@inbook {652765,
	title = {Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments},
	booktitle = {The Future of Risk Management, H. Kunreuther, R.J. Meyer, and E.O. Michel-Kerjan (eds.)},
	year = {2019},
	pages = {209-226},
	publisher = {University of Pennsylvania Press},
	organization = {University of Pennsylvania Press},
	address = {Philadelphia},
	author = {Barbara A. Mellers and Philip E. Tetlock and Joshua D. Baker and Jeffrey A. Friedman and Richard Zeckhauser}
}
