Publications

2017
Zogg, C. K., J. W. Scott, D. Metcalfe, A. J. Seshadri, T. C. Tsai, W. A. Davis, Jr. Rose, J. A., et al. 2017. “The Association Between Medicare Eligibility and Gains in Access to Rehabilitative Care: A National Regression Discontinuity Assessment of Patients Ages 64 Versus 65 Years.” Ann SurgAnn Surg 265: 734-742. Abstract
OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to assess for changes in uninsured rates among trauma patients at age 64 versus 65 years and whether there are associated changes in post-discharge rehabilitation; determine whether changes are driven by rehabilitation provided at home, skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), or acute inpatient facilities; and determine whether changes vary among stratified subgroups of trauma-related "best-practice" factors. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Rehabilitation is an important component of high-quality trauma systems with access heavily influenced by insurance status. In the wake of policy changes affecting insurance coverage, it remains unknown the extent to which insurance changes associate with variations in rehabilitation access/use among otherwise similar patients. METHODS: Regression discontinuity models were used to assess for changes in insurance status and rehabilitation at age 64 versus 65 years among adults ages 54 to 75 years (+/-10 years age-related Medicare eligibility). Data were extracted from the 2007-2012 National Trauma Data Bank. RESULTS: A total of 305,198 patients were included; 40.1% were discharged to rehabilitation. Medicare eligibility was associated with an abrupt 6.4 (95% confidence interval: 5.8-7.0) percentage-point decline in uninsured and a 9.6 (95% confidence interval: 6.5-12.6) percentage-point increase in rehabilitation at age 64 versus 65 years, enabling an additional 1-in-10 patients to access rehabilitation. Differences were driven by SNF use and were greatest among patients with less-severe clinical presentations. Restriction based on Medicare-payment eligibility to patients with length of stay >/=3days (SNF requirement) and >/=1 "presumptive diagnosis codes" (inpatient facilities' 60% rule) demonstrated abrupt gains in both SNF and inpatient care. CONCLUSIONS: The results reveal the magnitude of changes in access to rehabilitation associated with changes in insurance coverage at age 65 years. Use of quasiexperimental models enabled meaningful consideration of health-policy change.
Scott, J. W., N. P. Raykar, J. A. Rose, T. C. Tsai, C. K. Zogg, A. H. Haider, A. Salim, J. G. Meara, and M. G. Shrime. 2017. “Cured into Destitution: Catastrophic Health Expenditure Risk Among Uninsured Trauma Patients in the United States.” Ann SurgAnn Surg. Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To characterize the economic hardship for uninsured patients admitted for trauma using catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) risk. BACKGROUND: Medical debts are the greatest cause of bankruptcies in the United States. Injuries are often unpredictable, expensive to treat, and disproportionally affect uninsured patients. Current measures of economic hardship are insufficient and exclude those at greatest risk. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review, using data from the 2007-2011 Nationwide Inpatient Samples of all uninsured nonelderly adults (18-64 yrs) admitted with primary diagnoses of trauma. We used US Census data to estimate annual postsubsistence income and inhospital charges for trauma-related admission. Our primary outcome measure was catastrophic health expenditure risk, defined as any charges >/=40% of annual postsubsistence income. RESULTS: Our sample represented 579,683 admissions for uninsured nonelderly adults over the 5-year study period. Median estimated annual income was $40,867 (interquartile range: $21,286-$71.733). Median inpatient charges were $27,420 (interquartile range: $15,196-$49,694). Overall, 70.8% (95% posterior confidence interval: 70.7%-71.1%) of patients were at risk for CHE. The risk of CHE was similar across most demographic subgroups. The greatest risk, however, was concentrated among patients from low-income communities (77.5% among patients in the lowest community income quartile) and among patients with severe injuries (81.8% among those with ISS >/= 16). CONCLUSIONS: Over 7 in 10 uninsured patients admitted for trauma are at risk of catastrophic health expenditures. This analysis is the first application of CHE to a US trauma population and will be an important measure to evaluate the effectiveness of health care and coverage strategies to improve financial risk protection.
Burke, L. G., T. C. Tsai, J. Zheng, E. J. Orav, and A. K. Jha. 2017. “The effect of Massachusetts health reform on access to care for Medicaid beneficiaries.” Am J Manag CareAm J Manag Care 23: e24-e30. Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To address concerns that expanding insurance coverage without expanding provider supply can lead to worse access for the previously insured, we examined whether previously insured Medicaid beneficiaries faced greater difficulties accessing primary care after statewide insurance expansion in Massachusetts. STUDY DESIGN: We used the Medicaid Analytic eXtract databases for Massachusetts and 3 New England control states for 2006 and 2009. We calculated rates of overall, acute, and chronic preventable admissions (or Prevention Quality Indicators [PQIs]) and a composite of control conditions for adults aged 21 to 64 years. METHODS: We used multivariate Poisson regression models, adjusting for age, race, gender, reason for Medicaid eligibility, and state-level physician supply, as well as a difference-in-differences (DID) approach to compare the change in the rate of PQIs and control admissions in Massachusetts versus control states before and after health reform. RESULTS: Massachusetts and control states had increases in unadjusted rates of overall, acute, and chronic PQIs. When adjusting for age, race, gender, reason for eligibility, and physician supply, this increase persisted for overall and chronic PQIs in control states, with no significant difference in the relative increase between the 2 groups for any of the PQI measures. For the within-Massachusetts analysis, low-uptake counties had a significant increase in admission for chronic PQIs that was greater than that observed for high-uptake counties (+148.0 vs +36.0; P = .045 for DID). There was no significant DID for acute or overall PQIs between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence that insurance expansion in Massachusetts, compared with control states, reduced access to primary care for vulnerable Medicaid beneficiaries.
Havens, J. M., O. A. Olufajo, T. C. Tsai, W. Jiang, A. B. Columbus, S. L. Nitzschke, Z. Cooper, and A. Salim. 2017. “Hospital Factors Associated With Care Discontinuity Following Emergency General Surgery.” JAMA SurgJAMA Surg 152: 242-249. Abstract
Importance: Although there is evidence that changes in clinicians during the continuum of care (care discontinuity) are associated with higher mortality and complications among surgical patients, little is known regarding the drivers of care discontinuity among emergency general surgery (EGS) patients. Objective: To identify hospital factors associated with care discontinuity among EGS patients. Design, Setting, and Participants: We performed a retrospective analysis of the 100% Medicare inpatient claims file, from January 1, 2008, to November 30, 2011, and matched patient details to hospital information in the 2011 American Hospital Association Annual Survey database. We selected patients aged 65 years and older who had the most common procedures associated with the previously defined American Association for the Surgery of Trauma EGS diagnosis categories and survived to hospital discharge across the United States. The current analysis was conducted from February 1, 2016, to March 24, 2016. Main Outcomes and Measures: Care discontinuity defined as readmission within 30 days to nonindex hospitals. Results: There were 109443 EGS patients readmitted within 30 days of discharge and 20396 (18.6%) were readmitted to nonindex hospitals. Of the readmitted patients, 61340 (56%) were female. Care discontinuity was higher among patients who were male (19.5% vs 18.0%), those younger than 85 years old (19.0% vs 16.6%), and those who lived 12.8 km (8 miles) or more away from the index hospitals (23.7% vs 14.8%) (all P < .001). Care discontinuity was independently associated with mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.16; 95% CI, 1.08-1.25). Hospital factors associated with care discontinuity included bed size of 200 or more (aOR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.36-1.54), safety-net status (aOR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.27-1.43), and teaching status (aOR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.09-1.28). Care discontinuity was significantly lower among designated trauma centers (aOR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.83-0.94) and highest among hospitals in the Midwest (aOR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.05-1.26). Conclusions and Relevance: Nearly 1 in 5 older EGS patients is readmitted to a hospital other than where their original procedure was performed. This care discontinuity is independently associated with mortality and is highest among EGS patients who are treated at large, teaching, safety-net hospitals. These data underscore the need for sustained efforts in increasing continuity of care among these hospitals and highlight the importance of accounting for these factors in risk-adjusted hospital comparisons.
Scott, J. W., P. U. Neiman, P. A. Najjar, T. C. Tsai, K. W. Scott, M. G. Shrime, D. M. Cutler, A. Salim, and A. H. Haider. 2017. “Potential impact of Affordable Care Act-related insurance expansion on trauma care reimbursement.” J Trauma Acute Care SurgJ Trauma Acute Care Surg 82: 887-895. Abstract
BACKGROUND: Nearly one quarter of trauma patients are uninsured and hospitals recoup less than 20% of inpatient costs for their care. This study examines changes to hospital reimbursement for inpatient trauma care if the full coverage expansion provisions of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) were in effect. METHODS: We abstracted nonelderly adults (ages 18-64 years) admitted for trauma from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample during 2010-the last year before most major ACA coverage expansion policies. We calculated national and facility-level reimbursements and trauma-related contribution margins using Nationwide Inpatient Sample-supplied cost-to-charge ratios and published reimbursement rates for each payer type. Using US census data, we developed a probabilistic microsimulation model to determine the proportion of pre-ACA uninsured trauma patients that would be expected to gain private insurance, Medicaid, or remain uninsured after full implementation of the ACA. We then estimated the impact of these coverage changes on national and facility-level trauma reimbursement for this population. RESULTS: There were 145,849 patients (representing 737,852 patients nationwide) included. National inpatient trauma costs for patients aged 18 years to 64 years totaled US $14.8 billion (95% confidence interval [CI], 12.5,17.1). Preexpansion reimbursements totaled US $13.7 billion (95% CI, 10.8-14.7), yielding a national margin of -7.9% (95% CI, -10.6 to -5.1). Postexpansion projected reimbursements totaled US $15.0 billion (95% CI, 12.7-17.3), increasing the margin by 9.3 absolute percentage points to +1.4% (95% CI, -0.3 to +3.2). Of the 263 eligible facilities, 90 (34.2%) had a positive trauma-related contribution margin in 2010, which increased to 171 (65.0%) using postexpansion projections. Those facilities with the highest proportion of uninsured and racial/ethnic minorities experienced the greatest gains. CONCLUSION: Health insurance coverage expansion for uninsured trauma patients has the potential to increase national reimbursement for inpatient trauma care by over one billion dollars and nearly double the proportion of hospitals with a positive margin for trauma care. These data suggest that insurance coverage expansion has the potential to improve trauma centers' financial viability and their ability to provide care for their communities. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Economic analysis, level II.
2016
Tsai, T. C., F. Greaves, J. Zheng, E. J. Orav, M. J. Zinner, and A. K. Jha. 2016. “Better Patient Care At High-Quality Hospitals May Save Medicare Money And Bolster Episode-Based Payment Models.” Health Aff (Millwood)Health Aff (Millwood) 35: 1681-9. Abstract
US policy makers are making efforts to simultaneously improve the quality of and reduce spending on health care through alternative payment models such as bundled payment. Bundled payment models are predicated on the theory that aligning financial incentives for all providers across an episode of care will lower health care spending while improving quality. Whether this is true remains unknown. Using national Medicare fee-for-service claims for the period 2011-12 and data on hospital quality, we evaluated how thirty- and ninety-day episode-based spending were related to two validated measures of surgical quality-patient satisfaction and surgical mortality. We found that patients who had major surgery at high-quality hospitals cost Medicare less than those who had surgery at low-quality institutions, for both thirty- and ninety-day periods. The difference in Medicare spending between low- and high-quality hospitals was driven primarily by postacute care, which accounted for 59.5 percent of the difference in thirty-day episode spending, and readmissions, which accounted for 19.9 percent. These findings suggest that efforts to achieve value through bundled payment should focus on improving care at low-quality hospitals and reducing unnecessary use of postacute care.
Zogg, C. K., F. Payro Chew, J. W. Scott, L. L. Wolf, T. C. Tsai, P. Najjar, O. A. Olufajo, et al. 2016. “Implications of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act on Insurance Coverage and Rehabilitation Use Among Young Adult Trauma Patients.” JAMA SurgJAMA Surg 151: e163609. Abstract
Importance: Trauma is the leading cause of death and disability among young adults, who are also among the most likely to be uninsured. Efforts to increase insurance coverage, including passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA), were intended to improve access to care and promote improvements in outcomes. However, despite reported gains in coverage, the ACA's success in promoting use of high-quality care and enacting changes in clinical end points remains unclear. Objectives: To assess for observed changes in insurance coverage and rehabilitation use among young adult trauma patients associated with the ACA, including the Dependent Coverage Provision (DCP) and Medicaid expansion/open enrollment, and to consider possible insurance and rehabilitation differences between DCP-eligible vs -ineligible patients and among stratified demographic and community subgroups. Design, Setting, and Participants: A longitudinal assessment of DCP implementation and Medicaid expansion/open enrollment using risk-adjusted before-and-after, difference-in-difference, and interrupted time-series analyses was conducted. Eleven years (January 1, 2005, to September 31, 2015) of Maryland Health Services Cost Review Commission data, representing complete patient records from all payers within the state, were used to identify all hospitalized young adult (aged 18-34 years) trauma patients in Maryland during the study period. Results: Of the 69507 hospitalized patients included, 50548 (72.7%) were male, and the mean (SD) age was 25 (5) years. Before implementation of the DCP, 1 of 4 patients was uninsured. After ACA implementation, the number fell to less than 1 of 10, with similar patterns emerging in emergency department and outpatient settings. The change was primarily driven by Medicaid expansion/open enrollment, which corresponded to a 20.1 percentage-point increase in Medicaid (95% CI, 18.9-21.3) and an 18.2 percentage-point decrease in uninsured (95% CI, -19.3 to -17.2). No changes were detected among privately insured patients. Rehabilitation use increased by 5.4 percentage points (95% CI, 4.5-6.2)-a 60% relative increase from a baseline of 9%. Mortality (-0.5; 95% CI, -0.9 to -0.1) and failure-to-rescue rates (-4.5; 95% CI, -7.4 to -1.6) also significantly declined. Stratified changes point to significant differences in the percentage of uninsured patients and rehabilitation access across the board, mitigating or even eradicating disparities in certain cases. Conclusions and Relevance: For patients who are injured, young, and uninsured, Medicaid expansion/open enrollment in Maryland changed insurance coverage and altered patient outcomes in ways that the DCP alone was never intended to do. Implementation of Medicaid expansion/open enrollment transformed the landscape of trauma coverage, directly affecting the health of one of the country's most vulnerable at-risk groups.
Zogg, C. K., P. Najjar, A. J. Diaz, D. L. Zogg, T. C. Tsai, Jr. Rose, J. A., J. W. Scott, et al. 2016. “Rethinking Priorities: Cost of Complications After Elective Colectomy.” Ann SurgAnn Surg 264: 312-22. Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To compare incremental costs associated with complications of elective colectomy using nationally representative data among patients undergoing laparoscopic/open resections for the 4 most frequent diagnoses. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Rising healthcare costs have led to increasing focus on the need to achieve a better understanding of the association between costs and quality. Among elective colectomies, a focus of surgical quality-improvement initiatives, interpretable evidence to support existing approaches is lacking. METHODS: The 2009 to 2011 Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) data were queried for adult (>/=18 years) patients undergoing elective colectomy. Patients with primary diagnoses for colon cancer, diverticular disease, benign colonic neoplasm, and ulcerative colitis/regional enteritis were included. Based on system-based complications considered relevant to long-term treatment of elective colectomy, stratified differences in risk-adjusted incremental hospital costs and complications probabilities were compared. RESULTS: A total of 68,462 patients were included, weighted to represent 337,887 patients nationwide. A total of 16.4% experienced complications. Annual risk-adjusted incremental costs amounted to >$150 million. Magnitudes of complication prevalences/costs varied by primary diagnosis, operative technique, and complication group. Infectious complications contributed the most ($55 million), followed by gastrointestinal ($53 million), pulmonary ($22 million), and cardiovascular ($11 million) complications. Total annual costs for elective colectomies amounted to >$1.7 billion: 11.3% was due to complications [1.9% due to current Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) complications]. CONCLUSIONS: The results highlight a need to consider the varied/broad impact of complications, offering a stratified paradigm for priority setting in surgery. As we move forward in the development of novel/adaptation of existing interventions, it will be essential to weigh the cost of complications in an evidence-based way.
Tsai, Thomas C, Felix Greaves, Jie Zheng, John E Orav, Michael J Zinner, and Ashish K Jha. 2016. “Better Patient Care At High-Quality Hospitals May Save Medicare Money And Bolster Episode-Based Payment Models.” Health Aff (Millwood) 35 (9): 1681-9. Abstract
US policy makers are making efforts to simultaneously improve the quality of and reduce spending on health care through alternative payment models such as bundled payment. Bundled payment models are predicated on the theory that aligning financial incentives for all providers across an episode of care will lower health care spending while improving quality. Whether this is true remains unknown. Using national Medicare fee-for-service claims for the period 2011-12 and data on hospital quality, we evaluated how thirty- and ninety-day episode-based spending were related to two validated measures of surgical quality-patient satisfaction and surgical mortality. We found that patients who had major surgery at high-quality hospitals cost Medicare less than those who had surgery at low-quality institutions, for both thirty- and ninety-day periods. The difference in Medicare spending between low- and high-quality hospitals was driven primarily by postacute care, which accounted for 59.5 percent of the difference in thirty-day episode spending, and readmissions, which accounted for 19.9 percent. These findings suggest that efforts to achieve value through bundled payment should focus on improving care at low-quality hospitals and reducing unnecessary use of postacute care.
Scott, John W, John A Rose, Thomas C Tsai, Cheryl K Zogg, Mark G Shrime, Benjamin D Sommers, Ali Salim, and Adil H Haider. 2016. “Impact of ACA Insurance Coverage Expansion on Perforated Appendix Rates Among Young Adults.” Med Care 54 (9): 818-26. Abstract
BACKGROUND: The 2010 Dependent Coverage Provision (DCP) of the Affordable Care Act allowed young adults to remain on their parents' health insurance plans until age 26 years. Although the provision improved coverage and survey-reported access to care, little is known regarding its impact on timely access for acute conditions. This study aims to assess changes in insurance coverage and perforation rates among young adults with acute appendicitis-an established metric for population-level health care access-after the DCP. METHODS: The National Inpatient Sample and difference-in-differences linear regression were used to assess prepolicy/postpolicy changes for policy-eligible young adults (aged 19-25 y) compared with a slightly older, policy-ineligible comparator group (aged 26-34 y). RESULTS: After adjustment for covariates, 19-25 year olds experienced a 3.6-percentage point decline in the uninsured rate after the DCP (baseline 22.5%), compared with 26-34 year olds (P<0.001). This coincided with a 1.4-percentage point relative decline in perforated appendix rate for 19-25 year olds (baseline 17.5%), compared with 26-34 year olds (P=0.023). All subgroups showed significant reductions in uninsured rates; however, statistically significant reductions in perforation rates were limited to racial/ethnic minorities, patients from lower-income communities, and patients presenting to urban teaching hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Reductions in uninsured rates among young adults after the DCP were associated with significant reductions in perforated appendix rates relative to a comparator group, suggesting that insurance expansion could lead to fewer delays in seeking and accessing care for acute conditions. Greater relative declines in perforation rates among the most at-risk subpopulations hold important implications for the use of coverage expansion to mitigate existing disparities in access to care.
2015
Chatterjee, Paula, Thomas C Tsai, and Ashish K Jha. 2015. “Delivering value by focusing on patient experience.” Am J Manag Care 21 (10): 735-7. Abstract
The use of patient experience as a quality metric in healthcare remains controversial. Clinicians have expressed concern that incentives focused on patient experience may lead to lower quality care. However, empirical evidence from the United States and abroad suggests that hospitals and ambulatory care providers with higher patient satisfaction scores also perform better on clinical process and outcome measures. While it may be that high-performing providers simply have more resources to devote to both patient experience and the technical aspects of care, we suspect that these providers' performance is also driven by a conscious commitment to quality. As the country shifts toward new payment models, we should encourage this type of commitment to quality. Perhaps most importantly, improving the patient experience will build trust in the healthcare system, guard against withholding of services in the face of changing provider incentives, and promote collaboration between clinicians and patients. Therefore, patient experience measures should play a critical role in how we judge high-quality, value-based care.
Zogg, Cheryl K, Peter Najjar, Arturo J Rios Diaz, Donald L Zogg, Thomas C Tsai, John A Rose, John W Scott, et al. 2015. “Rethinking Priorities: Cost of Complications After Elective Colectomy.” Ann Surg. Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To compare incremental costs associated with complications of elective colectomy using nationally representative data among patients undergoing laparoscopic/open resections for the 4 most frequent diagnoses. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Rising healthcare costs have led to increasing focus on the need to achieve a better understanding of the association between costs and quality. Among elective colectomies, a focus of surgical quality-improvement initiatives, interpretable evidence to support existing approaches is lacking. METHODS: The 2009 to 2011 Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) data were queried for adult (≥18 years) patients undergoing elective colectomy. Patients with primary diagnoses for colon cancer, diverticular disease, benign colonic neoplasm, and ulcerative colitis/regional enteritis were included. Based on system-based complications considered relevant to long-term treatment of elective colectomy, stratified differences in risk-adjusted incremental hospital costs and complications probabilities were compared. RESULTS: A total of 68,462 patients were included, weighted to represent 337,887 patients nationwide. A total of 16.4% experienced complications. Annual risk-adjusted incremental costs amounted to >$150 million. Magnitudes of complication prevalences/costs varied by primary diagnosis, operative technique, and complication group. Infectious complications contributed the most ($55 million), followed by gastrointestinal ($53 million), pulmonary ($22 million), and cardiovascular ($11 million) complications. Total annual costs for elective colectomies amounted to >$1.7 billion: 11.3% was due to complications [1.9% due to current Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) complications]. CONCLUSIONS: The results highlight a need to consider the varied/broad impact of complications, offering a stratified paradigm for priority setting in surgery. As we move forward in the development of novel/adaptation of existing interventions, it will be essential to weigh the cost of complications in an evidence-based way.
Tsai, Thomas C, and David C Miller. 2015. “Bundling Payments for Episodes of Surgical Care.” JAMA surgery.
Tsai, Thomas C, Ashish K Jha, Atul A Gawande, Robert S Huckman, Nicholas Bloom, and Raffaella Sadun. 2015. “Hospital Board And Management Practices Are Strongly Related To Hospital Performance On Clinical Quality Metrics.” Health Affairs 34. Project HOPE-The People-to-People Health Foundation, Inc.: 1304–1311.
Scott, John W, Ali Salim, Benjamin D Sommers, Thomas C Tsai, Kirstin W Scott, and Zirui Song. 2015. “Racial and Regional Disparities in the Effect of the Affordable Care Act’s Dependent Coverage Provision on Young Adult Trauma Patients.” Journal of the American College of Surgeons. Elsevier.
Tsai, Thomas C, Karen E Joynt, Robert C Wild, John E Orav, and Ashish K Jha. 2015. “Medicare's Bundled Payment Initiative: Most Hospitals Are Focused On A Few High-Volume Conditions.” Health Aff (Millwood) 34 (3): 371-80. Abstract
The Bundled Payments for Care Improvement initiative is a federally funded innovation model mandated by the Affordable Care Act. It is designed to help transition Medicare away from fee-for-service payments and toward bundling a single payment for an episode of acute care in a hospital and related postacute care in an appropriate setting. While results from the initiative will not be available for several years, current data can help provide critical early insights. However, little is known about the participating organizations and how they are focusing their efforts. We identified participating hospitals and used national Medicare claims data to assess their characteristics and previous spending patterns. These hospitals are mostly large, nonprofit, teaching hospitals in the Northeast, and they have selectively enrolled in the bundled payment initiative covering patient conditions with high clinical volumes. We found no significant differences in episode-based spending between participating and nonparticipating hospitals. Postacute care explains the largest variation in overall episode-based spending, signaling an opportunity to align incentives across providers. However, the focus on a few selected clinical conditions and the high degree of integration that already exists between enrolled hospitals and postacute care providers may limit the generalizability of bundled payment across the Medicare system.
Offodile, Anaeze C, Thomas C Tsai, Julia B Wenger, and Lifei Guo. 2015. “Racial disparities in the type of postmastectomy reconstruction chosen.” J Surg Res. Abstract
BACKGROUND: Racial disparities remain for women undergoing immediate breast reconstruction (IBR) after mastectomy. Understanding patterns of racial disparities in IBR utilization may present opportunities to tailor policies aimed at optimizing care across racial groups. The aim of this study was to determine if racial disparities exist for types of IBR chosen. METHODS: A national, retrospective cohort study used the 2005-2011 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Multivariable logistic regression models were created to detect the odds by race for receiving each subtype of IBR after mastectomy-prosthetic, pedicled-transfer autologous tissue, or free-transfer autologous tissue. Secondary outcome was trends in IBR rates over time. RESULTS: There were 44,597 women identified in the data set who underwent mastectomy. Thirty-seven percent of women (N = 16, 642) were noted to undergo IBR after mastectomy. Prosthetic reconstruction (84.4%, n = 37, 640) was the most common form of IBR compared with pedicled-autologous reconstruction (15.4%, n = 6868) and free transfer autologous reconstruction (4.9%, n = 2185), P < 0.001. In multivariate analysis, minorities had lower odds of undergoing IBR compared with whites (odds ratio [OR] 0.37 and 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.33-0.42 for Asians, OR 0.57 and 95% CI 0.52-0.61 for blacks, and OR 0.64 and 95% CI 0.58-0.71 for Hispanics, all P < 0.001). Compared with whites, Hispanics (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.58-0.83) and blacks (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.46-0.60) were less likely to use prosthetic reconstruction and more likely to use free-transfer autologous reconstruction (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.26-2.18 for Hispanics, OR 2.13, 95% CI 1.73-2.63 for blacks), all P < 0.001. Racial disparities persisted from 2005-2011; as minority patients were less likely to undergo IBR than whites (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Utilization of IBR may be a sensitive measure of disparities in access to high-quality care and underlying cultures. Strategies aimed at reducing racial disparities in IBR should be tailored to specific patterns of disparities among Asian, black, and Hispanic women.
Tsai, Thomas C, John E Orav, and Ashish K Jha. 2015. “Care fragmentation in the postdischarge period: surgical readmissions, distance of travel, and postoperative mortality.” JAMA Surg 150 (1): 59-64. Abstract
IMPORTANCE: Despite policies aimed at incentivizing clinical integration, few data exist on whether fragmentation of care is associated with worse outcomes for elderly patients undergoing major surgery. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether postdischarge surgical care fragmentation is associated with worse outcomes and whether distances between hospitals explain differences in patient outcomes. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We used the 100% Medicare inpatient file for claims from January 1, 2009, through November 30, 2011. Data on hospital structural features, including zip code of location, were obtained from the 2011 American Hospital Association Annual Survey. We identified patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting, pulmonary lobectomy, endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, colectomy, and hip replacement. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Thirty-day surgical mortality. RESULTS: A total of 93 062 patients who underwent the surgical procedures of interest were subsequently readmitted within 30 days of discharge; 23 278 of these patients (25.0%) were readmitted to a hospital other than the one where their procedure was performed. Patients who were readmitted to a different hospital generally lived farther from the index hospital than those who were readmitted to the index hospital (20.7 vs 7.4 miles, P < .001). We found large state-level variations in the proportion of surgical patients who were readmitted elsewhere. Patients readmitted to a different hospital that was the same distance from their home as the index hospital had 48% higher odds of mortality (odds ratio, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.24-1.78; P < .001) than patients who were admitted to the index hospital. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Of older US patients undergoing major surgery, 1 in 4 is readmitted to a hospital other than the one where the initial operation was performed. Even taking distance traveled into account, postsurgical care fragmentation is associated with a substantially higher risk of death. Focusing on clinical integration may improve outcomes for older US patients undergoing complex surgery.
Wakeam, Elliot, Joseph A Hyder, Thomas C Tsai, Stuart R Lipsitz, Dennis P Orgill, and Sam RG Finlayson. 2015. “Complication timing and association with mortality in the American College of Surgeons' National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database.” J Surg Res 193 (1): 77-87. Abstract
BACKGROUND: The relationship between timing of postoperative complications on mortality is unknown. We investigated the time-variable mortality risks of common surgical complications. METHODS: We identified patients undergoing nonemergent, in-patient surgery in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database during 2005-2011 who experienced any of 13 complications within 2 wk of surgery. "Expected timing" was defined as the median postoperative day of occurrence. Hazard ratios (HRs) for complications earlier or later than expected were calculated using Cox proportional hazards, adjusted for age, procedure, American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA), and functional status. A secondary analysis evaluated the effect of preceding complication burden on the relationship between complication timing and mortality. RESULTS: Among 77,443 patients experiencing complications, significantly higher mortality was observed with early wound infections (superficial HR 1.30, confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.70; deep HR 1.52, CI 1.07-2.16; and organ space HR 1.38, CI 1.11-1.70) despite adjustment for patient and operative factors and complication burden. Early cardiac arrest and unplanned intubation were associated with lower mortality, which persisted after adjustment (HR 0.59, CI 0.51-0.68; HR 0.38, CI 0.33-0.43, respectively). By contrast, late occurrence of acute myocardial infarction, pneumonia, and cerebrovascular accident was associated with significantly greater mortality risk (HR 1.41, CI 1.18-1.69; HR 1.37, CI 1.24-1.52; and HR 1.61, CI 1.31-1.98, respectively), but these associations became nonsignificant after adjustment for complication burden. CONCLUSIONS: Timing of complications plays an important role in mortality. Surgeons and trainees should be aware of these patterns and tailor their clinical care and monitoring practices to account for the implications of complication timing on mortality.
Scott, John W, Benjamin D Sommers, Thomas C Tsai, Kirstin W Scott, Aaron L Schwartz, and Zirui Song. 2015. “Dependent coverage provision led to uneven insurance gains and unchanged mortality rates in young adult trauma patients.” Health Aff (Millwood) 34 (1): 125-33. Abstract
Insurance coverage has increased among young adults as a result of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) provision that allows young adults to remain covered under their parents' plans until age twenty-six. However, little is known about the provision's effects on the clinical outcomes and insurance coverage of patients with trauma-the most frequent cause of death and physical disability among young adults. Using 2007-12 data from the National Trauma Data Bank, we conducted a difference-in-differences analysis of coverage rates among trauma patients ages 19-25 (compared to patients ages 26-34, who served as the control group), and we examined trauma-relevant outcomes by patient, injury, and hospital characteristics. We found a 3.4-percentage-point decrease in uninsurance status among younger trauma patients following the policy change. The decrease was concentrated among men, non-Hispanic whites, those with relatively less severe injuries, and those who presented to nonteaching hospitals. We did not detect significant changes in the use of intensive care or in overall mortality. The heterogeneous coverage impact of the ACA dependent coverage provision on high- versus low-risk trauma patients has implications for future efforts to expand coverage.

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