U.S. Policymaking

"Why Do Americans Vote for Extremists?" Project Syndicate, Oct. 27. The Koreao Herald, Oct.31.. The allure of the Republican Party is baffling,LA Times, Oct. 27, 2022..

"Is the US in Recession Right Now?," Barron's, June 18, 2022.

"Stagflation,"  Eaton Vance Research Retreat, December 7, 2021.

"Some inflation-fighting dos and don'ts," in Facing down a surprising US inflation surge, HKS, Nov. 29, 2021.

"Not That Seventies Inflation," Project Syndicate, Nov. 26, 2021.

America’s Republicans are Killing Their Voters,” Project Syndicate, July 22, 2021.

America’s False Imbalance Syndrome,” Project Syndicate, June 28. The Korea Herald, July 1, 2021..

"Biden's Economic Edge,Project Syndicate, Oct. 26.  "Joe Biden looks like a safe pair of hands for the US economy," The Guardian, Oct. 28, 2020.

Excerpts from columns by, and interviews of, Jeffrey Frankel,concerning the Coronavirus Recession, Feb.-April, 2020.

“Recession Outlook, including Effects of the Coronavirus,” outline, Council on Foreign Relations roundtable on the Global Economic Outlook, Harvard Club, Boston, February 11, 2020.

"Policy pro-cyclicality," Ppt; Macro Policy Seminar, Harvard Economics Dept., Dec.3, 2019.  Summary.

"Defining a recession," Seminar on Business Cycle Dating, INEGI, Mexico City, Oct. 30-31, 2019

"Taxes, Trade, Tariffs, and the Possibility of the Next Recession", Growth Policy, Harvard M-RCBG, June 2019.

"Should Bold Ideas Drown Out Old Ideas?Project SyndicateFeb. 25, 2019.

Slides (abbrev.) for panel on “Should the Fed Be Subject to a Monetary Rule?” 36th Annual Monetary Conference, Cato Institute, November 15, 2018. (Video of panel.)

The next recession may be a bad one, due to procyclical US policy,” podcast,Vox Talks, Oct.11, 2018.

"The dollar’s current status as international reserve currency," podcast, OMFIF, October 10, 2018.

"The Depth of the Next Recession," Project Syndicate, August 27, 2018.  “US will lack fiscal space to respond when next recession comes,” The Guardian, Aug. 28, 2018.

Notes for panel on "The Next Economic Crisis," (pdf) 2nd annual AEI Retreat, Jackson Hole, Wyo., Aug.13.

An Economic Platform for US Democrats,” Project Syndicate, May 24, 2018.

"Making America's Trade Deficits Great Again,"  Jan. 15, 2018, in The Guardian.

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"Measuring the GDP's Tax Plan," Project Syndicate podcast, Dec.12, 2017.

To understand the tax reform bill, use good old math and history,” The Hill, Dec 10. 2017.

"How the GOP tax overhaul compares to the Reagan-era tax bills," PBS Newshour,  Dec.4, 2017.

"When is the Right Time to Cut Taxes?"  60-second video, Dec. 2017.

"Reagan's Tax Reforms Revisited," Project Syndicate, Nov. 24, 2017.

"The Next Fed Chair," The Guardian, Oct. 27, 2017. 

"Can Technology Hurt Productivity?" (pdf), for The International Economy, Fall 2017.

“Inequality in America: Achieving An Economy That Works for All,” Ppt (pdf) Economic Policy Forum, Northeastern University, Sept. 28, 2017.

"The VIX is Too Low!" at Seeking Alpha, Sept. 28, 2017.

"Five Trade Fallacies,"  Ppt slides, Trade Deficits and the Trump Administration, panel with video: Frankel, Krueger, Aliber, Barfield & Lachman.  AEI, Washington DC, September 15, 2017.   

The Dodd-Frank Financial Reform,” Econofact, Sept. 8, 2017.

"The Case Against Subsidizing Housing Debt," The Guardian, May 30. Extended version at Seeking Alpha.

"The US Economy Under President Trump," outline, pdf, Luncheon Address, XLV Meeting of the Network of Central Banks and Finance Ministries, April 19, 2017, IDB, Washington DC

"An Economy That Works for All Americans,” slides: ppt, pdf, Harvard Institute for Learning in Retirement, Feb.24, 2017.   

"Obama leaves with higher rating than predecessors," Bangkok Post, Jan.16.  "Looking back on Barack," Korea Herald, Jan.16, 2017.

"Economic Policies of the New US Administration," Bellagio Group meeting, BIS, Basel, Jan.13, 2017

"An Economy That Works for All Americans,” slides: pptpdf.  Bipartisan Program for Newly Elected Members of Congress, Institute of Politics, December 7, 2016.

"What Will Happen When President Trump Takes Office?" The Guardian, November 11, 2016.  "Who is President Trump?"  P. Synd., Nov. 9.  Extended version "What Will the Trump Presidency Look Like?" or at Econbrowser Nov. 14. Revised for MRCBG, Nov. 20, 2016.

"Clinton Economics vs. Trump Economics,” written for Candidate Clinton’s Chance, an OMFIF report (London), released Oct. 28, 2016.

Voting for a Better US Political System,” Korea Herald, September 26, 2016.  P Synd

"Are Democrats Really Better for the Economy? Project SyndicateJune 22, 2016.  E.g., in Financial AdvisorExtended versionEconbrowser.

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"Sex, Money, Red States and Blue States," VoxEU, Oct. 2, 2012. 

"Romney Rejects His Natural Voters," Project Syndicate, Sept. 19, 2012. 

"Obamacare champions personal responsibility. The states that hate it don't," Christian Science Monitor, Sept. 6, 2012. 
"Statistical Appendices: Relationship Between Measures of Personal Responsibility and Measures of Red-State/Blue-State Politics," Sep. 28, 2012. PDF

"What Can An Economic Adviser Do When the President Adopts Bad Economic Policies?"   The Pierson Lecture, Swarthmore College, Apr. 21, 2005.  Incl. tribute to Bernie Saffran.

"It's a Tough Job to Create Jobs," Washington Post, Outlook, Sunday, April 11, 2004.

"The Jobless Recovery,"  published in The Forward, Dec.19, 2003.

"When An Economic Adviser Disagrees with the President," Financial Times, March 31, 2003 (.pdf)   

"Trading Places"Financial Times, September 13, 2002.

"Deficits and Decades:  Lessons from US Economic Policy in the 1990s," speech at ICRIER, New Delhi, India, Jan. 15, 2003.

 "US Economic Performance, and Implications for Mexico," delivered at State of the Government, First National Meeting of Legislators of the National Action Party (PAN), Puerto Vallarta, Mexico, August 23, 2001.

 "Economic Advantages of America," Europa und USA im Spannungsfled vonWirtschaft und Politik, Schloss Schönbrunn, Vienna, 16 May 2001; and Dublin Castle, Dublin, Ireland, 7 June 2001.

 "U.S. Economic Performance and Lessons for Other Countries," Weatherhead Fellows Conference, American Academy of Arts and Sciences, Nov. 20, 1999; revised for meeting with members of Japanese Diet, Center for Business and Government, November 16, 2000.



PersonalResponsibilityAppendicesSep2012.doc5.01 MB