Mildenberger, M., & Tingley, D. (2015). In two graphs, here's what experts think about whether the U.S. and China can stick to their climate agreements. Washington Post: Monkey Cage. Publisher's Version
Blake, P., Rand, D., Tingley, D., & Warneken, F. (2015). The shadow of the future promotes cooperation in a repeated prisoner's dilemma for children. Scientific Reports , 5. kidsandgames.pdf
Sailing the Water's Edge: The Domestic Politics of American Foreign Policy
(2015). Sailing the Water's Edge: The Domestic Politics of American Foreign Policy . Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press.
Romney, D., Stewart, B., & Tingley, D. (2015). Plain Text: Transparency in the Acquisition, Analysis, and Access Stages of the Computer-assisted Analysis of Texts. Qualitative and Multi-Method Research , 13 (1), 32-37. Publisher's Version qmmr2015-1.pdf
Tingley, D., Xu, C., Chilton, A., & Milner, H. (2015). The Political Economy of Inward FDI: Opposition to Chinese Mergers and Acquisitions. Chinese Journal of International Relations , 8 (1), 25-57. tingleyxuchiltonmilnerchina.pdf
Huff, C., & Tingley, D. (2015). "Who are These People?": Evaluating the Demographic Characteristics and Political Preferences of MTurk Survey Respondents. Research and Politics , July-September (1), 1-12. whoarethesepeople.pdf
Reich, J., Tingley, D., Leder-Luis, J., Roberts, M. E., & Stewart, B. M. (2015). Computer Assisted Reading and Discovery for Student Generated Text in Massive Open Online Courses. Journal of Learning Analytics , 2 (1), 156-184. educationwriteup.pdf
Jamal, A., Keohane, R., Romney, D., & Tingley, D. (2015). Anti-Americanism or Anti-Interventionism in Arabic Twitter Discourses. Perspectives on Politics , 13 (1), 55-73. aatext.pdf
Keele, L., Tingley, D., & Yamamoto, T. (2015). Identifying Mechanisms behind Policy Interventions via Causal Mediation Analysis. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management , 34 (4), 937-963. mediationpolicy.pdf
Renshon, J., Lee, J., & Tingley, D. (2015). Physiological Arousal and Political Beliefs. Political Psychology , 36 (5), 569-585. anxietyimmigrationpp.pdf
Lucas, C., Nielsen, R., Roberts, M., Stewart, B., Storer, A., & Tingley, D. (2015). Computer assisted text analysis for comparative politics. Political Analysis , 23 (2), 254-277. comparativepoliticstext.pdf compoltextappendix.pdf
McDermott, R., Tingley, D., & Hatemi, P. (2014). Assortative Mating Could Operate Through Olfactory Cues. American Journal of Political Science , 58 (4), 997-1005. ajpsscents.pdf scents-supmat.pdf
Imai, K., Keele, L., Tingley, D., & Yamamoto, T. (2014). Practical Implications of Theoretical Results for Causal Mediation Analysis. Psychological Methods , 19 (4), 488-492. pearlpm.pdf
Tingley, D. (2014). Survey Research In International Political Economy: Motivations, Designs, Methods. International Interactions , 40 (3), 443-451. surveyexperimentsipe.pdf
Ludwin-Perry, E., & Tingley, D. (2014). Ethical Situations and their Effects on Judgments of Punishment. Ethics and Behavior , 24 (3), 253-262. ethicscorruption.pdf
Roberts, M., Stewart, B., Tingley, D., Lucas, C., Leder-Luis, J., Gadarian, S., Albertson, B., et al. (2014). Structural topic models for open ended survey responses. American Journal of Political Science , 58 (4), 1064-1082. topicmodelsopenendedexperiments.pdf ajpsappendix.pdf
Tingley, D., Yamamoto, T., Hirose, K., Keele, L., & Imai, K. (2014). mediation: R Package for Causal Mediation Analysis. Journal of Statistical Software , 59 (5). mediationr2.pdf
Tingley, D., & Tomz, M. (2014). Conditional Cooperation and Climate Change. Comparative Political Studies , 47 (3), 344 - 368. tingleytomzclimatefinal.pdf
Tingley, D. (2014). Face Off: Facial Features and Strategic Choice. Political Psychology , 35 (1), 344-368. avatartingley.pdf
Hicks, R., Milner, H., & Tingley, D. (2014). Trade Policy, Economic Interests and Party Politics in a Developing Country: The Political Economy of CAFTA. International Studies Quarterly , 58, 106-117.Abstract

Why have developing countries increasingly opened their economies to trade? Research about trade policy in developed countries has focused on a bottom up process by identifying the economic preferences of domestic groups. We know less about preferences in developing countries. To explore this, we focus on the micro level and explore one country’s decision making in a systematic fashion, rather than using a cross-national analysis. We analyze how economic and political variables influenced Costa Rican voters in a referendum on CAFTA, an international trade agreement. We find surprisingly little support for Stolper-Samuelson models of economic preferences and instead find more support for skill-biased trade theories. Furthermore, we isolate the effects of political parties on the referendum vote; we document how at least one party influenced voters and this made the difference for CAFTA passage. Politics, in the form of parties using their organizational strength to cue and frame messages for voters, influenced an important trade policy decision. Theories about trade policy in developing countries need to take into account the impact of top-down political factors such as parties and message framing.