node/3375782?story_id=E1_PPSVSRN}
}
@broadcast {15236,
	title = {US Deficit Problem Not Only a Domestic Issue.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2004},
	month = {11/01/2004},
	publisher = {November 1},
	url = {http://search.ft.com/search?queryText=\%22not+only+a+domestic+issue\%22}
}
@broadcast {15132,
	title = {The Cost of Living Dangerously.},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2004},
	url = {http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2004/11/01/the_cost_of_living_dangerously}
}
@broadcast {15126,
	title = {Time to Think About the Next Debt Crisis.},
	journal = {The Banker},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {November 1},
	url = {http://www.thebanker.com}
}
@broadcast {15060,
	title = {Interview},
	journal = {Capital (French)},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {10/2004},
	publisher = {October},
	url = {http://www.capital.fr/}
}
@broadcast {15169,
	title = {The Sisters at 60.},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {July 22},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/node/2941379?story_id=E1_NJQTPSJ}
}
@broadcast {15061,
	title = {{\'E} a chance do Brasil},
	journal = {Veja Magazine (Brazil)},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {07/14/2004},
	publisher = {July 14},
	url = {http://veja.abril.com.br/140704/entrevista.html}
}
@article {15024,
	title = {Extending the Limits of Global Financial Integration},
	journal = {Journal of Policy Modeling},
	volume = {26},
	number = {4},
	year = {2004},
	pages = {519-523},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0161893804000547}
}
@article {15026,
	title = {U S Imbalances and the Euro{\textquoteright}s Outlook},
	journal = {Cato Journal},
	volume = {24},
	number = {1-2},
	year = {2004},
	pages = {41-43},
	url = {http://www.cato.org/pubs/journal/cj24n1-2/cj24n1-2-5.pdf}
}
@broadcast {15135,
	title = {Bush Throws a Party.},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {March/April},
	url = {www.foreignpolicy.com/node/67682}
}
@broadcast {15121,
	title = {This Time It{\textquoteright}s Not Different.},
	journal = {Newsweek International},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF },
	publisher = {February 16},
	url = {http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2004/02/15/this-time-it-s-not-different.html}
}
@broadcast {15137,
	title = {A Development Nightmare.},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2004},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {January/February},
	url = {www.foreignpolicy.com/node/67353}
}
@broadcast {15133,
	title = {Europe{\textquoteright}s Quiet Leap Forward.},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2004},
	publisher = {July/August},
	url = {http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2004/07/01/europes_quiet_leap_forward}
}
@broadcast {15134,
	title = {The IMF{\textquoteright}s China Card.},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2004},
	publisher = {May/June},
	url = {http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2004/05/01/the_imfs_china_card}
}
@inbook {33779,
	title = {Globalization and Global Disinflation},
	booktitle = {Monetary Policy and Uncertainity: Adapting to a Changing Economy},
	year = {2004},
	note = {Paper presented at a symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, at Jackson Hole, WY, August 28-30, 2003.},
	pages = {77-112},
	publisher = {Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City},
	organization = {Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City},
	url = {http://www.kansascityfed.org/publications/research/escp/escp-2003.cfm},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29498,
	title = {Serial Default and the {\textquotedblleft}Paradox{\textquotedblright} of Rich-to-Poor Capital Flows},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {94},
	number = {2},
	year = {2004},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 2004 by the American Economic Association. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.
NBER Working Paper 10296},
	pages = {52{\textendash}58},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {702556,
	title = {FDI to Africa: The Role of Price Stability and Currency Instability},
	journal = {in Boris Pleskovic and Nicholas Stern (eds.), Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics 2002: The New Reform Agenda, (Washington, DC: World Bank/Oxford University Press), 247-82.},
	year = {2003},
	url = {https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2003/wp0310.pdf},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {32994,
	title = {The Debtor{\textquoteright}s Empire},
	journal = {Washington Post},
	year = {2003},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {October 20},
	url = {http://www.washingtonpost.com/}
}
@workingpaper {32235,
	title = {The Effects of Financial Globalization on Developing Countries: Some Empirical Evidence},
	journal = {IMF Occasional Paper 220},
	year = {2003},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 2003 by the International Monetary Fund. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use.},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/np/res/docs/2003/031703.pdf},
	author = {Ayhan Kose and Eswar Prasad and Kenneth Rogoff and Shang-Jin Wei}
}
@article {29741,
	title = {Commodity Currencies},
	journal = {Journal of International Economics},
	volume = {60},
	year = {2003},
	note = {Copyright {\textcopyright} 2003 by Elsevier.  Posted with permission.  One copy may be printed for individual use.
},
	pages = {133{\textendash}160},
	author = {Yu-chin Chen and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15139,
	title = {Disinflation: An Unsung Benefit of Globalization?},
	journal = {Finance and Development},
	year = {2003},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {December},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2003/12/pdf/straight.pdf}
}
@broadcast {15128,
	title = {The Debtor{\textquoteright}s Empire.},
	journal = {Washington Post},
	year = {2003},
	month = {10/20/2003},
	publisher = {October 20}
}
@broadcast {15140,
	title = {More Cheerleading or More Whistle-Blowing?},
	journal = {Finance and Development},
	year = {2003},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {September},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2003/09/pdf/straight.pdf}
}
@broadcast {15141,
	title = {Unlocking Growth in Africa.},
	journal = {Finance and Development},
	year = {2003},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {June},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2003/06/pdf/straight.pdf}
}
@broadcast {15237,
	title = {Case for Inflation Transparency.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2003},
	month = {04/23/2003},
	publisher = {April 23},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/np/vc/2003/042303.htm}
}
@broadcast {15062,
	title = {Interview},
	journal = {Richmond Federal Reserve Bank},
	year = {2003},
	note = { PDF },
	month = {04/15/2003},
	publisher = {April 15},
	url = {http://www.richmondfed.org/index.cfm}
}
@broadcast {15142,
	title = {A Vote Against Grandiose Schemes.},
	journal = {Finance and Development},
	year = {2003},
	publisher = {March},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2003/03/rogo.htm}
}
@broadcast {15138,
	title = {The IMF Strikes Back.},
	journal = {Foreign Policy},
	year = {2003},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {January/February},
	url = {www.imf.org/external/np/vc/2003/021003.htm}
}
@article {29499,
	title = {Debt Intolerance},
	journal = {Brookings Papers on Economic Activity },
	volume = {1},
	year = {2003},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 2003 by The Brookings Institution. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.
NBER Working Paper 9908},
	pages = {1{\textendash}74},
	abstract = {This paper introduces the concept of debt intolerance,{\textquoteright} which manifests itself in the extreme duress many emerging markets experience at debt levels that would seem manageable by advanced country standards. We argue that safe{\textquoteright} external debt-to-GNP thresholds for debt intolerant countries are low, perhaps as low as 15 percent in some cases. These thresholds depend on a country{\textquoteright}s default and inflation history. Debt intolerance is linked to the phenomenon of serial default that has plagued many countries over the past two centuries. Understanding and measuring debt intolerance is fundamental to assess the problems of debt sustainability, debt restructuring, capital market integration, and the scope for international lending to ameliorate crises. Our goal is to make a first pass at quantifying debt intolerance, including delineating debtors{\textquoteright} clubs and regions of vulnerability, on the basis on a history of credit events going back to the 1820s for over 100 countries.},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff and Miguel A. Savastano}
}
@article {32237,
	title = {F D I to Africa: The Role of Price Stability and Currency Instability},
	journal = {(Pleskovic, Boris, Nicholas Stern, eds.) The New Reform Agenda},
	year = {2002},
	pages = {247-282},
	publisher = {Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics},
	address = {Washington, DC},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2003/wp0310.pdf},
	author = {Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff}
}
@article {29931,
	title = {Global Implications of Self-Oriented National Monetary Rules},
	journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	volume = {117},
	year = {2002},
	note = {An earlier version of this paper circulated as "Do We Really Need a New International Monetary Compact?" NBER Working Paper $\#$7864, August 2000.
{\textcopyright} 2002 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Posted with the permission of MIT Press. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {503-36},
	abstract = {In recent years, many countries have instituted monetary reforms aimed at improving anti-inflation credibility. Is it a problem, however, that international welfare spillover effects seldom receive much consideration in the design of monetary reforms? Surprisingly, the answer may be no. Under plausible conditions, as domestic rules improve and international financial markets become more complete, the Nash and cooperative monetary rule setting games converge. We base our analysis on a utility-theoretic sticky-wage (new open economy macroeconomics) model; the question we pose simply could not have been adequately formulated using earlier models of monetary cooperation.},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {29624,
	title = {Risk and Exchange Rates},
	booktitle = {Contemporary Economic Policy: Essays in Honor of Assaf Razin},
	year = {2002},
	publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	organization = {Cambridge University Press},
	address = {Cambridge},
	abstract = {This paper develops an explicitly stochastic new open economy macroeconomics{\textquoteright} model, which can potentially be used to explore the qualitative and quantitative welfare differences between alternative exchange rate regimes. A crucial feature is that we do not simplify by assuming certainty equivalence for producer price setting behavior. Our framework also provides a sticky-price alternative to Lucas{\textquoteright}s (1982) exchange rate risk premium model. We show that the level risk premium{\textquoteright} in the exchage rate is potentially quite large and may be an important missing fundamental in empirical exchange rate equations. As a byproduct analysis also suggests an intriguing possible explanation of the forward premium puzzle.},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w6694},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff and Elhanan Helpman and Effraim Sadka}
}
@broadcast {15143,
	title = {Rethinking capital controls: When should we keep an open mind?},
	journal = {Finance and Development},
	year = {2002},
	publisher = {December},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2002/12/rogoff.htm}
}
@broadcast {15238,
	title = {An Institution that Eases Financial Pain.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2002},
	month = {09/27/2002},
	publisher = {September 27},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/np/vc/2002/092702.htm}
}
@broadcast {15144,
	title = {Moral Hazard in IMF Loans: How Big a Concern?},
	journal = {Finance and Development},
	year = {2002},
	publisher = {September},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2002/09/rogoff.htm}
}
@broadcast {15170,
	title = {Managing the World Economy.},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2002},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {August 3},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/node/1259312/print?story_id=1259312}
}
@broadcast {15145,
	title = {Why Are G-3 Exchange Rates So Fickle?},
	journal = {Finance and Development},
	year = {2002},
	publisher = {June},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2002/06/rogoff.htm}
}
@broadcast {15239,
	title = {The Recession that Almost Was.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2002},
	month = {04/05/2002},
	publisher = {April 5},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/np/vc/2002/040502.htm}
}
@broadcast {15146,
	title = {The Surprising Popularity of Paper Currency.},
	journal = {Finance and Development},
	year = {2002},
	publisher = {March},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2002/03/rogoff.htm}
}
@article {29500,
	title = {Bankruptcy Procedures for Sovereigns:  A History of Ideas, 1976{\textendash}2001},
	journal = {International Monetary Fund Staff Papers},
	volume = {49},
	number = {3},
	year = {2002},
	pages = {471{\textendash}507},
	abstract = {This paper describes the evolution of ideas to apply bankruptcy reorganization principles to sovereign debt crises. Our focus is on policy proposals between the late 1970s and Anne Krueger{\textquoteright}s (2001) proposed {\textquoteright}Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanism," with brief reference to the economics literature on sovereign debt. We describe the perceived inefficiencies that motivate proposals, and how proposals seek to change debtor and creditor incentives. We find that there has been a moving consensus on what constitutes the underlying problem, but not on how to fix it. The range of proposed approaches remains broad and only recently shows some signs of narrowing.},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Jeromin Zettelmeyer}
}
@inbook {33688,
	title = {Perspectives on OECD Capital Market Integration: Implications for U.S. Current Account Adjustment},
	booktitle = {Global Economic Integration: Opportunities and Challenges},
	year = {2001},
	note = {Paper presented at a symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 24-26, 2000.},
	pages = {169-208},
	publisher = {Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City },
	organization = {Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City },
	url = {http://www.kc.frb.org/PUBLICAT/SYMPOS/2000/S00rogo.pdf},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {32326,
	title = {The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is there a Common Cause?},
	booktitle = {NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000},
	year = {2001},
	note = { NBER Working Paper $\#$7777
{\textcopyright} 2001 by the National Bureau of Economic Research and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Posted by permission. Includes "Comments" by Olivier Jeanne and Charles Engel, NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 15 (2000).},
	pages = {339-390},
	publisher = {MIT Press},
	organization = {MIT Press},
	address = {Cambridge, MA},
	abstract = {The central claim in this paper is that by explicitly introducing costs of international trade (narrowly, transport costs but more broadly, tariffs, nontariff barriers and other trade costs), one can go far toward explaining a great number of the main empirical puzzles that international macroeconomists have struggled with over twenty-five years. Our approach elucidates J. McCallum{\textquoteright}s home bias in trade puzzle, the Feldstein-Horioka saving-investment puzzle, the French-Poterba equity home bias puzzle, and the Backus-Kehoe- Kydland consumption correlations puzzle. That one simple alteration to an otherwise canonical international macroeconomic model can help substantially to explain such a broad arrange of empirical puzzles, including some that previously seemed intractable, suggests a rich area for future research. We also address a variety of international pricing puzzles, including the purchasing power parity puzzle emphasized by Rogoff, and what we term the exchange-rate disconnect puzzle.{\textquoteright} The latter category of riddles includes both the Meese-Rogoff exchange rate forecasting puzzle and the Baxter-Stockman neutrality of exchange rate regime puzzle. Here although many elements need to be added to our extremely simple model, we can still show that trade costs play an essential role.},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/books/bern01-1},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff and Ben Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29928,
	title = {Why Not a Global Currency},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {91},
	year = {2001},
	note = {Copyright {\textcopyright} 2001 American Economic Association. Full permissions notice.
},
	pages = {243-47},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29749,
	title = {The Failure of Empirical Exchange Rate Models:  No Longer New but Still True},
	journal = {Economic Policy Web Essay},
	volume = {1},
	number = {1},
	year = {2001},
	url = {http://www.economic-policy.org},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15240,
	title = {Taking a Chance on a Permanent Tech Revolution.},
	journal = {Financial Times},
	year = {2001},
	month = {09/21/2001},
	publisher = {September 21},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/np/vc/2001/092101.htm}
}
@article {29619,
	title = {New Directions for Stochastic Open Economy Models},
	journal = {Journal of International Economics},
	volume = {50},
	year = {2000},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science 2000. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use.},
	pages = {117-53},
	abstract = {The paper develops a simple stochastic new open economy macroeconomic model based on sticky nominal wages. Explicit solution of the wage-setting problem under uncertainty allows one to analyze the effects of the monetary regime on welfare, expected output, and the expected terms of trade. Despite the potential interplay between imperfections due to sticky wages and monopoly, the optimal monetary policy rule has a closed-form solution. To motivate our model, we show that observed correlations between terms of trade and exchange rates are more consistent with our traditional assumptions about nominal rigidities than with a popular alternative based on local-currency pricing.},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@broadcast {15171,
	title = {New Solutions, New Questions.},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2000},
	publisher = {August 3},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/node/28841?story_id=E1_NRRQT}
}
@broadcast {15172,
	title = {Saturated Solution},
	journal = {The Economist},
	year = {2000},
	note = { PDF 
},
	publisher = {July 27},
	url = {http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/rogoff/files/Economics\%20Focus\%20July\%202000.pdf}
}
@inbook {32024,
	title = {Perspectives on Exchange Rate Volatility},
	booktitle = {International Capital Flows},
	year = {1999},
	pages = {441-453},
	publisher = {University of Chicago Press and NBER},
	organization = {University of Chicago Press and NBER},
	address = {Chicago},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/chapters/c9803.pdf},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Martin Feldstein}
}
@article {29757,
	title = {Monetary Models of Dollar/Yen/Euro Nominal Exchange Rates: Dead or UnDead?},
	journal = {The Economic Journal},
	volume = {109},
	year = {1999},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1999 by the Royal Economic Society. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only. Copies may also be purchased through ingenta at http://www.ingenta.com.},
	pages = {F655-F659},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29502,
	title = {Institutions for Reducing Global Financial Instability},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives},
	volume = {13},
	year = {1999},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1999 by the American Economic Association. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.
 NBER Working Paper $\#$7265 },
	pages = {21{\textendash}42},
	abstract = {This paper asks how recent developments in research on banking and sovereign lending can help inform the debate on choosing a new international financial architecture. A broad range of plans is considered, including a global lender of last resort facility, an international bankruptcy court, an international debt insurance corporation, and unilateral controls on capital flows.},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {70356,
	title = {Comment on Paul Krugman{\textquoteright}s It{\textquoteright}s Baaack: Japan{\textquoteright}s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap},
	journal = {Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2},
	volume = {Fall},
	year = {1998},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1999 by The Brookings Institution. All rights reserved. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {194-99},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@book {39563,
	title = {Workbook for Foundations of International Macroeconomics},
	year = {1998},
	note = {Title Page
Chapter 1
Chapter 2
Chapter 3
Chapter 4
Chapter 5
Chapter 6
Chapter 7
Chapter 8
Chapter 9
Chapter 10
Figures},
	publisher = {MIT Press},
	organization = {MIT Press},
	address = {Cambridge, MA},
	author = {Gita Gopinath and Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {33520,
	title = {Blessing or Curse? Foreign and Underground Demand for Euro Notes},
	journal = {Economic Policy },
	volume = {13},
	number = {26},
	year = {1998},
	note = {
	{\textcopyright} Copyright 1998 by Centre for Economic Policy Research, Center for Economic Studies, Maison des Sciences de l{\textquoteright}Homme. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only. Copies may also be purchased through ingenta at http://www.ingenta.com.

},
	pages = {263-303},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {32210,
	title = {The Risks of Unilateral Exchange Rate Pegs},
	booktitle = {The Implications of Globalization of World Financial Markets},
	year = {1998},
	pages = {153-170},
	publisher = {Bank of Korea},
	organization = {Bank of Korea},
	address = {Seoul},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Alan Meltzer}
}
@article {29799,
	title = {The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Literature },
	volume = {34},
	year = {1996},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1996 by the American Economic Association. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {647-68},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@book {13371,
	title = {Foundations of International Macroeconomics},
	year = {1996},
	note = {MIT Press, publication websiteTable of ContentsWhy We Wrote This Book (Preface)IntroductionTyposNotation GuideSlides},
	publisher = { MIT Press},
	organization = { MIT Press},
	address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Maurice Obstfeld}
}
@workingpaper {32740,
	title = {The Law of One Price over 700 Years},
	year = {1995},
	url = {http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2001/wp01174.pdf},
	author = {Kenneth Froot and Michael Kim and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {32194,
	title = {The Intertemporal Approach to the Current Account},
	journal = {Handbook of International Economics},
	volume = {3},
	year = {1995},
	pages = {1731-99},
	abstract = {The intertemporal approach views the current-account balance as the outcome of forward-looking dynamic saving and investment decisions. This paper, a chapter in the forthcoming third volume of the Handbook of International Economics, surveys the theory and empirical work on the intertemporal approach as it has developed since the early 1980s. After reviewing the basic one-good, representative- consumer model, the paper considers a series of extended models incorporating relative prices, complex demographic structures, consumer durables, asset-market incompleteness, and asymmetric information. We also present a variety of empirical evidence illustrating the usefulness of the intertemporal approach, and argue that intertemporal models provide a consistent and coherent foundation for open-economy policy analysis. As such, the intertemporal approach should supplant the expanded versions of the Mundell-Fleming IS-LM model that currently furnish the dominant paradigm used by central banks, finance ministries, and international economic agencies.},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w4893},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {32027,
	title = {Perspectives on PPP and Long-Run Real Exchange Rates},
	booktitle = {Handbook of International Economics},
	volume = {3},
	year = {1995},
	note = {NBER Working Paper $\#$4952 
},
	pages = {1647-88},
	abstract = {This paper reviews the large and growing literature which tests PPP and other models of the long-run real exchange rate. We distinguish three different stages of PPP testing and focus on what has been learned from each. The most important overall lesson has been that the real exchange rate appears stationary over sufficiently long horizons. Simple, univariate random walk specifications can be rejected in favor of stationary alternatives. However, we argue that multivariate tests, which ask whether any linear combination of prices and exchange rates are stationary, have not necessarily provided meaningful rejections of nonstationarity. We also review a number of other theories of the long run real exchange rate -- including the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis -- as well as the evidence supporting them. We argue that the persistence of real exchange rate movements can be generated by a number of sensible models and that Balassa- Samuelson effects seem important, but mainly for countries with widely disparate levels of income of growth. Finally, this paper presents new evidence testing the law of one price on 200 years of historical commodity price data for England and France, and uses a century of data from Argentina to test the possibility of sample-selection bias in tests of long-run PPP. 
},
	author = {Ken Froot and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29947,
	title = {Global versus Country-Specific Productivity Shocks and the Current Account},
	journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics},
	volume = {35},
	year = {1995},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission of Elsevier Science. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {159-92},
	abstract = {This paper develops an analytically tractable empirical model of investment and the current account, and applies it to data from the G-7 countries. This distinction between global and country-specific shock turns out to be quite important for explaining current account behavior; overall the model performs surprisingly well. One apparent puzzle, however, is that the current account responds by much less than investment to country-specific shocks, despite the near unit root behavior of these shocks. We show theoretically that this apparent anomaly can be explained if the shocks have very slow mean reversion.},
	author = {Reuven Glick and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29802,
	title = {The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives},
	volume = {9},
	year = {1995},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1995 by the American Economic Association. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {73-96},
	url = {http://eml.berkeley.edu//~obstfeld/ftp/mirage_fixed_rates/MIRAGE.WB2},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29620,
	title = {Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux},
	journal = {The Journal of Political Economy},
	volume = {103},
	year = {1995},
	note = {Reprinted from the JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY published by the University of Chicago Press, copyright {\textcopyright} 1995 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use.},
	pages = {624{\textendash}60},
	abstract = {We develop an analytically tractable two-country model that marries a full account of global macroeconomic dynamics to a supply framework based on monopolistic competition and sticky nominal prices. The model offers simple and intuitive predictions about exchange rates and current accounts that sometimes differ sharply from those of either modern flexible-price inter-temporal models or traditional sticky price Keynesian models. Our analysis leads to a novel perspective on international welfare spillovers due to monetary and fiscal policies.},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@book {13370,
	title = {Handbook of International Economics, Volume III},
	year = {1995},
	note = {Publisher{\textquoteright}s Website and Order Information
},
	publisher = {Elsevier Science Publishers B.V.},
	organization = {Elsevier Science Publishers B.V.},
	address = {Amsterdam},
	editor = {Gene M. Grossman and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {70361,
	title = {Comment on Lars Svensson{\textquoteright}s Assessing Target Zone Credibility: Mean Reversion and Devaluation Expectations in the ERM, 1979-1992},
	journal = {European Economic Review 37},
	number = {(May)},
	year = {1993},
	abstract = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission of Elsevier Science. A single copy may be downloaded and printed for the reader{\textquoteright}s personal use only.},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {32046,
	title = {Achieving Exchange Rate Stability in a Tri-Polar World: A Target Zone System with a Rotating Anchor},
	booktitle = {Price Stabilization in the 1990s},
	year = {1993},
	publisher = {McMillan Press},
	organization = {McMillan Press},
	address = {London},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff},
	editor = {Kumiharu Shigehara}
}
@article {32029,
	title = {Traded Goods Consumption Smoothing and the Random Walk Behavior of the Real Eschange Rate},
	journal = {Monetary and and Economic Studies},
	volume = {10},
	year = {1992},
	note = {
},
	pages = {1-29},
	abstract = {Conventional explanations of the near random walk behavior of real exchange rates rely on near random walk behavior in the underlying fundamentals (e.g.. tastes and technology). The present paper offers an alternative rationale, based on a fixed-factor neoclassical model with traded and non-traded goods. The basic idea is that with open capital markets, agents can smooth their consumption of tradeables in the face of transitory traded goods productivity shocks. Agents cannot smooth non-traded goods productivity shocks, but if these are relatively small (as is often argued to be the case) then traded goods consumption smoothing will lead to smoothing of the intra-temporal price of traded and non-traded goods. The (near) random walk implications of the model for the real exchange rate are in stark contrast to the empirical predictions of the classic Balassa-Samuelson model. The paper applies the model to the yen/dollar exchange rate over the floating rate period. 
},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w4119},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29511,
	title = {Dealing with Developing Country Debt in the 1990s},
	journal = {The World Economy},
	volume = {15},
	year = {1992},
	pages = {475{\textendash}86},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29510,
	title = {Official Creditor Seniority and Burden Sharing in the Former Soviet Bloc},
	journal = {Brookings Papers on Macroeconomic Activity},
	volume = {1},
	year = {1992},
	note = {
	{\textcopyright} Copyright 1992 by The Brookings Institution. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.

},
	pages = {195-222},
	author = {Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff and Afonso Bevilaqua}
}
@article {70341,
	title = {Review of The Age of Diminished Expectations: U S Economy Policy in the 1990{\textquoteright}s, by Paul Krugman},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Literature 29},
	number = {(December)},
	year = {1991},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1991 by the American Economic Association. All rights reserved. Posted by permission.},
	pages = {1753-55},
	author = {Kennth Rogoff}
}
@article {702606,
	title = {NAChos and ECUs: Issues in the Transition to European Monetary Union},
	journal = {Paper prepared for Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Academic Consultants Meetings, November 19},
	year = {1991},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {32721,
	title = {Strategic Perspectives on Economic Policy},
	booktitle = {Information, Strategic Behavior and Economic Policy},
	year = {1991},
	publisher = {Basil Blackwell},
	organization = {Basil Blackwell},
	address = {London},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff},
	editor = {Andrew Stevenson and David Vines}
}
@inbook {32216,
	title = {The EMS, the EMU, and the Transition to a Common Currency},
	booktitle = {NBER Macroeconomics Annual 6},
	year = {1991},
	note = {{\textcopyright} 1991 by the National Bureau of Economic Research and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Posted by permission of the MIT Press. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {269-317},
	publisher = {NBER},
	organization = {NBER},
	url = {http://papers.nber.org/books/blan91-1},
	author = {Kenneth Froot and Kenneth Rogoff and Olivier Blanchard and Stanley Fischer}
}
@article {29512,
	title = {Sovereign Debt Repurchases: No Cure for Overhang},
	journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	volume = {106},
	year = {1991},
	note = {{\textcopyright} 1991 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use. Quarterly Journal of Economics  http://www.mitpressjournals.org/loi/qjec.},
	pages = {1219-35},
	author = {Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29952,
	title = {Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {80},
	year = {1990},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1990 by the American Economic Association. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {21-36},
	abstract = {Political business cycle theories generally rely on nominal rigidities and voter myopia. This paper offers an equilibrium theory with preserves some basic insights from earlier models, though with significant refinements. The "political budget cycle" emphasized here is in fiscal policy rather than output and inflation; it arises via a multidimensional signal process. One can consider the welfare implications of proposals to mitigate the cycle, and the effects of altering the electoral structure.},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29514,
	title = {Bargaining and International Policy Cooperation},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {80},
	year = {1990},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1990 by the American Economic Association. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {139{\textendash}142},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29515,
	title = {Cleaning Up Third-World Debt Without Getting Taken To the Cleaners},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives},
	volume = {4},
	year = {1990},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1990 by the American Economic Association. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {31{\textendash}42},
	author = {Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29576,
	title = {"Introduction" to Symposium on New Institutions for Developing-Country Debt},
	journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives},
	volume = {4},
	number = {1},
	year = {1990},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1990 by the American Economic Association. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {3-6},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29513,
	title = {North-South Lending and Endogenous Domestic Capital Market Inefficiencies},
	journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics},
	volume = {26},
	year = {1990},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {245-266},
	abstract = {We develop an open-economy of intertemporal trade under asymmetric information. Capital market imperfections are endogenous and depend on a county{\textquoteright}s stage of economic development. Relative to the perfect-information benchmark, North-South capital flows are dampened (and possibly reversed) and world interest rates are lower. Whereas riskless rates are equalized across borders, the domestic loan rate is higher in poorer countries. The model can be applied to a number of policy issues including the debt-overhang problem, the indexation of foreign public debts, and the effect of income on distribution growth.},
	author = {Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29582,
	title = {A Constant Recontracting Model of Sovereign Debt},
	journal = {The Journal of Political Economy},
	volume = {97},
	year = {1989},
	note = {Reprinted from the JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY published by the  University of Chicago Press, copyright {\textcopyright} 1989 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved. One copy may be printed for individual use.},
	pages = {155{\textendash}178},
	abstract = {We present a dynamic model of international lending in which borrowers cannot commit to future repayments and in which debtors can sometimes successfully negotiate partial defaulters or "rescheduling agreements." All parties in a debt rescheduling negotiation realize that today{\textquoteright}s rescheduling agreement may itself have to be renegotiated in the future. Our bargaining-theoretic approach allows us to handle the effects of uncertainty on sovereign debt contracts in a much more satisfactory way than in earlier analyses. The framework is readily extended to analyze the conflicting interests of different lenders and of banks and creditor country taxpayers.},
	author = {Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29577,
	title = {Sovereign Debt: Is to Forgive to Forget?},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	volume = {79},
	year = {1989},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1989 by the American Economic Association. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {43{\textendash}50},
	author = {Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {32040,
	title = {Was It Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation over the Modern Floating-Rate Period},
	journal = {Journal of Finance},
	volume = {43},
	number = {4},
	year = {1988},
	pages = {933-948},
	abstract = {In this paper, we explore the relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials in the United States, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom. Contrary to theories based on the joint hypothesis that domestic prices are sticky and monetary disturbances are predominant, we find little evidence of a stable relationship between real interest rates and real exchange rates. We consider both in-sample and out-of-sample tests. One hypothesis that is consistent with our findings is that real disturbances (such as productivity shocks) may be a major source of exchange rate volatility.},
	url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2328144},
	author = {Richard Meese and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29953,
	title = {Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles},
	journal = {The Review of Economic Studies},
	volume = {55},
	year = {1988},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1999 by the Royal Economic Society. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only. Copies may also be purchased through ingenta at http://www.ingenta.com.},
	pages = {1-16},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff and Anne Sibert}
}
@article {29583,
	title = {The Buyback Boondoggle},
	journal = {Brookings Papers on Economic Activity},
	volume = {2},
	year = {1988},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1988 by The Brookings Institution. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {675{\textendash}698},
	author = {Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29584,
	title = {Multilateral Negotiations for Rescheduling Developing Country Debt: A Bargaining-Theoretic Framework},
	journal = {International Monetary Fund Staff Papers },
	volume = {35},
	year = {1988},
	note = {Reprinted in Jacob A. Frenkel, Michael P. Dooley and Peter Wickham, eds., Analytical Issues in Debt, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, 1989.},
	pages = {644{\textendash}657},
	abstract = {A dynamic bargaining-theoretic framework is used to analyze multilateral negotiations for rescheduling sovereign debt. The analysis illustrates how various factors, such as the debtor{\textquoteright}s gains from trade and the level of the world interest rates, affect the relative bargaining power of various parties to a rescheduling agreement. If creditor-country taxpayers have a vested interest in maintaining normal levels of trade with debtor countries, then they can sometimes be bargained into making sidepayments. The benefits from unanticipated creditor-country sidepayments accrue to both lenders and borrowers. But the benefits from perfectly anticipated sidepayments accrue entirely to borrowers.},
	author = {Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {420851,
	title = {Reputational Constraints on Monetary Policy},
	journal = {Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy (Supplement to the Journal of Monetary Economics)},
	volume = {26},
	year = {1987},
	pages = {141-181},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {70366,
	title = {Comment on Edward C. Prescott{\textquoteright}s Theory Ahead of Business Cycle Measurement},
	journal = {Carnegie Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 25},
	number = {(Fall)},
	year = {1986},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission of Elsevier Science. A single copy may be downloaded and printed for the reader{\textquoteright}s personal use only.},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29948,
	title = {Ruling Out Divergent Speculative Bubbles},
	journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics},
	volume = {17},
	year = {1986},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {349-362},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {70351,
	title = {Review of Rational Expectations},
	journal = {Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 17},
	number = {(November)},
	year = {1985},
	note = {Reprinted by permission of Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 17, No. 4 (November 1985), pp. 545-456. Copyright 1985 by Ohio State University. All rights reserved. The permission granted is limited to individual one-time use.
More information about the journal can be found at http://jmcb.osu.edu/ .},
	pages = {545-46},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {32162,
	title = {Can  Exchange Rate Predictability be Achieved Without monetary Convergence? --Evidence from the EMS},
	journal = {European Economic Review},
	volume = {28},
	year = {1985},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission of Elsevier Science. All rights reserved. A single copy may be printed for individual noncommercial use only.},
	pages = {93-115},
	abstract = {The evidence presented here suggests that European Monetary System has indeed coincided with more predictable exchange rates (nominal and real) between France, Germany and Italy. But if increased monetary policy coordination is the main explanation, then it is surprising that the conditional variance of real interest differentials between these countries does not appear to have fallen (unless the disturbances are mostly real, in which case fixed rates are suboptimal). High onshore-offshore interest differentials for franc and lira assets, and the very slow convergence of intra-EMS inflation rates, suggest that capital controls have played a large role.},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29949,
	title = {The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target},
	journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	volume = {100},
	year = {1985},
	note = {An Earlier version appeared as International Finance Discussion Paper 230 (September 1983). See also  "Social Institutions for Overcoming Monetary Policy Credibility Problems." (Paper presented to the American Economics Association Annual Meetings, New Orleans, December 1986.)
{\textcopyright} 1985 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College. Posted by permission of the MIT Press. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {1169-1189},
	abstract = {Society can sometimes make itself better off by appointing a central banker who does not share the social objective function, but instead places "too large" a weight on inflation-rate stabilization relative to employment stabilization. Although having such an agent head the central bank reduces the time-consistent rate of inflation, it suboptimally raises the variance of employment when supply shocks are large. Using an envelope theorem, we show that the ideal agent places a large, but finite, weight on inflation. The analysis also provides a new framework for choosing among alternate intermediate monetary targets.},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29932,
	title = {Can International Monetary Cooperation be Counterproductive},
	journal = {Journal of International Economics },
	volume = {18},
	year = {1985},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with the permission of Elsevier Science. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {199-217},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {70346,
	title = {Review of Exchange Rate Determination (by Anne O. Kreuger)},
	journal = {Journal of International Economics 17},
	number = {(August)},
	year = {1984},
	note = {Review of Exchange Rate Determination, by Anne O. Krueger (Cambridge University Press, 1983).\&nbsp; Review reprinted from Journal of International Economics 17 (1984), 187-188.\&nbsp;
\&nbsp;{\textcopyright} Review copyright by Elsevier Science. Posted with permission of Elsevier Science.},
	pages = {187-88},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {32723,
	title = {Exchange Rate Dynamics with Sluggish Prices under Alternative Price-Adjustment Rules},
	journal = {International Economic Review},
	volume = {25},
	year = {1984},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright 1984 by the Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association. Posted by permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {159-174},
	abstract = {This paper studies exchange rate behavior in models with moving long-run equilibria incorporating alternative price-adjustment mechanisms.The paper demonstrates that price-adjustment rules proposed by Mussa andby Barro and Grossman yield models that are empirically indistinguishable from each other. For speeds of goods-market adjustment that are "too fast," the Barro-Grossman rule appears to induce instability; but we argue that when the ruleis interpreted properly, models incorporating it are dynamically stable regardless of the speed at which disequilibriumis eliminated. The Barro-Grossman pricing scheme is shown to be a natural generalization, to a setting of moving long-run equilibria, of less versatile schemes proposed in earlier literature on exchange rate dynamics.},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w1173},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29805,
	title = {On the Effects of Sterilized Intervention: An Analysis of Weekly Data},
	journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics},
	volume = {14},
	year = {1984},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission of Elsevier Science. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {133-150},
	abstract = {As the recent empirical studies surveyed here illustrate, it is very difficult to demonstrate that the exchange rate risk premium depends (through a portfolio balance channel) on the currency composition of outside assets. The existence of a {\textquoteright}portfolio balance effect{\textquoteright} is a necessary condition for sterilized intervention to be a genuinely independent tool of monetary policy. This paper studies U.S./Canada data, and attempts to improve on earlier studies by using higher frequency (weekly) data and by implementing an appropriate instrumental variables technique (2S2SLS). However, we still fail to detect evidence of a portfolio balance effect.},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {32218,
	title = {Time-Series Studies of the Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Intervention: A Review of the Techniques and Literature},
	journal = {Federal Reserve Staff Studies},
	volume = {132},
	year = {1983},
	author = {Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@inbook {32044,
	title = {The Out-of-Sample Failure of Empirical Exchange Rate Models: Sampling Error or Misspecification?},
	booktitle = {Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics},
	year = {1983},
	note = {Reprinted from EXCHANGE RATES AND INTERNATIONAL MACROECONOMICS, edited by Jacob A. Frenkel, published by the University of Chicago Press, copyright {\textcopyright} 1983 by the National Bureau of Economic Research. All rights reserved. One copy may be printed for individual use.
},
	pages = {67-105},
	publisher = {University of Chicago Press and NBER},
	organization = {University of Chicago Press and NBER},
	address = {Chicago},
	url = {http://www.nber.org/books/fren83-1},
	author = {Richard Meese and Kenneth Rogoff and Jacob Frenkel}
}
@article {29951,
	title = {Speculative Hyperinflations in Maximizing Models: Can We Rule Them Out?},
	journal = {Journal of Political Economy},
	volume = {91},
	year = {1983},
	note = {Reprinted from the JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY published by the University of Chicago Press, copyright {\textcopyright} 1983 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.
This text may be used and shared in accordance with the fair use provisions of US and international copyright law and agreement, and it may be archived and redistributed in electronic form, provided that this entire notice, including copyright information is carried and provided that the University of Chicago Press is notified and no fee is charged for access. Archiving, redistribution or republication of this text on other terms, in any medium, requires both the consent of the authors and the University of Chicago Press.
One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {675-687},
	author = {Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29950,
	title = {The Information Content of the Interest Rate and Optimal Monetary Policy},
	journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	volume = {98},
	year = {1983},
	note = {{\textcopyright} 1983 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College. Posted by permission of the MIT Press. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {545-566},
	abstract = {Optimal monetary policy rules are derived in a rational expectations cum contracting framework. Monetary policy is redundant if wage setters exploit the incomplete current information embodied in today{\textquoteright}s nominal interest rate. However, the monetary authorities can save wage setters the costs of "indexing" to the interest rate. A contemporaneous money supply feedback rule is as effective as wage indexation. A lagged rule, relevant under a regime of money supply targeting, is also as effective if investors use the interest rate. Both rules have the same implications for the real interest rate as Poole{\textquoteright}s combination policy. However, the two rules have strikingly different implications for the nominal interest rate.},
	author = {Matthew Canzoneri and Dale Henderson and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {29807,
	title = {Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Seventies: Do They Fit Out of Sample?},
	journal = {Journal of International Economics},
	volume = {14},
	year = {1983},
	note = {See also "The Failure of Empirical Exchange Rate Models: No Longer New, But Still True," Economic Policy Web Essay, September 2001.
{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission of Elsevier Science.  One copy may be printed for individual use only.
},
	pages = {3-24},
	author = {Richard Meese and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {32197,
	title = {Negative Net Foreign Assest Positions and Stability in a World Portfolio Balance Model},
	journal = {Journal of International Economics},
	volume = {13},
	year = {1982},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {85-104},
	abstract = {Negative net foreign asset and positions have been associated with a troublesome stability problem in flexible exchange rate regimes. In this paper, a symmetrically-specified, two-country, portfolio balance model is employed to provide some perspective on this problem. It is concluded that negative negative net foreign asset positions do not constitute an independent source of instability. Instability can arise only under nonrational expectations or because of destabilizing speculation.},
	author = {Dale Henderson and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
@article {32219,
	title = {The Consistent Application of Boundary Conditions in Rational Expectations Models},
	journal = {Economic Letters},
	volume = {4},
	year = {1979},
	note = {{\textcopyright} Copyright Elsevier Science. Posted with permission. One copy may be printed for individual use only.},
	pages = {19-22},
	author = {Matthew Canzoneri and Kenneth Rogoff}
}
