High Dimensional Latent Panel Quantile Regression with an Application to Asset Pricing


Alexandre Belloni, Mingli Chen, and Oscar Madrid Padilla. Working Paper. “High Dimensional Latent Panel Quantile Regression with an Application to Asset Pricing”. Copy at https://tinyurl.com/ydavenbx


We propose a generalization of the linear panel quantile regression model to accommodate both sparse and dense parts: sparse means while the number of covariates available is large, potentially only a much smaller number of them have a nonzero impact on each conditional quantile of the response variable; while the dense part is represented by a low-rank matrix that can be approximated by latent factors and their loadings. Such a structure poses problems for traditional sparse estimators, such as the L1-penalised Quantile Regression, and for traditional latent factor estimator, such as PCA. We propose a new estimation procedure, based on the ADMM algorithm, that consists of combining the quantile loss function with L1 and nuclear norm regularization.
We show, under general conditions, that our estimator can consistently estimate both the nonzero coefficients of the covariates and the latent low-rank matrix.

Our proposed model has a ``Characteristics + Latent Factors" Asset Pricing Model interpretation: we apply our model and estimator with a large-dimensional panel of financial data and find that (i) characteristics have sparser predictive power once latent factors were controlled (ii) the factors and coefficients at upper and lower quantiles are different from the median.

Last updated on 12/07/2019