Misperceptions, Depression, and Voting for Election Deniers in the United States

Citation:

Matthew A. Baum, James N. Druckman, Kathryn Ognyanova, and Jonathan Schulman. Forthcoming. “Misperceptions, Depression, and Voting for Election Deniers in the United States.” International Journal of Public Opinion Research.

Abstract:

Two of the most significant concerns about the contemporary United States are the erosion of democratic institutions and the high rate of depression. We provide evidence connecting these phenomena. We use a survey (N=11,517) to show a relationship between misperceptions (about COVID-19 vaccines) and voting, in 2022, for gubernatorial candidates who denied or cast doubt on the legitimacy of the 2020 election results. We further predict and find that the presence of moderately-severe-to-severe depressive symptoms exacerbates the relationship between misperceptions and voting for election deniers or doubters. The results offer insight into the links between misperceptions, depression, and democratic backsliding (i.e., supporting candidates who challenge election results). We also contribute to a growing line of research on how mental health affects democratic functioning, potentially worldwide.